It'll be close. Anybody who voted for options 2 or 3 is an idiot.
Inks, dude, it was not even remotely close in 2008. Why would thinking probably it won't be close in 2012 either make someone an idiot? Obviously, the poll options are just worded like that for dramatic effect, we all know what they really mean.
This thread has some of the most far-out analysis that I've ever seen...
I guess it's true that the poll answers are pretty crappy (now that I looked at them again), but there certainly are people on this forum who truly believe that MI will vote Dem now and forever.
No, I said that for exageration.