KY, MS etc. Results Thread
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  KY, MS etc. Results Thread
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Author Topic: KY, MS etc. Results Thread  (Read 46407 times)
GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #525 on: November 05, 2019, 09:00:06 PM »

Well, this is disappointing.  I really liked Bevin (but apparently I was the only one).  Kentucky has still never re-elected a Republican governor.

TBF, it had a one-term limit until 1992.
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7,052,770
Harry
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« Reply #526 on: November 05, 2019, 09:00:15 PM »

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KaiserDave
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« Reply #527 on: November 05, 2019, 09:00:22 PM »

Wow, I am very very wrong and I thank the people of Kentucky for proving me so.
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Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.
Nathan
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« Reply #528 on: November 05, 2019, 09:00:39 PM »

Guys, it's 97% in on CNN, with Jefferson at 96%, and Beshear still has a 0.7% lead. At worst this falls into recount margin. Relax.
When have I heard this before?

I don't know, when have you? Literally a greater percentage of Jefferson is still out than of the rest of the state.

Beshear is going to win, but there are Republican leaning parts of Jefferson County that they could theoretically be.  Not that Bevin has enough votes regardless.

The rest of Jefferson just dropped on CNN and Beshear is back up to 0.8% with 99% in.
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DeSantis4Prez
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« Reply #529 on: November 05, 2019, 09:01:00 PM »

10,000 margain
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #530 on: November 05, 2019, 09:01:04 PM »

Great news😃
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BP🌹
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« Reply #531 on: November 05, 2019, 09:01:18 PM »

I guess I stand corrected.
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Sbane
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« Reply #532 on: November 05, 2019, 09:01:30 PM »

Loving those numbers out of the cincy burbs haha
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lfromnj
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« Reply #533 on: November 05, 2019, 09:01:48 PM »

Guys, it's 97% in on CNN, with Jefferson at 96%, and Beshear still has a 0.7% lead. At worst this falls into recount margin. Relax.
When have I heard this before?

I don't know, when have you? Literally a greater percentage of Jefferson is still out than of the rest of the state.

Beshear is going to win, but there are Republican leaning parts of Jefferson County that they could theoretically be.  Not that Bevin has enough votes regardless.

Its a mix. A few mild D suburbs(for beshear obviously strong for Trump) a few white lib areas and 2 black precints
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H.E. VOLODYMYR ZELENKSYY
Alfred F. Jones
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« Reply #534 on: November 05, 2019, 09:01:49 PM »

Well, this is disappointing.  I really liked Bevin (but apparently I was the only one).  Kentucky has still never re-elected a Republican governor.

TBF, it had a one-term limit until 1992.

They’ve also never had a Republican be succeeded by another Republican.
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OBD
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #535 on: November 05, 2019, 09:01:54 PM »

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Cinemark
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« Reply #536 on: November 05, 2019, 09:02:03 PM »

Wow, I am very very wrong and I thank the people of Kentucky for proving me so.

Dude, take a chill pill.
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Alben Barkley
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« Reply #537 on: November 05, 2019, 09:02:40 PM »

Well, speaking as someone who really didn't think it was possible for Beshear to win, I'll eat some humble pie. I was desd wrong about this race, and I'm thrilled that (it looks like) Kentucky gave Bevin the boot. People can quote my old posts and laugh at them to their heart's content. I deserve it. Congrats to the people who predicted Beshear would win, and I'll remember this when making predictions in the future.

It just goes to show, like I’ve been trying to say ever since I signed up for this site specifically to respond to the “Bevin is inevitable” circlejerk: You can talk about national trends and partisan leans and crap all day from afar, but it doesn’t mean s—t unless you take into account unique factors relating to individual states. In this case, two MAJOR factors that led me to predict a Beshear win were the fact that Kentucky has a huge discrepancy between how it votes in national and state elections (especially governor) and Bevin was VERY unpopular. Things I knew particularly well being born and raised in this state. The number of people who just ignored these critical factors and predicted landslides for Bevin, as if you could just treat him as a substitute for Trump and apply 2016 trends, was staggering. Elections don’t take place in a vacuum!
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ctherainbow
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« Reply #538 on: November 05, 2019, 09:02:45 PM »

So does Politico or CNN have Fulton County wrong?  Because their results are exactly opposite each other.    Angry
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KaiserDave
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« Reply #539 on: November 05, 2019, 09:03:30 PM »

Wow, I am very very wrong and I thank the people of Kentucky for proving me so.

Dude, take a chill pill.

How can I! Kentucky just elected a Democrat! And as a Democrat who loves election nights, the answer is a definite no.
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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #540 on: November 05, 2019, 09:03:52 PM »

Amazing.

MS was supposed to be the possible sleeper according to Atlas, not KY. Whoops.

I guess Junior actually did do something right for Reeves-ey
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libertpaulian
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« Reply #541 on: November 05, 2019, 09:04:15 PM »

CNN has yet to report Ballard and Grayson.
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Cinemark
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« Reply #542 on: November 05, 2019, 09:04:19 PM »

I'm terrible at math, but both Grayson and Ballard counties are small in terms of population. I dont think either have enough votes to get Bevin back on top.
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Crumpets
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« Reply #543 on: November 05, 2019, 09:04:52 PM »

About 33,100 votes out with Bevin down 13,690 votes. If Beshear gets at least 30% of the remaining votes, he should win.
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KaiserDave
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« Reply #544 on: November 05, 2019, 09:04:52 PM »

Well, speaking as someone who really didn't think it was possible for Beshear to win, I'll eat some humble pie. I was desd wrong about this race, and I'm thrilled that (it looks like) Kentucky gave Bevin the boot. People can quote my old posts and laugh at them to their heart's content. I deserve it. Congrats to the people who predicted Beshear would win, and I'll remember this when making predictions in the future.

It just goes to show, like I’ve been trying to say ever since I signed up for this site specifically to respond to the “Bevin is inevitable” circlejerk: You can talk about national trends and partisan leans and crap all day from afar, but it doesn’t mean s—t unless you take into account unique factors relating to individual states. In this case, two MAJOR factors that led me to predict a Beshear win were the fact that Kentucky has a huge discrepancy between how it votes in national and state elections (especially governor) and Bevin was VERY unpopular. Things I knew particularly well being born and raised in this state. The number of people who just ignored these critical factors and predicted landslides for Bevin, as if you could just treat him as a substitute for Trump and apply 2016 trends, was staggering. Elections don’t take place in a vacuum!

I for one apologize for my blindness in this regard. This is certainly a distinct situation.
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Gracile
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« Reply #545 on: November 05, 2019, 09:04:58 PM »

It's going to be close, but I don't think Bevin will make up the deficit enough to win.
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Podgy the Bear
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« Reply #546 on: November 05, 2019, 09:05:24 PM »

Nice to see those counties in eastern KY swinging back to the days of 1996.
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ηєω ƒяσηтιєя
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« Reply #547 on: November 05, 2019, 09:06:07 PM »

Only Beshear is winning among KY Dems?

Wow, so it really is an anti-Bevin vote at the top.
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Epaminondas
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« Reply #548 on: November 05, 2019, 09:06:40 PM »
« Edited: November 05, 2019, 09:12:34 PM by Epaminondas »

Beshear on track to win 710,000 votes, or 30k more than Obama 2012.
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Pericles
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« Reply #549 on: November 05, 2019, 09:07:29 PM »

Only Beshear is winning amount KY Dems?

Wow, so it really is an anti-Bevin vote at the top.

Yeah, it looks like Dems have fallen just short for SoS and the rest are landslides.
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