2018 New Brunswick election

[Hatman 🍁]

Interesting that some polls actually overestimated the Greens and the PA. They're only in the low teens.

[136or142]

Interesting that some polls actually overestimated the Greens and the PA. They're only in the low teens.

Probably lacked the organization to get all their supporters out.

[the506]

My usual question in these situations: any possibility of a 'grand coalition'?

No. Gallant put the kibosh on that in the last debate.

[King of Kensington]

Dominic Cardy must be happy.

[JoeyOCanada]

Dominic Cardy must be happy.

Cardy's master plan worked, he completely destroyed the NDP in NB then jumped to the PCs

[136or142]

As usual, this is a disgusting 'well hung' parliament.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Impressively ugly voting patterns I note. Christ.

[Hatman 🍁]

I had no idea NB had a minority government before, but apparently they last had one in 1920, when the United Farmers and Farmer-Labour parties won seats.

[136or142]

Apparently the final polls aren't reporting because the machines are down.

[136or142]

Dominic Cardy must be happy.

Cardy's master plan worked, he completely destroyed the NDP in NB then jumped to the PCs

It's a bit odd, as far as I can recall usually when a person changes parties and runs for them they get crushed.  Like Ryan Cleary for instance.

[jaichind]

If it stays at 21-21 which party is in a better position to be asked to form a minority government ?

[136or142]

The 3rd Green has been declared elected.

[136or142]

If it stays at 21-21 which party is in a better position to be asked to form a minority government ?

I'd guess the P.Cs because they're a better fit with the People's Alliance. But it would be 25-24.

[DC Al Fine]

If it stays at 21-21 which party is in a better position to be asked to form a minority government ?

I'd guess the P.Cs because they're a better fit with the People's Alliance. But it would be 25-24.

Yeah, and Libs would get first crack at it since they are incumbent. I'd be surprised if they don't have elections within a year tbh.

[RogueBeaver]

https://twitter.com/davidakin/status/1044391295454728192

[136or142]

Dominic Cardy the mini Ross Thatcher.

[ON Progressive]

I have to wonder why the PA is doing so well in Fredericton?

[Hatman 🍁]

Apparently the final polls aren't reporting because the machines are down.

New Brunswick strikes again!

[Hatman 🍁]

PCs now lead in SW Miramichi.

[Linus Van Pelt]

What a weird result.

[mileslunn]

Regardless of how Southwest Miramichi goes, it looks like unless Saint John Harbour flips on the recount, you have 25 seats for PCs + PANB and 24 seats for Liberals + Greens.  Neither Liberals or Greens are likely to want to put up a speaker while a speaker from PCs + PANB means a tie so I would be surprised if this government lasts over a year.  If you thought BC in 2017 was going to be difficult, this will be even more so.

[trebor204]

PA now leads PC by 28 votes with one poll remaining in SOUTHWEST MIRAMICHI-BAY DU VIN

[Hatman 🍁]

Just as Blaine Higgs does his victory speech

[Hatman 🍁]

PCs win SW Miramichi. PCs get 22 seats.

[trebor204]

PC wins  SOUTHWEST MIRAMICHI-BAY DU VIN by 35 votes, PC wins Minority Gov't