2020 if a war with Iran broke out in January (user search)
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  2020 if a war with Iran broke out in January (search mode)
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Author Topic: 2020 if a war with Iran broke out in January  (Read 864 times)
Alben Barkley
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« on: June 01, 2021, 08:15:38 AM »


Former Vice President Joe Biden (D-DE)/Senator Kamala Harris (D-CA): 404 EVs (57%)
President Donald Trump (R-FL)/Vice President Mike Pence (R-IN): 134 EVs (41%)
Others: 0 EVs (2%)

The closest state is Florida, which narrowly goes to Donald Trump by a couple of thousand votes. The Democrats also do a bit better in the Senate in this scenario, picking up North Carolina, Iowa, Montana, Kansas, and Alaska in addition to the states they won IRL. This would give the Democrats enough votes to abolish the filibuster, add Washington DC as a state, and give them a solid buffer going into 2022.

LOLOLOLOL

OK, first of all, to everyone flipping KS but not MO (or even leaving it SOLID R as KS flips), you do realize that while yes, KS voted to the left of MO, it was only by like half a point? If there is a split, it’s not going to be a dramatic one at all, the states will still vote similarly.

Second of all, no Florida does not have magic titanium tilt R meme powers that allow states that voted for Trump by double digits to flip before it, a state that voted for him by just 3 points. That’s insane. Trump would have to be getting absolutely shellacked among college and suburban whites, even in the South, and massively underperforming among WWC and rural whites for this map to be possible. Also probably no Latino shift towards him if Texas is flipping, at least not a significant one. Under these conditions, Florida would flip EASILY, especially if freaking South Carolina is!

Also in this scenario I doubt Trump would cross 60% in any state except WV, WY, probably OK, maybe ND. Even states like KY, TN, AL, AR, SD, etc. he barely got more than 60% in as it was. We’re looking at an actual 1932/1980 style landslide here, and a double digit popular vote shift towards Biden. That means Trump gets blown out of the water in the states he already lost, flips or near-flips in every state that was remotely close, and undeperforming weak margins even in solid R states.
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