Arizona and Georgia (user search)
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  Arizona and Georgia (search mode)
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Author Topic: Arizona and Georgia  (Read 2354 times)
appealtoheaven
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« on: December 02, 2016, 01:10:46 AM »

Although you're right that georgia and definitely arizona are within shouting distance for Democrats in 2020 - theyre probably just as likely to go blue as nevada or NH is to go red - even if both become swing states or even lean blue states, it wouldn't compensate for the massive Republican gains in the midwest.
Arizona is absolutely going through a transition period right now though - elderly population is rising, meaning increased support for social security, and the increasing latino population means that Republicans are going to have to tone down hardline immigration stances to win the state. Even John McCain this election, who does better with the elderly and with latinos than most republicans tend to do was down about 6 points from where he was six years ago. That could just be because kirkpatrick was a good candidate, but even then, that signifies that the Arizona democratic party is getting some stronger members. Let us not forget, though, that Democrats were slaughtered in Ohio this election, and obviously some states have come into play that nobody (important) could've predicted would. I personally think that Democrat money would be better spent trying to keep Ohio a swing state - or even a lean red state - than it would trying to flip arizona or georgia. The two of them might end up flipping due to demographic changes anyways - right now is a time to stop states like ohio, wisconsin and michigan from becoming the new stomping grounds of the GOP.
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