Honestly, no, Nevada during Presidential election turnout is bordering on safe Democratic. With midterm turnout, though, it's really competitive, even lean Republican, which is really something the state Democratic party (which sucks) needs to work on - getting out its voters.
Well, I was convinced back in 2012 (a presidential year after all) that Shelley Berkley is going to win because of a turnout as well as polls understating the support for a Democratic candidates (Reid's 2010 margin of victory was higher than what most polls predicted).
I actually thought she would win too thanks to Obama's coattails, but I wasn't surprised when she lost. She wasn't a great candidate. She lost by what, 1%? Ross Miller would've won.
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