Is Lauren Boebert at all endangered?

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

I do think Boebert is in real danger, but not because of the primary.  Boebart is probably not going to face any charges out of the one vehicle crash she caused and then tried to cover up (that said abandoning your kid - not going to get help, just straight up bailing - right after a crash where at least one person in the vehicle suffered serious injuries because you don’t want to get caught at the scene of an accident so close to an election is pretty despicable). 

However, I’ve had Boebart on my list of Congresspersons whom I wouldn’t be surprised to see indicted (along with Matt Gaetz, Pat Fallon, Marie Newman, Steven Horsford, and Stanford Bishop).  She’s had a consistent and long-standing pattern of blatantly using tens of thousands of campaign contributions form to pay personal bills (such as paying off tax liens) and then very sloppily trying to hide it by over-reporting her fuel mileage reimbursements.  Boebart has been running this scam for quite a while, long enough that you can’t reasonably argue it is an oversight or that it was just a reporting mistake.  I figured she was under investigation and sure enough the Colorado AG’s office just referred a fraud complaint against her regarding this stuff for investigation to determine what, if any, criminal charges are appropriate.  If Boebart gets indicted then I do think that’ll be the end for her. 

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

Boebert does strike me as someone who'll eventually be gone just like MTG because such lightning rod of controversy types don't remain forever in Congress. Steve King is a recent example of one losing. Obviously more vulnerable in the primary but unlike MTG Boebert could lose in a really bad wave, it's a very polarized district with a high D floor and she only won by 6 points in 2018 before she was so controversial. So this isn't the year, but if there was a bet on her still being around at the end of the decade I'd bet against it.

Sorta like Musgrave?