Will Obamacare repeal/replace pass Congress?

[The Other Castro]

They might be able to pass some minor tweaks and call that a "replacement", but that's as far as it'll go.

Mostly this. The current House plan that was just put forward will not pass.

[The Other Castro]

1. Republicans introduce repeal/replace bill
2. Critical Republicans announce opposition
3. Repeat step 1 but with some concessions
4. Repeat step 2
5. Repeat step 1 but with more concessions
6. Democrats stay or mostly stay united with 48/47 opposition vote (with/without Manchin)
7. Vote after vote is held, each time failing in the Senate
8. Republicans emphasize every failure with current healthcare system to shift the conversation
9. 2018 elections
10.

[The Other Castro]

This might not even get past the House:

Kyle Cheney @kyledcheney
House conservatives emerge from meeting suggesting GOP health care bill has serious problems, willl need D support - not theirs - to pass

[The Other Castro]

In case you were wondering how Breitbart felt:

"7 Reasons Why Obamacare 2.0 Is All But Guaranteed to Impose Crushing Costs on Voters, Hurt Trump’s Base, And Hand Power Back to the Democrats"

http://www.breitbart.com/big-government/2017/03/10/7-reasons-why-obamacare-2-0-is-all-but-guaranteed-to-impose-crushing-costs-on-voters-hurt-trumps-base-and-hand-power-back-to-the-democrats/