Ehhh Iowa polls have a history of severely overestimating Dems.
I know, I just found the overreaction to that poll amusing. The WI/PA/MN numbers are perfectly believable and in line with where I’m expecting the national PV to end up (Biden +8-9), with Biden flipping AZ/NE-02/WI/MI/PA/FL/GA. NC and TX are pure Toss-ups, OH tilt R, IA lean R.
But thats not the only Iowa poll recently with Biden tied or up. Monmouth and NYT had Biden +3, Q-Pac Biden +5, Civiqs Biden +1, Emerson, YouGov, RMG tied. That poll wasn’t an outlier at all.
