Does Arizona have some of the most "liberal" Republicans and Independents of any state? (user search)
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  Does Arizona have some of the most "liberal" Republicans and Independents of any state? (search mode)
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Author Topic: Does Arizona have some of the most "liberal" Republicans and Independents of any state?  (Read 670 times)
smoltchanov
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,386
Russian Federation


« on: December 01, 2022, 03:01:20 PM »

In states where one party had the upper hand for a long time, the majority party has broad ranks and the minority party has narrow ranks. Extending past the partisanship of the state, even. Thus independents compromise more of the left than the right. Since Arizona has pretty rapidly trended left, the party registration and identification are lagging behind the actual vote choices. Thus you might have a lot of Romney types voting for the moderate Democrats the AZ Dems have put up and the already left leaning independents voting strongly for the Dem.

And so - Democratic party and it's candidates in the South gradually becomes more and more liberal, and Republican party and it's candidates, say, in New England - more and more conservative. There is little sense to be a conservative Democrat in first case, and liberal Republican (despite state's conservative and liberal leanings correspondingly) - in second, when you can make much better political career in "majority party" in both cases... Only "diehards" prefer to remain in dire minority)))). But Arizona had it's share of relatively moderate Republican legislators, and at least "somewhat conservative" Democratic (not Bob Stump-style, of course, but still) ones until fairly recently (somewhere near 2010). Not anymore...
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smoltchanov
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,386
Russian Federation


« Reply #1 on: December 02, 2022, 12:44:37 AM »

Trump is a specific anathema to a certain type of AZ Republican who has always held contempt for the national GOP organization (i..e, maverick-y John McCain.)  You can quite easily place how well Kelly and Sinema did among Republicans in this context. 

So would you say you have to be a very moderate, socially more liberal republican to have success in AZ?

Well, i think "sane conservative" would do the trick too. But - such Republican as you describe (if nominated) would certainly win governorship, SOS and AG this year, and could even compete with Kelly for Senate. It's surely a plus to have crossover support (ask Phil Scott)))))....
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