Post Random Maps Here 2.0. (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
May 16, 2024, 10:34:52 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Election What-ifs? (Moderator: Dereich)
  Post Random Maps Here 2.0. (search mode)
Pages: [1] 2
Author Topic: Post Random Maps Here 2.0.  (Read 209880 times)
Mr. Smith
MormDem
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 33,323
United States


« on: April 25, 2017, 02:17:45 PM »
« edited: April 25, 2017, 02:21:10 PM by L.D. Smith »
2016 with all the close plurality states flipped



Clinton/Kaine 300 EV
Trump/Pence 238 EV


Also, here's 1976 with the same idea



Carter/Mondale
Ford/Dole
Logged
Mr. Smith
MormDem
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 33,323
United States


« Reply #1 on: April 26, 2017, 03:19:01 PM »
Quote from: Peebs on April 25, 2017, 02:27:06 PM
You missed Minnesota and New Mexico (unless that was intentional). Also Utah, but that wasn't close.

I forgot Minnesota yes.

As for NM and Utah, neither of those were close at all. NM was pretty much because of Gary Johnson eating into Hillary's share.
Logged
Mr. Smith
MormDem
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 33,323
United States


« Reply #2 on: August 27, 2017, 05:37:37 PM »
« Edited: August 27, 2017, 05:57:13 PM by L.D. Smith, Aggie! It's Real Expenses Again »
Map 1



Map 2



Take a guess what these are about?
Logged
Mr. Smith
MormDem
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 33,323
United States


« Reply #3 on: September 20, 2017, 10:39:53 PM »
« Edited: September 20, 2017, 11:16:30 PM by L.D. Smith, Aggie! It's Real Expenses Again »


2000 v. 2016

Tipping Point: Massachusetts.




2000 v. 2016

Tipping Point: Minnesota
Logged
Mr. Smith
MormDem
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 33,323
United States


« Reply #4 on: September 22, 2017, 03:45:02 PM »
« Edited: September 22, 2017, 03:57:27 PM by L.D. Smith, Aggie! It's Real Expenses Again »
2000 vs 2016 Part I: With the current numbers.

Gore v. Trump



Electoral Tie!


Bush Jr vs Hillary



Bush 302 EV
Clinton 236 EV
Logged
Mr. Smith
MormDem
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 33,323
United States


« Reply #5 on: September 22, 2017, 04:03:13 PM »
« Edited: September 22, 2017, 04:06:58 PM by L.D. Smith, Aggie! It's Real Expenses Again »
Part II: 2000 EV



Gore 280 EV
Trump 259 EV



Bush 290 EV
Clinton 248 EV
Logged
Mr. Smith
MormDem
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 33,323
United States


« Reply #6 on: September 22, 2017, 04:19:18 PM »
« Edited: September 22, 2017, 04:21:38 PM by L.D. Smith, Aggie! It's Real Expenses Again »
Part III: With 2008 numbers



Gore 274 EV
Trump 264 EV



Bush 296 EV
Clinton 242 EV
Logged
Mr. Smith
MormDem
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 33,323
United States


« Reply #7 on: December 16, 2017, 02:42:05 AM »
« Edited: December 16, 2017, 02:58:27 AM by L.D. Smith, Aggie! It's Real Expenses Again »
Every Election from 1960 with the Popular Vote Swapped

1960



1964



1968



1972
Logged
Mr. Smith
MormDem
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 33,323
United States


« Reply #8 on: December 16, 2017, 11:13:59 AM »
« Edited: December 16, 2017, 11:50:58 AM by L.D. Smith, Aggie! It's Real Expenses Again »
Part II: PV Swap

1976



1980



1984



1988
Logged
Mr. Smith
MormDem
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 33,323
United States


« Reply #9 on: January 01, 2018, 04:33:17 AM »
Via the link cookiedamage cited came this:



Tipping Point: Kansas
Dems Needed to Win: Kansas, Minnesota
Logged
Mr. Smith
MormDem
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 33,323
United States


« Reply #10 on: January 15, 2018, 02:25:43 PM »
« Edited: January 15, 2018, 02:42:44 PM by L.D. Smith, Aggie! It's Real Expenses Again »
1.




2.


3.
Logged
Mr. Smith
MormDem
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 33,323
United States


« Reply #11 on: January 15, 2018, 02:45:47 PM »
« Edited: January 15, 2018, 09:04:35 PM by L.D. Smith, Aggie! It's Real Expenses Again »
part ii

4.


5.
Logged
Mr. Smith
MormDem
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 33,323
United States


« Reply #12 on: January 15, 2018, 08:59:22 PM »
Quote from: slightlyburnttoast on January 15, 2018, 03:56:55 PM

Correction, I guess not, considering Colorado should be green (unless that was an error).

Wow, how did I not notice that.

Anyway yes, that's the Senate map from 1918-2018 with 25 year intervals.
Logged
Mr. Smith
MormDem
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 33,323
United States


« Reply #13 on: January 27, 2018, 12:17:57 PM »
« Edited: January 27, 2018, 12:37:57 PM by L.D. Smith, Aggie! It's Real Expenses Again »
1948-1968 with every state won by less than 2% flipped (or if a 3rd party to the 2nd placer).


1948



Truman 324
Dewey 169
Thurmond 38

1952



Eisenhower 432 EV
Stevenson 99 EV

1956



Eisenhower 473 EV
Stevenson 58 EV

1960



Kennedy 267 EV
Nixon 262 EV
Unpledged 8 EV

NO ELECTORAL MAJORITY!

1964



L. Johnson 487 EV
Goldwater 51 EV

1968



Nixon 325 EV
Humphrey 168 EV
Wallace 45 EV
Logged
Mr. Smith
MormDem
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 33,323
United States


« Reply #14 on: January 27, 2018, 01:00:45 PM »
« Edited: January 27, 2018, 01:10:58 PM by L.D. Smith, Aggie! It's Real Expenses Again »
Part II: 1972-1996 w/ the less than 2% states flipped

The Boring Ones: No change in '72, Reagan wins all 50 '84, and only 10 EV difference in '88 (Washington to Bush Sr)

1976



Carter 367 EV
Ford 171 EV

1980



Reagan 430 EV
Carter 108 EV

1992



B. Clinton 379 EV
Bush Sr 159 EV

1996



B. Clinton 401 EV
Dole 137 EV
Logged
Mr. Smith
MormDem
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 33,323
United States


« Reply #15 on: January 27, 2018, 01:17:53 PM »
« Edited: January 27, 2018, 01:29:57 PM by L.D. Smith, Aggie! It's Real Expenses Again »
Part III (2000-Present)

2000



Bush Jr 273 EV
Gore 265 EV

2004



Bush Jr 288 EV
Kerry 250 EV

2008



Obama 349 EV
McCain 189 EV

2012: Florida goes to Romney (Obama 303- 235)

2016



H. Clinton 293 EV
Trump 245 EV
Logged
Mr. Smith
MormDem
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 33,323
United States


« Reply #16 on: January 28, 2018, 02:44:59 AM »
« Edited: January 28, 2018, 02:50:21 AM by L.D. Smith, Aggie! It's Real Expenses Again »
A Century Ago

1912



Wilson
T. Roosevelt 88 EV
Taft 33 EV

1916



Wilson 289 EV
Hughes 242 EV
Logged
Mr. Smith
MormDem
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 33,323
United States


« Reply #17 on: March 12, 2018, 03:31:43 AM »


States with Women as Governors
States with Women as Senators
Both
Logged
Mr. Smith
MormDem
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 33,323
United States


« Reply #18 on: March 22, 2018, 01:32:55 AM »
« Edited: March 22, 2018, 11:44:03 AM by L.D. Smith, Aggie! It's Real Expenses Again »


..So much for Bernie being perfect in the Interior and Obama being great for California
Logged
Mr. Smith
MormDem
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 33,323
United States


« Reply #19 on: March 31, 2018, 08:11:55 PM »
« Edited: March 31, 2018, 09:58:59 PM by L.D. Smith, Aggie! It's Real Expenses Again »
Uniform Shift 1: '12-'16



Hillary Clinton/Elizabeth Warren: 272 EV, 49% pv
Donald Trump/Chris Christie: 266 EV, 47% pv

Uniform Shift 2: '08-'12



Obama/Biden: 285 EV, 50% pv
Romney/Ryan: 253 EV, 46% pv

Uniform Shift 3: '04-'08



Obama/Biden: 405 EV, 53% pv
McCain/Lieberman: 133 EV, 46% pv

Uniform Shift 4: 2000-2004



Bush/Cheney: 303 EV, 50% pv
Kerry/Dean: 235 EV, 48.5% pv
Logged
Mr. Smith
MormDem
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 33,323
United States


« Reply #20 on: April 01, 2018, 05:00:41 PM »
Quote from: Curvy Girls Are Gross! on April 01, 2018, 04:12:32 PM
Quote from: L.D. Smith, Aggie! It's Real Expenses Again on March 31, 2018, 08:11:55 PM
Uniform Shift 1: '12-'16



Hillary Clinton/Elizabeth Warren: 272 EV, 49% pv
Donald Trump/Chris Christie: 266 EV, 47% pv

Uniform Shift 2: '08-'12



Obama/Biden: 285 EV, 50% pv
Romney/Ryan: 253 EV, 46% pv

Uniform Shift 3: '04-'08



Obama/Biden: 405 EV, 53% pv
McCain/Lieberman: 133 EV, 46% pv

Uniform Shift 4: 2000-2004



Bush/Cheney: 303 EV, 50% pv
Kerry/Dean: 235 EV, 48.5% pv
The country shifted roughly 10% D from 2004-'08, but Kerry lost Tennessee by 14% in 2004... How does Obama win it here?

The country shifted 8 points from 1R (roughly)- 7 D, I simply added 8 to the D column and took 8 away from the R column. This result is that Tennessee is won by Obama by 2 points.
Logged
Mr. Smith
MormDem
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 33,323
United States


« Reply #21 on: April 02, 2018, 01:31:17 PM »
Quote from: America's Sweetheart ❤ on April 01, 2018, 05:48:49 PM
Quote from: L.D. Smith, Aggie! It's Real Expenses Again on April 01, 2018, 05:00:41 PM
Quote from: Curvy Girls Are Gross! on April 01, 2018, 04:12:32 PM
Quote from: L.D. Smith, Aggie! It's Real Expenses Again on March 31, 2018, 08:11:55 PM
Uniform Shift 1: '12-'16



Hillary Clinton/Elizabeth Warren: 272 EV, 49% pv
Donald Trump/Chris Christie: 266 EV, 47% pv

Uniform Shift 2: '08-'12



Obama/Biden: 285 EV, 50% pv
Romney/Ryan: 253 EV, 46% pv

Uniform Shift 3: '04-'08



Obama/Biden: 405 EV, 53% pv
McCain/Lieberman: 133 EV, 46% pv

Uniform Shift 4: 2000-2004



Bush/Cheney: 303 EV, 50% pv
Kerry/Dean: 235 EV, 48.5% pv
The country shifted roughly 10% D from 2004-'08, but Kerry lost Tennessee by 14% in 2004... How does Obama win it here?

The country shifted 8 points from 1R (roughly)- 7 D, I simply added 8 to the D column and took 8 away from the R column. This result is that Tennessee is won by Obama by 2 points.

So the result is that Obama wins every state that Kerry lost by 16% or less, right? Also Bush won the PV by 2.5% in 2004.

Misread it as 1.4% which I rounded down to 1.

Quote from: King Lear, Final Version on April 01, 2018, 05:27:37 PM
Quote from: L.D. Smith, Aggie! It's Real Expenses Again on April 01, 2018, 05:00:41 PM
Quote from: Curvy Girls Are Gross! on April 01, 2018, 04:12:32 PM
Quote from: L.D. Smith, Aggie! It's Real Expenses Again on March 31, 2018, 08:11:55 PM
Uniform Shift 1: '12-'16



Hillary Clinton/Elizabeth Warren: 272 EV, 49% pv
Donald Trump/Chris Christie: 266 EV, 47% pv

Uniform Shift 2: '08-'12



Obama/Biden: 285 EV, 50% pv
Romney/Ryan: 253 EV, 46% pv

Uniform Shift 3: '04-'08



Obama/Biden: 405 EV, 53% pv
McCain/Lieberman: 133 EV, 46% pv

Uniform Shift 4: 2000-2004



Bush/Cheney: 303 EV, 50% pv
Kerry/Dean: 235 EV, 48.5% pv
The country shifted roughly 10% D from 2004-'08, but Kerry lost Tennessee by 14% in 2004... How does Obama win it here?

The country shifted 8 points from 1R (roughly)- 7 D, I simply added 8 to the D column and took 8 away from the R column. This result is that Tennessee is won by Obama by 2 points.

You are doubling the swing there then. If the country shifted 8 points D, then you would add 4 points to the Democrats and subtract 4 from the Republicans for a uniform swing.

...Math was never my strong suit. If that's true, then I guess the appropriate name is "double swing" since that's pretty much the entire shtick.

Good thing this is the "random maps" thread and not something with higher stakes.
Logged
Mr. Smith
MormDem
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 33,323
United States


« Reply #22 on: April 06, 2018, 03:57:05 PM »
Clintopia: Or Every State that voted for The Clintons in the primaries at every turn.



Oh and North Dakota, which didn't even vote for Bill in 1996.
Logged
Mr. Smith
MormDem
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 33,323
United States


« Reply #23 on: April 06, 2018, 04:04:28 PM »


The Bush-archy
Logged
Mr. Smith
MormDem
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 33,323
United States


« Reply #24 on: June 04, 2018, 11:29:45 PM »
Logged
Pages: [1] 2  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.47 seconds with 8 queries.