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Author Topic: The Home Stretch  (Read 4349 times)
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KS21
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,901
Political Matrix
E: -0.97, S: -3.39

« on: October 02, 2010, 05:50:19 PM »

Personally, I believe Askins could win, but it's an uphill climb.

Oklahoma has a history with the Democratic Party, and all statewide offices are held by Democrats.

That said, Fallin is running in a conservative state in a year when tea partiers will be coming out in large numbers (although some of them may not vote, because their fringe candidate, Brogdon, lost the primary).

Both Fallin and Askins have a lot going for them, and a lot of baggage (Democrat, DC insider, etc.).

It should be very close, OU put out a poll showing a close race a couple months back, and I DON'T TRUST RASMUSSEN.
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KS21
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,901
Political Matrix
E: -0.97, S: -3.39

« Reply #1 on: October 02, 2010, 06:05:33 PM »

Okay. Then I'll be wrong.

I can see both of them winning, although Fallin has the edge.

When I was down in Oklahoma a week ago, I saw tons of Askins yard signs, but very little Fallin.

However, Fallin has been running several top-notch ads.
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KS21
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,901
Political Matrix
E: -0.97, S: -3.39

« Reply #2 on: October 02, 2010, 06:22:40 PM »

Why don't you trust Rasmussen? They're one of the best pollsters we have, plus they're extremely prolific(I know them being prolific doesn't impact their trustworthiness, but it is a good thing about them).

They really are not that bad at all, even if they do seem to release polls that lean towards the Republicans early in the cycle.

They become trustworthy in the last week or so to save their image.

Rasmussen puts out low-quality polls, which are quicker, and explains why he is so prolific???
When I was down in Oklahoma a week ago, I saw tons of Askins yard signs, but very little Fallin.

And if I walk through my town, I see maybe 20 Brady yard signs and none for Quinn....does that mean Brady will be getting near 100% of the vote in Alton, IL?

No, that's not what I meant. Effective campaigns get their signs out quickly to sort of spread thier message.
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KS21
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,901
Political Matrix
E: -0.97, S: -3.39

« Reply #3 on: October 02, 2010, 07:06:44 PM »


Just saying something over and over again doesn't make it true.

No, it doesn't, but it still is.
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KS21
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,901
Political Matrix
E: -0.97, S: -3.39

« Reply #4 on: October 02, 2010, 07:31:56 PM »

It was 6 points, and it was the last reliable poll.
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