Morning Consult tracker updated: Biden +9% (user search)
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  Morning Consult tracker updated: Biden +9% (search mode)
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Author Topic: Morning Consult tracker updated: Biden +9%  (Read 4959 times)
Ferguson97
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« on: October 24, 2020, 02:36:40 AM »

These are huge sample sizes. How accurate were they in 2016?

they had +3 Clinton as final

the 52-43 is accurate. but the undecideds will break hard Trump (bet on it).

Debatable.  Undecideds may be more likely to break against an unpopular incumbent.

They're not actually undecideds though (don't believe any cross-tab racial demographics of them...).

Biden should focus on turning out voters/GOTV. The remaining undecideds are shy Trump voters. Bank on it.

Then explain why his approval rating isn't higher than his vote share.

who the hell is an undecided voter at this point?

It’s not really anyone undecided between Trump and Biden. It’s people undecided between one of them and staying home.
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