Stuart98
Jr. Member
Posts: 1,789
Political Matrix
E: -5.35, S: -5.83
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« on: March 08, 2021, 01:50:17 PM » |
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Murkowski wins if all of the following are true:
1. More people prefer her over a republican to the right of her. (Almost certainly true)
2. More people prefer her to whoever the democrats put up (Pretty likely to be true)
3. She doesn't have the fewest first place preferences of the top 3. (This is the unknown)
If both the democrat and the trumpist get more first place preferences than her then she's eliminated and some of IRV's behavior quirks are going to come up. Given the relatively moderate nature of Alaska politics, the democrat probably comes out on top if that happens?
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