Alben Barkley
KYWildman
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Posts: 19,284
Political Matrix E: -2.97, S: -5.74
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« on: May 13, 2019, 11:06:01 PM » |
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« edited: May 13, 2019, 11:09:19 PM by KYWildman »
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Democrats actually won the House popular vote in Iowa last year, and they won it in Colorado decisively, along with just about every other race in the state. Colorado is long gone for the GOP. Iowa is still pretty damn elastic indeed, and while I don't think it's necessarily all that likely to abandon Trump, it's far from impossible (just look at the Trump approval rating in the state via Morning Consult), and far more likely than Colorado suddenly embracing Trump. It's probably somewhere in the second tier of states I think could flip, behind MI, WI, PA, and AZ but above OH, NV, and TX. Can't decide how to order IA, FL, NH, and GA but it's in that tier. Theoretically Florida at least should probably be more likely to flip, but I've just given up trying to predict that damn state.
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