TN PrimD: Insider Advantage: Clinton leads in TN primary (user search)
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  TN PrimD: Insider Advantage: Clinton leads in TN primary (search mode)
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Author Topic: TN PrimD: Insider Advantage: Clinton leads in TN primary  (Read 893 times)
Democratic Hawk
LucysBeau
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Posts: 14,703
United Kingdom


Political Matrix
E: -2.58, S: 2.43

« on: January 31, 2008, 12:05:30 PM »
« edited: January 31, 2008, 12:09:19 PM by Democratic 'Hawk' »

What gets me is that Ford won a primary in TN... so I'd have thought that Obama would be able to... then again Ford got nominated against pretty nominal opposition, and i could exactly call Hillary Clinton  "nominal opposition".

Ben Smiley,

I'd be surprised if the result here is not closer than what this poll suggests.

In 2006, I don't think there was a contested Democratic primary; although, she filed State Senator Rosalind Kurita later withdrew. Kurita, of course, later became a hero of Don's in that she voted with Republicans to oust long-serving Lt Governor John S. Wilder

Ford came reasonably close to winning the general. He secured 40% of the white vote in 2006 and carried 95% of African-Americans but they were only 13% of the general election vote. They'll constitute a larger demographic this coming Tuesday, however. But as Southern states go, it doesn't have a particularly high African-American population

Nevertheless, given Ford's performance among whites, it's difficult to conceive the Democratic primary being so polarised along racial lines but he, of course, was a home-boy with moderate credentials

There's such a tight schedule coming up for all remaining primary candidates, I'm wondering if a campaign stop by Obama would be worth it. Hillary headed straight there following SC

Dave
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Democratic Hawk
LucysBeau
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*****
Posts: 14,703
United Kingdom


Political Matrix
E: -2.58, S: 2.43

« Reply #1 on: January 31, 2008, 12:36:55 PM »
« Edited: January 31, 2008, 12:40:02 PM by Democratic 'Hawk' »

Clinton is pretty much safe here, but I didn't need this poll to tell me that.  Smiley

Yes, she's the strong favorite. But the Democratic primary is not about winning states, it's about winning delegates so, the closer Obama runs Hillary, the better for him

Naturally, moving beyond Super Tuesday, the more states either candidate wins on Feb 5, the greater their momentum should the Democratic race remain far from over

Dave
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Democratic Hawk
LucysBeau
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,703
United Kingdom


Political Matrix
E: -2.58, S: 2.43

« Reply #2 on: January 31, 2008, 12:46:49 PM »

Clinton is pretty much safe here, but I didn't need this poll to tell me that.  Smiley

Yes, she's the strong favorite. But the Democratic primary is not about winning states, it's about winning delegates so, the closer Obama runs Hillary, the better for him

Naturally, the more states either candidate wins on Feb 5, moving beyond Super Tuesday, the greater the momentum should the Democratic race remain inconclusive

Dave

If Obama wants to spend half-a-day in the black area of TN, ok.  But no more.  And maybe not even that.  Other places give him a better shot of picking up delegates, frankly.

I was wondering whether it would worthwhile that's all Wink. Seemingly not. I'm trying to be optimistic as the race for the Democratic nod moves forth

Dave
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