IA - GQR Research/End Citizens United (partisan): Greenfield +2%

[indietraveler]

I remain skeptical of IA polling, but Ernst definitely isn’t safe if the environment doesn’t get better for Republicans. Still Lean R for now.

Biden is up 11 in natl polls, Tom Harkin was in this seat for a long time. Ernst won in 2014 because she ran with Kim Reynolds.  Kim Reynolds isnt popular anymore since she signed an abortion ban. That's why she won by only 3 in 2018 and if she runs again in 2022, JD Scholten if he loses in 2020 will be back to challenging her.

In addition our 3 Congressional races, except for IA 4, Dems are leading in.

Kim Reynolds wasn't running in 2014...

[indietraveler]

I remain skeptical of IA polling, but Ernst definitely isn’t safe if the environment doesn’t get better for Republicans. Still Lean R for now.

Biden is up 11 in natl polls, Tom Harkin was in this seat for a long time. Ernst won in 2014 because she ran with Kim Reynolds.  Kim Reynolds isnt popular anymore since she signed an abortion ban. That's why she won by only 3 in 2018 and if she runs again in 2022, JD Scholten if he loses in 2020 will be back to challenging her.

In addition our 3 Congressional races, except for IA 4, Dems are leading in.

Kim Reynolds wasn't running in 2014...

She ran with Terry Bradstad as LT Gov

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/2014_Iowa_gubernatorial_election

Terry Bradstaf Gov
Kim Reynolds LT Gov

Joni Ernst Rep Senate nominee
Bruce Braley Dem Senate nominee 2014


Yes Joni Ernst ran with Kim Reynolds as Terry Bradstad running mate, okayyyyu

Yes, but the fact that you think that's why you think she won okaaaayyyyy.