CA-SEN: Feinstein has two GOP endorsements (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
May 20, 2024, 10:25:07 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Congressional Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, GeorgiaModerate, Gass3268, Virginiá, Gracile)
  CA-SEN: Feinstein has two GOP endorsements (search mode)
Pages: [1] 2 3
Poll
Question: Does Feinstein win Orange County?
#1
Feinstein wins regardless of opponent		  
#2
Yes vs. R or no-name D, no vs. KDL		  
#3
Yes vs. R, no vs. any D		  
#4
Yes vs. D, no vs. R		  
#5
Feinstein loses regardless of opponent		  
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results
Total Voters: 98

Author Topic: CA-SEN: Feinstein has two GOP endorsements  (Read 22418 times)
Greedo punched first
ERM64man
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,808
« on: April 10, 2018, 08:35:13 PM »
« edited: July 29, 2018, 06:44:53 PM by ERM64man »
Assembly Speaker Anthony Rendon endorses Feinstein.
Logged
Greedo punched first
ERM64man
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,808
« Reply #1 on: April 11, 2018, 02:14:18 AM »
Quote from: Fubart Solman on April 11, 2018, 01:59:49 AM
Quote from: ERM64man on April 10, 2018, 08:35:13 PM
Polls show Feinstein winning the Hispanic vote easily. Which counties might de Leon win? I can only think of 3 de Leon likely wins: Imperial, Mendocino, and Humboldt.

Imperial is a very obvious one for him to win. Mendocino and Humboldt, I could see as well. Maybe some of the heavily Hispanic Central Valley counties as well? Merced, perhaps?
He could win Merced, but I'm not sure. It's only 54% Hispanic, and polls show Feinstein easily winning the Hispanic vote. Maybe Santa Cruz? Possibly Trinity if Republicans stay home instead of voting for Feinstein (Trinity Democrats are very liberal)?
Logged
Greedo punched first
ERM64man
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,808
« Reply #2 on: April 11, 2018, 02:27:01 AM »
Quote from: MB on April 11, 2018, 02:22:57 AM
Quote from: ERM64man on April 11, 2018, 02:14:18 AM
Quote from: Fubart Solman on April 11, 2018, 01:59:49 AM
Quote from: ERM64man on April 10, 2018, 08:35:13 PM
Polls show Feinstein winning the Hispanic vote easily. Which counties might de Leon win? I can only think of 3 de Leon likely wins: Imperial, Mendocino, and Humboldt.

Imperial is a very obvious one for him to win. Mendocino and Humboldt, I could see as well. Maybe some of the heavily Hispanic Central Valley counties as well? Merced, perhaps?
He could win Merced, but I'm not sure. It's only 54% Hispanic, and polls show Feinstein easily winning the Hispanic vote. Maybe Santa Cruz? Possibly Trinity if Republicans stay home instead of voting for Feinstein (Trinity Democrats are very liberal)?
I’d actually guess more Republicans vote de Leon, simply as an anti-DiFi vote.
Do Trinity Republicans tend to be business conservatives (who would vote for Feinstein) or Tea Partiers who loathe Feinstein? De Leon likely wins Trinity Democrats easily.
Logged
Greedo punched first
ERM64man
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,808
« Reply #3 on: April 11, 2018, 12:25:50 PM »
Quote from: Fubart Solman on April 11, 2018, 12:23:56 PM
If it does come down to D vs D, I think a lot of conservatives will just leave the senate line blank like they did in 2016.
Wouldn't that mean de Leon likely wins Trinity?
Logged
Greedo punched first
ERM64man
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,808
« Reply #4 on: April 11, 2018, 12:30:39 PM »
Quote from: Progressive Democrat on April 11, 2018, 12:28:41 PM
Quote from: Fubart Solman on April 11, 2018, 12:23:56 PM
If it does come down to D vs D, I think a lot of conservatives will just leave the senate line blank like they did in 2016.
I imagine most Conservatives/Republicans outside of OC  strongly dislike Feinstein as she is the epitome of the "coastal elite" that Republican so strongly oppose  and will thus vote for De Leon just to stick it to the Dem. establishment
Does Feinstein win OC?
Logged
Greedo punched first
ERM64man
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,808
« Reply #5 on: April 11, 2018, 12:55:18 PM »
« Edited: April 11, 2018, 01:00:40 PM by ERM64man »
Quote from: Progressive Democrat on April 11, 2018, 12:51:32 PM
Yes Feinstein wins OC even if she loses re-election. A winning coalition for De Leon includes: much of the Republican inland region and other Trump counties, LA County, Alameda, Imperial, Kern,Sacramento, Fresno, San Bernardino,Riverside, and San Fransisco county.
Feinstein has a solid lead in LA County in the polls. Doug Ose (R) endorses Feinstein. A large majority of CA House Democrats endorse Feinstein, even most Progressive Caucus members.
Logged
Greedo punched first
ERM64man
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,808
« Reply #6 on: April 11, 2018, 03:06:51 PM »
Quote from: Fubart Solman on April 11, 2018, 02:58:47 PM
Quote from: ERM64man on April 11, 2018, 12:55:18 PM
Quote from: Progressive Democrat on April 11, 2018, 12:51:32 PM
Yes Feinstein wins OC even if she loses re-election. A winning coalition for De Leon includes: much of the Republican inland region and other Trump counties, LA County, Alameda, Imperial, Kern,Sacramento, Fresno, San Bernardino,Riverside, and San Fransisco county.
Feinstein has a solid lead in LA County in the polls. Doug Ose (R) endorses Feinstein. A large majority of CA House Democrats endorse Feinstein, even most Progressive Caucus members.

Quote
You must be logged in to read this quote.

I wouldn't really call that an endorsement at this point.
It will be when the race is D vs. D.
Logged
Greedo punched first
ERM64man
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,808
« Reply #7 on: April 11, 2018, 06:53:50 PM »
Quote from: Progressive Democrat on April 11, 2018, 12:51:32 PM
Yes Feinstein wins OC even if she loses re-election. A winning coalition for De Leon includes: much of the Republican inland region and other Trump counties, LA County, Alameda, Imperial, Kern,Sacramento, Fresno, San Bernardino,Riverside, and San Fransisco county.
Feinstein probably wins LA, Sacramento, San Bernardino, and Riverside. Polls indicate de Leon's chances of winning are slim. He would need to win the Hispanic vote (unlikely) and do far better with non-Hispanics in order to win.
Logged
Greedo punched first
ERM64man
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,808
« Reply #8 on: April 12, 2018, 12:17:44 AM »
There's a slight chance de Leon fails to make runoff. If he doesn't, would it have an impact on House races or not? If a Republican advances instead, all that money could be saved for important House races against Republicans instead of a D vs. D Senate race.
Logged
Greedo punched first
ERM64man
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,808
« Reply #9 on: April 12, 2018, 07:04:40 PM »
Quote from: Ted Bessell on April 12, 2018, 01:29:43 AM
That De Leon winning only Humboldt and Imperial is a serious possibility is a great reflection of how bizarre this race is
He could win Mendocino, Santa Barbara, Merced, Santa Cruz, and Trinity.
Logged
Greedo punched first
ERM64man
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,808
« Reply #10 on: April 23, 2018, 12:45:41 AM »
Will Orange County vote for more establishment candidates, or will it vote for insurgent Berniecrats (like Delaine Eastin)?
Logged
Greedo punched first
ERM64man
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,808
« Reply #11 on: April 23, 2018, 01:09:21 AM »
Quote from: Sensible-Progressive on April 23, 2018, 12:50:53 AM
They will support whoever is the most business friendly so they will likely support Feinstein a republican has a decent chance at winning it but if they don't campaign at all which is likely Feinstein will win it so OC is pretty much almost Safe Difi
Does this mean Newsom, Villaraigosa, or Chiang would win OC in a runoff against Eastin?
Logged
Greedo punched first
ERM64man
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,808
« Reply #12 on: May 05, 2018, 02:36:18 PM »
Quote from: Sensible-Progressive on May 05, 2018, 12:01:40 AM
Kevin will barely make the runoff and then Feinstein will cannibalize him Leon will probably win just Imperial county and maybe a couple Republican counties that are anti Feinstein
Maybe Humboldt and Mendocino too.
Logged
Greedo punched first
ERM64man
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,808
« Reply #13 on: May 26, 2018, 01:59:02 AM »
How would de Leon be doing in the polls if he would have won the state party's endorsement?
Logged
Greedo punched first
ERM64man
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,808
« Reply #14 on: May 28, 2018, 07:31:24 PM »
How would de Leon be doing if he received the California Democratic Party's endorsement?
Logged
Greedo punched first
ERM64man
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,808
« Reply #15 on: May 28, 2018, 07:54:06 PM »
With the state party's endorsement, de Leon would receive more funding than he is now.
Logged
Greedo punched first
ERM64man
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,808
« Reply #16 on: June 05, 2018, 01:34:05 AM »
Quote from: Rep. Sestak on May 28, 2018, 07:52:46 PM
Quote from: ERM64man on May 28, 2018, 07:31:24 PM
How would de Leon be doing if he received the California Democratic Party's endorsement?

Considering no one's ever heard of him, not much better than he actually is.
If he received the endorsement, his fundraising would be far better. Not receiving the endorsement cost him major fundraising.
Logged
Greedo punched first
ERM64man
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,808
« Reply #17 on: June 05, 2018, 11:17:05 PM »
« Edited: June 05, 2018, 11:20:28 PM by ERM64man »
11% reporting. Feinstein 42.8%, Bradley 10.1%, de Leon 9.7. Feinstein is ahead in Imperial County right now with 28.3% and KDL with 15.7%. Villaraigosa, however leads in Imperial with a substantial lead with 32.2% with 13% reporting.
Logged
Greedo punched first
ERM64man
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,808
« Reply #18 on: June 06, 2018, 03:00:24 AM »
Quote from: Sensible-Progressive on June 06, 2018, 01:38:56 AM
kevin made an amazing speech got to shake his hand and got a campaign sign I also met his whip at the CA Dem convention he told me about how amazing it was to almost get the CA dem party's endorsement and how much work they put into it was really interesting.
De Leon is in the runoff, but he did very poorly in Imperial County. All Imperial County precincts in. His weak performance in Imperial foreshadows an easy win for Feinstein.
Logged
Greedo punched first
ERM64man
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,808
« Reply #19 on: June 06, 2018, 03:21:23 AM »
Quote from: Sensible-Progressive on June 06, 2018, 03:13:52 AM
Quote from: ERM64man on June 06, 2018, 03:00:24 AM
Quote from: Sensible-Progressive on June 06, 2018, 01:38:56 AM
kevin made an amazing speech got to shake his hand and got a campaign sign I also met his whip at the CA Dem convention he told me about how amazing it was to almost get the CA dem party's endorsement and how much work they put into it was really interesting.
De Leon is in the runoff, but he did very poorly in Imperial County. All Imperial County precincts in. His weak performance in Imperial foreshadows an easy win for Feinstein.

Thats true but if he can't win he'll move feinstein to the left and he definitely has a future in ca politics based off the speech he gave
He should have stuck with his original plan to run for Lt. Governor. He would have had a good chance to win it.
Logged
Greedo punched first
ERM64man
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,808
« Reply #20 on: June 07, 2018, 01:16:37 PM »
De Leon surprisingly lost Imperial County in the primary. Villaraigosa and Ed Hernandez easily won Imperial.
Logged
Greedo punched first
ERM64man
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,808
« Reply #21 on: June 08, 2018, 12:57:40 PM »
I predicted de Leon would be unable to break 15%.
Logged
Greedo punched first
ERM64man
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,808
« Reply #22 on: June 08, 2018, 06:20:12 PM »
I bet many Atlas Democrats frequently call Feinstein the c-word and would rather vote for Patrick Little.
Logged
Greedo punched first
ERM64man
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,808
« Reply #23 on: June 08, 2018, 07:30:57 PM »
Quote from: Calthrina950 on June 08, 2018, 07:14:12 PM

That is a very bad sign. Candidates who lose their own state or district are definitely not the best candidates. What are the predictions here as to how the Feinstein vs. De Leon race will look like in November? Will California Republicans who don't leave their Senate spot on the ballot blank back Feinstein, because she is the entrenched incumbent and more to the center? And are there any counties that De Leon might have a chance of winning?
De Leon could win Imperial or Humboldt, though not guaranteed. My Republican relatives will all vote for Feinstein.
Logged
Greedo punched first
ERM64man
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,808
« Reply #24 on: June 08, 2018, 09:27:34 PM »
Quote from: Calthrina950 on June 08, 2018, 09:21:00 PM
Quote from: ERM64man on June 08, 2018, 07:30:57 PM
Quote from: Calthrina950 on June 08, 2018, 07:14:12 PM

That is a very bad sign. Candidates who lose their own state or district are definitely not the best candidates. What are the predictions here as to how the Feinstein vs. De Leon race will look like in November? Will California Republicans who don't leave their Senate spot on the ballot blank back Feinstein, because she is the entrenched incumbent and more to the center? And are there any counties that De Leon might have a chance of winning?
De Leon could win Imperial or Humboldt, though not guaranteed. My Republican relatives will all vote for Feinstein.

I see. Why are Californians so invested in Feinstein, if I may ask? She is 85 years old, and has been in the Senate for more than a quarter of a century. Is seniority really more important than having someone who reflects your state's political stances?
Feinstein is still popular in California. Only a vocal minority of Democrats oppose Feinstein.
Logged
Pages: [1] 2 3  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.042 seconds with 12 queries.