2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread

[Suburbia]

If Biden wins the blue wall:

1. Realize that you need white voters in the Midwest
2. Moderate on BLM
3. Focus on Latino issues
4. Dump heavy identity politics----yes, black people have it hard in America but don't tear down other groups to make a point about it

[RINO Tom]

Hidalgo County, Texas

Biden: 59%
Trump: 40%

Clinton: 68%
Trump: 28%


Uhhh, is anyone else concerned by like the 20% swing to Trump in like exclusively Mexican-American counties?

I mean this is like Bush in 2004 levels amongst hispanics. Regardless of who wins, this is going to be the story of the night.

He literally staked his political career on hispanics being evil and they vote for him.  Don't get it.

Illegal immigrants*

[Penn_Quaker_Girl]

Ohio is behaving unexpectedly tonight. 

About 50% of the vote still out in Cuyahoga.  And that 30 pt. lead for Biden in Hamilton (albeit with only about half the vote in) is pretty stunning. 

I still definitely don't have Ohio flipping -- like in any scenario, but still, it's something to watch. 

[It’s so Joever]

Crazy Forumlurker was right on Covid and predicted all three waves, now crazy Forumlurker appears to be right again.

Is this enough for Atlas to understand just how much of a bubble we are?

[MasterJedi]

FOX News website has Biden winning Ohio with over 80% probability.

Also has Biden winning NC at 93% and Biden winning GA at 75%.

Stuff is really not adding up at the moment; it's best to wait a while before wetting the bed.

Well then people shouldn't point to NYT and there predictor model. I swear the S avatars really out here rooting for a Trump win.

There’s not much difference between them and the Trumpers. Far right/left are almost the same.

[SPQR]

North Carolina is down to 50k on DDHQ. Tillis down 20k, he'll win, I think Trump will too. Not a lot of vote left, but its been overwhelmingly Trump.

Still some urban votes left, no idea whether they're enough to offset the rural ones.

[Former Crackhead Mike Lindell]

Whatever happened to all that nonsense about a 'RED MIRAGE' or a 'WEEK-LONG ELECTION'?

[Citizen (The) Doctor]

What is happening with Kansas? Fox news currently has it light blue.

Also what is happening with Virginia? It's coloured blue but Trump appears to be ahead by 7 points based on a significant portion of the vote counted!

No votes in I'm assuming.

[ηєω ƒяσηтιєя]

https://twitter.com/Acosta/status/1323814432150085633

[wimp]

Whats going on in the great plains?

Lutheran guilt? can't just be noise, can it?

[Storr]

North Carolina is down to 50k on DDHQ. Tillis down 20k, he'll win, I think Trump will too. Not a lot of vote left, but its been overwhelmingly Trump.

It has 99% in though, which is significant. I'll be so happy if Biden wins NC.

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

FOX News website has Biden winning Ohio with over 80% probability.

Also has Biden winning NC at 93% and Biden winning GA at 75%.

Stuff is really not adding up at the moment; it's best to wait a while before wetting the bed.

Well then people shouldn't point to NYT and there predictor model. I swear the S avatars really out here rooting for a Trump win.

There’s not much difference between them and the Trumpers. Far right/left are almost the same.

Hot take, but maybe the centre-right is closer to the far right than the left.

[Hindsight was 2020]

Whatever happened to all that nonsense about a 'RED MIRAGE' or a 'WEEK-LONG ELECTION'?

Still happening tbh. Michigan and Wisconsin both said they won’t be done counting till tomorrow morning

[jman123]

Bergen county NJ for Trump as per NY times

[politics_king]

FOX News website has Biden winning Ohio with over 80% probability.

Also has Biden winning NC at 93% and Biden winning GA at 75%.

Stuff is really not adding up at the moment; it's best to wait a while before wetting the bed.

Well then people shouldn't point to NYT and there predictor model. I swear the S avatars really out here rooting for a Trump win.

There’s not much difference between them and the Trumpers. Far right/left are almost the same.

Grifters wanna grift.

[RINO Tom]

Whats going on in the great plains?

Lutheran guilt? can't just be noise, can it?

We don’t do that, total Catholic thing.

[Pulaski]

FOX News website has Biden winning Ohio with over 80% probability.

Also has Biden winning NC at 93% and Biden winning GA at 75%.

Stuff is really not adding up at the moment; it's best to wait a while before wetting the bed.

Well then people shouldn't point to NYT and there predictor model. I swear the S avatars really out here rooting for a Trump win.

I totally agree about not dooming about the NYT model. I'm a bit anxious as this seems closer than expected, but the exits out of Wisconsin and Michigan are much brighter. Biden is still favoured.

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

Hidalgo County, Texas

Biden: 59%
Trump: 40%

Clinton: 68%
Trump: 28%


Uhhh, is anyone else concerned by like the 20% swing to Trump in like exclusively Mexican-American counties?

I mean this is like Bush in 2004 levels amongst hispanics. Regardless of who wins, this is going to be the story of the night.

He literally staked his political career on hispanics being evil and they vote for him.  Don't get it.

Illegal immigrants*

"When Mexico sends its people, they're not sending their best."

[GALeftist]

FOX News website has Biden winning Ohio with over 80% probability.

Also has Biden winning NC at 93% and Biden winning GA at 75%.

Stuff is really not adding up at the moment; it's best to wait a while before wetting the bed.

Well then people shouldn't point to NYT and there predictor model. I swear the S avatars really out here rooting for a Trump win.

There’s not much difference between them and the Trumpers. Far right/left are almost the same.

Swear to God I'm rooting for Biden as hard as any of you, but this is way too close.

[ProudModerate2]

Can someone tell me about what we currently see in Virginia.
What's up here.

[forsythvoter]

Whoa, NC is actually looking like a Biden win.

[AncestralDemocrat.]

Wbrocks, I want to hear your analysis !

[Catalyst138]

In other news.. 90% of Atlas analysis should be disregarded.

90% of election analysis in general should be disregarded if it goes how this is going.

[It’s so Joever]

What is happening in Oakland MI?

[The Free North]

North Carolina is down to 50k on DDHQ. Tillis down 20k, he'll win, I think Trump will too. Not a lot of vote left, but its been overwhelmingly Trump.

It has 99% in though, which is significant. I'll be so happy if Biden wins NC.

None of that is accurate. Gap is down to 30k. Its over.