Virginia Mega Thread: The Youngkin Administration

[KaiserDave]

Safe D (sane, normal)

[jamestroll]

Between tomorrow and Nov 2nd, Glenn Youngkin has the resources to blast the airwaves, digital ads, and mailers.. literally 24 hours a day.. which does scare me.

[Duke of York]

Between tomorrow and Nov 2nd, Glenn Youngkin has the resources to blast the airwaves, digital ads, and mailers.. literally 24 hours a day.. which does scare me.

it is concerning however outside groups and super pacs will raise tons of money too and air ads. Youngkin has all but embraced the big lie and Trumpism. That's not going to play well in the state.

[Born to Slay. Forced to Work.]

Between tomorrow and Nov 2nd, Glenn Youngkin has the resources to blast the airwaves, digital ads, and mailers.. literally 24 hours a day.. which does scare me.

So did Jaime Harrison…

[lfromnj]

Between tomorrow and Nov 2nd, Glenn Youngkin has the resources to blast the airwaves, digital ads, and mailers.. literally 24 hours a day.. which does scare me.

Yeah Im sure an ex DNC chair and former governor will have no resources.

[Skunk]

https://twitter.com/demgovs/status/1359984813915181056

[jamestroll]

After last night I have two predictions.

1) Terry McAuliffe will be he next governor of VA. He won't win by much but he will win. Sticking with by 3 to 5%.

2) There will not be any pandemic restrictions nor any mask mandates whatsoever past June 15th.

[jamestroll]

And cool! 25 pages. Would be funny if we get to 100 pages.

[JMT]

What do folks think about the claim that Youngkin was the GOP establishment’s favored candidate? Did establishment groups prefer Youngkin over Snyder?

Even if they preferred Youngkin over Snyder, it seemed that Kirk Cox was the most “establishment” candidate, given his long legislative career and list of endorsements.

https://twitter.com/politics1com/status/1392067230595170309?s=21

[LabourJersey]

What do folks think about the claim that Youngkin was the GOP establishment’s favored candidate? Did establishment groups prefer Youngkin over Snyder?

Even if they preferred Youngkin over Snyder, it seemed that Kirk Cox was the most “establishment” candidate, given his long legislative career and list of endorsements.

https://twitter.com/politics1com/status/1392067230595170309?s=21

If true that only shows just how Trumpy the Virginia GOP has become.

[Oryxslayer]

What do folks think about the claim that Youngkin was the GOP establishment’s favored candidate? Did establishment groups prefer Youngkin over Snyder?

Even if they preferred Youngkin over Snyder, it seemed that Kirk Cox was the most “establishment” candidate, given his long legislative career and list of endorsements.

https://twitter.com/politics1com/status/1392067230595170309?s=21

Different groups of elected GOP types supported different guys. Cox had the support from years of legislative experience in and around VA, Snyder had the backing of GOP party types, and Youngkin had the backing of evangelical politicians. There was no proverbial consolidation unless you mean in opposition to Chase.

[Roll Roons]

I didn't realize that Amanda Chase's district only voted for Trump by 4 points. I'm surprised it would elect someone as crazy as her.

[Chips]

Also, if you guys want a good city to look out for on election night, It's Radford. While Radford is tiny, it's been within a point or just over a point of the statewide vote in the past three presidential elections with a slight tilt to the GOP compared with the statewide vote. A Republican can lose statewide while winning Radford, but a close Radford could mean a very competitive election.

[Roll Roons]

For some reason, Youngkin doesn't have a Wikipedia page yet.

[LtNOWIS]

https://twitter.com/demgovs/status/1359984813915181056

This is extremely relevant to my interests. I'd forgotten about that companies involvement with the whole masters sale issue.

For some reason, Youngkin doesn't have a Wikipedia page yet.

They rejected a draft version of it 44 days ago, because it didn't show him as notable. An improved version of the article was re-submitted before the convention and is awaiting approval.

Random business people, even CEOs with a lot of power and influence, have a hard time getting Wikipedia article because you have to show how their worthy of an article. By contrast, every state legislator is inherently notable on Wikipedia, even if they're not very important in an objective sense.

[Oryxslayer]

Anyway, it looks like Winsome Sears will be the nominee for Lt. Gov. She's running a close second in the appropriate bases for Hugo and Davis, and then doing will across the southside an Richmond.

Sears is a peculiar candidate. She has prior government experience, but ran as an outsider vs Hugo and Davis's recent time in the HoD. She is closer to the democratic position on some issues, but then is ardent supporter of GOP 'election integrity' efforts. She is endorsed by Bob Good and E.W. Jackson, but also argued GOP voters should write in her name in the 2018 Senate race because Corey Steward was the GOP nominee.

[Sir Mohamed]

When mostly unknown businesspeople get a nomination 4 gov instead of well established politicians, isn't that an obvious sign no serious officeholder wants him/herself get embarrassed in an inevitable loss?

[jamestroll]

The nomination of Youngkin could end up good for Democrats really. They have woken up since last night!

I could easily see Cox potentially having winning this November under sleepy Democrats.

This race should be fun but I worry about the potential of violence between Youngkin and McAufflie supporters this November.

[Vosem]

What do folks think about the claim that Youngkin was the GOP establishment’s favored candidate? Did establishment groups prefer Youngkin over Snyder?

Virginia was a state where the old establishment vs. Tea Party divide was really strong, and towards the mid-2010s the Tea Party largely "won" (in the sense of normally winning statewide nominating contests). The old establishment's choice was Cox. The old Tea Party/modern establishment's choice was Snyder. National Trumpy groups mostly avoided this race but those who got involved also backed Snyder. Chase tried to paint herself as the most right-wing candidate, but she didn't really have a lot of resources even though she got free media, and ended up going far enough to alienate most of the party.

Youngkin wasn't really affiliated with anyone (really, he's more of a Texas GOP establishment candidate), but he spent way more than everyone else and managed to come up the middle because the primary between Snyder and Chase got really nasty. At the very end the establishment backed him to avoid bad blood if either Snyder or Chase were nominated (by far his strongest source of preferences, ultimately, was Cox).

The primary strategy reminds me of Rick Snyder 2010, actually, or maybe Bill Haslam. Been a while since someone successfully bought a Republican gubernatorial nomination by outspending everyone massively and coming up the middle between two feuding very-right candidates.

[jamestroll]

The group I am in called REOPEN VIRGINIA are very sad and disappointed that Chase is not the nominee but they are all predicting like double digit wins for Youngkin and Miyares and 15 + seat gain in the HOD.

[Tender Branson]

My first Mason-Dixon poll prediction:

46% T-Mac (D)
44% Youngkin (R)
  1% Other
  9% Undecided

[DINGO Joe]

The group I am in called REOPEN VIRGINIA are very sad and disappointed that Chase is not the nominee but they are all predicting like double digit wins for Youngkin and Miyares and 15 + seat gain in the HOD.

Again, the group you are in is a bunch of idiots.

[VAR]

First Mason-Dixon poll:

46% T-Mac (D)
44% Youngkin (R)
  1% Other
  9% Undecided

Link?

[Tender Branson]

First Mason-Dixon poll:

46% T-Mac (D)
44% Youngkin (R)
  1% Other
  9% Undecided

Link?

Prediction.

[jamestroll]

My predictions:

This thread will end up with 100 pages.

And Terry Mcaufflie will win by 3%. Basically the destined result this entire time