The Official Obama 2.0 Approval Ratings Thread

[Tender Branson]

NH (UNH):

53-44 approve

http://www.unh.edu/survey-center/news/pdf/gsp2013_winter_presapp020613.pdf

[pbrower2a]

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[/quote]

Higher approval than voting results.

NH (UNH):

53-44 approve

http://www.unh.edu/survey-center/news/pdf/gsp2013_winter_presapp020613.pdf

Colorado, anyone?


60% or higher maroon (70% saturation)
55-59% medium red (50% saturation)
50-54% pink (30% saturation)
45-49% orange -- Obama ahead (20% saturation)
45-49% yellow -- exact tie (30% saturation)
45-49% aqua -- Obama behind (20% saturation)
40-44% blue (50% saturation)
under 40% deep blue (70% saturation)

[pbrower2a]

PPP is surveying Georgia and Montana this weekend.  I am surprised that Q has yet to look at Connecticut or Wisconsin. 

What would I like to see?

1. Colorado. The tipping-point state of 2012.

2. Missouri. Could it be a bellwether again?

3. Wisconsin.  Fringe of competitiveness, popularity or lack thereof of the governor.

4. Arizona. Fringe of competitiveness.

5. Washington. Most electoral votes not yet shown. 

6. South Dakota. Hot Senate race possible. 

[JerryArkansas]

I really want PPP to do Arkansas.  We have a big Governors and Senate race in 2014 and we also have the possibility of Hilldog in 2016.  I would like to see how see would do as of right now.

[pbrower2a]

I really want PPP to do Arkansas.  We have a big Governors and Senate race in 2014 and we also have the possibility of Hilldog in 2016.  I would like to see how see would do as of right now.

The five states that Bill Clinton won twice and Obama never came close to winning even once (AR, KY, LA, TN, and LA) comprise 38 electoral votes, which is as much as... Texas.

Arkansas would be interesting. Tennessee would probably be about the same.

A suggestion for PPP in both Arkansas and Tennessee -- Al Gore vs. George W. Bush. 

[Tender Branson]

NJ (Monmouth University):

Adults: 62-31 approve
RV: 60-33 approve

This marks only the second time Obama reached 60% approval in the Garden State. The previous 60% approval rating came in May 2011, shortly after Osama bin Laden was killed.

The Monmouth University/Asbury Park Press Poll was conducted by telephone with 803 New
Jersey adults from February 6 to 10, 2013. This sample has a margin of error of + 3.5 percent.

http://www.monmouth.edu/assets/0/84/159/2147483694/9a457a35-8573-4b66-9881-01ca11d1fb6d.pdf

[pbrower2a]

NJ (Monmouth University):

Adults: 62-31 approve
RV: 60-33 approve

This marks only the second time Obama reached 60% approval in the Garden State. The previous 60% approval rating came in May 2011, shortly after Osama bin Laden was killed.

The Monmouth University/Asbury Park Press Poll was conducted by telephone with 803 New
Jersey adults from February 6 to 10, 2013. This sample has a margin of error of + 3.5 percent.

http://www.monmouth.edu/assets/0/84/159/2147483694/9a457a35-8573-4b66-9881-01ca11d1fb6d.pdf

Higher than the result in the 2012 vote.

60% or higher maroon (70% saturation)
55-59% medium red (50% saturation)
50-54% pink (30% saturation)
45-49% orange -- Obama ahead (20% saturation)
45-49% yellow -- exact tie (30% saturation)
45-49% aqua -- Obama behind (20% saturation)
40-44% blue (50% saturation)
under 40% deep blue (70% saturation)

[pbrower2a]

Rasmussen again:

Monday, February 18, 2013

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Monday shows that 54% of Likely U.S. Voters approve of President Obama's job performance. Forty-five percent (45%) disapprove.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/obama_administration/daily_presidential_tracking_poll

[Tender Branson]

SC (Winthrop University):

48-45 approve (adults)
48-47 approve (RV)

http://www.winthrop.edu/winthroppoll/default.aspx?id=9804&ekmensel=fee512e3_566_0_9804_3

[Tender Branson]

CA (Field Poll):

62% approve

http://www.sfgate.com/politics/article/Obama-approval-rating-up-in-California-4292220.php

[SUSAN CRUSHBONE]

SC (Winthrop University):

48-45 approve (adults)
48-47 approve (RV)

http://www.winthrop.edu/winthroppoll/default.aspx?id=9804&ekmensel=fee512e3_566_0_9804_3

That seems a bit off.

[Tender Branson]

SC (Winthrop University):

48-45 approve (adults)
48-47 approve (RV)

http://www.winthrop.edu/winthroppoll/default.aspx?id=9804&ekmensel=fee512e3_566_0_9804_3

That seems a bit off.

Maybe a bit, but recent state polls have all shown higher approval there than he got in the Nov. election.

Which means he could actually have a tied approval among all RV SC voters.

[pbrower2a]

Georgia Survey Results (PPP)

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Close to the 2012 result.

SC (Winthrop University):

48-45 approve (adults)
48-47 approve (RV)

http://www.winthrop.edu/winthroppoll/default.aspx?id=9804&ekmensel=fee512e3_566_0_9804_3

Huh? I'd go with "registered voters". This has been a crazy pollster.

CA (Field Poll):

62% approve

http://www.sfgate.com/politics/article/Obama-approval-rating-up-in-California-4292220.php

No controversy there.

60% or higher maroon (70% saturation)
55-59% medium red (50% saturation)
50-54% pink (30% saturation)
45-49% orange -- Obama ahead (20% saturation)
45-49% yellow -- exact tie (30% saturation)
45-49% aqua -- Obama behind (20% saturation)
40-44% blue (50% saturation)
under 40% deep blue (70% saturation)

[Tender Branson]

New national polls by Bloomberg/Selzer and USAToday/Pew:

Bloomy: 55-40 approve

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2013-02-21/obama-rated-at-3-year-high-in-poll-republicans-at-bottom.html

USAToday: 51-41 approve

http://www.people-press.org/files/legacy-questionnaires/02-21-13%20Political%20Topline%20for%20Release.pdf

[Tender Branson]

VA (Quinnipiac):

51-46

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/institutes-centers/polling-institute/virginia/release-detail?ReleaseID=1854

NJ (Quinnipiac):

57-40

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/institutes-centers/polling-institute/new-jersey/release-detail?ReleaseID=1853

[Lief 🗽]

The people truly do love him.

[pbrower2a]

The people truly do love him.

Not in Montana.  

Montana Survey Results (PPP)

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http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_MT_022113.pdf

But as elsewhere, approval is above the vote for him.

These two require no great change.

VA (Quinnipiac):

51-46

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/institutes-centers/polling-institute/virginia/release-detail?ReleaseID=1854

NJ (Quinnipiac):

57-40

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/institutes-centers/polling-institute/new-jersey/release-detail?ReleaseID=1853

60% or higher maroon (70% saturation)
55-59% medium red (50% saturation)
50-54% pink (30% saturation)
45-49% orange -- Obama ahead (20% saturation)
45-49% yellow -- exact tie (30% saturation)
45-49% aqua -- Obama behind (20% saturation)
40-44% blue (50% saturation)
under 40% deep blue (70% saturation)

[Lief 🗽]

Yeah, but no one lives in Montana.

[Obamanation]

Why is WV so lightly shaded?

[pbrower2a]

Why is WV so lightly shaded?

A recent poll showed Obama down 45-52  instead of 43-55, or something like that.

[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

Best state in the Union, 225 years running!

[Obamanation]

Why is WV so lightly shaded?

A recent poll showed Obama down 45-52  instead of 43-55, or something like that.

Do you have a link? I'm just curious to see the poll.

[pbrower2a]

Why is WV so lightly shaded?

A recent poll showed Obama down 45-52  instead of 43-55, or something like that.

Do you have a link? I'm just curious to see the poll.

Dirty eyeglasses. I misread a "3" as a "5". Correction made. The latest poll was the Blankenship poll which showed a 43% approval rating.

[pbrower2a]

Wisconsin, PPP:

Q1 Do you approve or disapprove of President
Barack Obama’s job performance?

Approve .......................................................... 50%
Disapprove...................................................... 48%

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_WI_022613.pdf

Closer than the 2012 vote which was basically 53-46.


60% or higher maroon (70% saturation)
55-59% medium red (50% saturation)
50-54% pink (30% saturation)
45-49% orange -- Obama ahead (20% saturation)
45-49% yellow -- exact tie (30% saturation)
45-49% aqua -- Obama behind (20% saturation)
40-44% blue (50% saturation)
under 40% deep blue (70% saturation)

[Tender Branson]

NC (HPU):

Adults: 47-47
RV: 48-49

http://acme.highpoint.edu/~mkifer/src/22memoa.pdf