Why the CA-Recall results are bad for Democrats. (user search)
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  Why the CA-Recall results are bad for Democrats. (search mode)
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Author Topic: Why the CA-Recall results are bad for Democrats.  (Read 4022 times)
Holmes
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*****
Posts: 13,762
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -5.74

« on: September 15, 2021, 07:37:31 AM »

People keep saying “Orange county voted more to the right than it did in 2020! Kim and Steele safe!” But y’all realize Newsom barely won Orange by less than 0.4% in 2018? The year that those same seats flipped Democratic? And that California is more Republican on a statewide level than federally?
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Holmes
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,762
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -5.74

« Reply #1 on: September 15, 2021, 07:40:16 AM »

They're bad for CA Democrats because they have to keep dealing with Gavin f**king Newsom while Larry Elder, the worst replacement candidate, received almost a majority of the vote.

This is what happens when you choose Yes for Question 1 and leave Question 2 blank.

No, Elder didn’t receive a majority of the votes for question 2, and many more people left question 2 blank than not. This isn’t as good of a showing for Elder than you’re making it out to be.
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Holmes
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,762
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -5.74

« Reply #2 on: September 15, 2021, 09:23:15 AM »

They're bad for CA Democrats because they have to keep dealing with Gavin f**king Newsom while Larry Elder, the worst replacement candidate, received almost a majority of the vote.

This is what happens when you choose Yes for Question 1 and leave Question 2 blank.


This is the real bad news. Elder padded Newsom’s margin, and because he won by a lot, he’s less likely to change course (and there will be less external pressure on him to do so).

Newsom is a bad Governor in need of humbling or a primary. The recall made both of these things less likely.

Newsom is emboldened by his victory in the recall, and I'm sure he now believes that he has a mandate from the electorate, even more so than what he possessed before. California voters will now have to deal with the consequences; they have no grounds to complain about Newsom in the future.

We’re actually still allowed to complain about whoever we want.
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Holmes
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,762
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -5.74

« Reply #3 on: September 30, 2021, 11:21:16 AM »

After CV and the Inland results, I think we are safe to say that these results were quite pathetic for democrats. Especially San Bernardino County where Biden won by double digits.

Is "here's why the No landslide is bad for Democrats" the new "here's how Bernie can still win"?
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