2020 Absentee/Early Voting thread

[philly09]

https://twitter.com/DaNumbersGuy/status/1319091051072753664

[Bootes Void]

The Democrats lead is down to 11% in Florida!!! The In person vote is cutting into democrats lead slowly but surely...Can Trump close the gap? Hopefully but we will see!

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/17YKazYaUMZ33vmd4YHDKcVdlTkP5DmnHQQlAttwOzL0/htmlview?pru=AAABdWY-2lM*RELmuWopShoDq9-h3Bl_Tw#

F**k.
And to think people still believe Florida will flip.

jesus christ guys wasnt this something we should all be expecting. dems lead by vbm, but republicans will make it up in person. anyway the daily ballots being processed have increased and should continue  till election day

[Non Swing Voter]

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Z53F4993rlc

This is a great video

[philly09]

Just talked to a friend who lives in the Westchester part of Miami Dade, they've had torrential downpours for the last 48 hours. That might have something to do with the totals. As far as he's concerned, they're doing fine, he's been canvassing and phone banking.

[kireev]

Michael McDonald tweeted on Nov 1st, 2016, just a week before the election,  that DEM advantage in CO was 2.6% after just over a million votes. https://twitter.com/ElectProject/status/793477147964899328
We are at  1,237,892   votes 13 days before the election and DEM advantage is 16 points. The difference is pretty huge.

Neither Hillary, nor Biden were/are going to lose Colorado.

True. But it shows higher voter enthusiasm on the democratic side (and I cautiously say it also hints at Biden's double digit win in CO), and that the turnout is going to be higher this time - but that we also knew before.

[Non Swing Voter]

Michael McDonald tweeted on Nov 1st, 2016, just a week before the election,  that DEM advantage in CO was 2.6% after just over a million votes. https://twitter.com/ElectProject/status/793477147964899328
We are at  1,237,892   votes 13 days before the election and DEM advantage is 16 points. The difference is pretty huge.

And spineless loser Cory Gardner will still vote for ACB to the Supreme Court.

Why wouldn't he? He's a dead man walking either way.

I dunno, I guess maybe I feel like some people should go into public service to actually serve their constituents rather than trying to keep alliances for a cushy lobbying job after their tenure ends?

[Stockdale for Veep]

Using the sunshine precedent, Dems need a 292K lead in NC.

[It’s so Joever]

I hate this election already and not a single state has been called.

[ProgressiveModerate]

I hate this election already and not a single state has been called.

You’re going to say that no matter how much evidence points to a Biden win

[Dr. Arch]

I hate this election already and not a single state has been called.

This is 100% your own doing. Stop being an elections bed wetter.

[MATTROSE94]

Using the sunshine precedent, Dems need a 292K lead in NC.

What is their lead in North Carolina right now?

[ProgressiveModerate]

Using the sunshine precedent, Dems need a 292K lead in NC.

What is their lead in North Carolina right now?

About 200k, 325k to 125k with a little over 200k undecides

[EJ24]

LOL what's with the doomers in this thread?

This has been a spectacular day for Biden in polls and early vote is sky high 2 weeks out. We're in great shape here.

[philly09]

LOL what's with the doomers in this thread?

This has been a spectacular day for Biden in polls and early vote is sky high 2 weeks out. We're in great shape here.

Yep, 43 Million votes now. 3 million shy of the 2016 total. We will break the record either tonight or tomorrow. For whatever reason KY hasn't report to MM in a few days , but he will call tomorrow to get an updated total.

[Gass3268]

It's true that today is the first day that Republicans topped Democrats for a given day. The "who won the day" record now stands at:

Democrats 20
Republicans 1

Democrats have had 13 better days so far this month than Republicans had today.

I came up with a spreadsheet using data from the one that is been shared in this thread that better shows daily vote totals.

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1NXP9l3Kkfywdn5vp1mAdt6gkbCYVEbHqU2ErOzmxce0/edit?usp=sharing

[Gass3268]

Using the sunshine precedent, Dems need a 292K lead in NC.

Sunshine precedent?

[philly09]

Also, while Democrats have 460k lead over the GOP in FL, it's probably higher when you factor in the 800k NPAs that have voted so far.

[Holmes]

Also, while Democrats have 460k lead over the GOP in FL, it's probably higher when you factor in the 800k NPAs that have voted so far.

This.

Also... obviously Republicans will catch up. The registration numbers between Democrats and Republicans in the state are very close. It's not like Dems were going to continuously go up every day and then every Republican in the state was just going to only vote on election day.

[Gass3268]

Also, while Democrats have 460k lead over the GOP in FL, it's probably higher when you factor in the 800k NPAs that have voted so far.

This.

Also... obviously Republicans will catch up. The registration numbers between Democrats and Republicans in the state are very close. It's not like Dems were going to continuously go up every day and then every Republican in the state was just going to only vote on election day.

It's not like Republicans weren't going to vote, especially in a state like Florida were there is a history of Republicans voting early, either by mail or in person.

[Horus]

I'm a pretty big doomer but I'm not seeing the horrible problems for Biden?

Only so much can be determined from early voting.

This year is obviously different due to COVID.

Dem turnout is supercharged.

I don't put a whole lot of stock into the EV threads, but the one from four years ago had better numbers for Trump AND more confidence in Clinton. I think (hope) we have learned.

[Non Swing Voter]

https://twitter.com/pbump/status/1319115514992611328

[Non Swing Voter]

Using the sunshine precedent, Dems need a 292K lead in NC.

Sunshine precedent?

Sunshine precedent = Dems need a 600k lead in FL to win.

I'm assuming they need 292k lead in NC based on the population difference or something.

[Gass3268]

Using the sunshine precedent, Dems need a 292K lead in NC.

Sunshine precedent?

Sunshine precedent = Dems need a 600k lead in FL to win.

I'm assuming they need 292k lead in NC based on the population difference or something.

Gotcha

[Buzz]

Its way too early for bedwetting either way people.  Its an unprecedented year.

[It’s so Joever]

https://twitter.com/pbump/status/1319115514992611328

Useful data, awful design.
Whoever made this graph deserves a thumbs up and the electric chair.