State Legislature Special Election Megathread v3 (user search)
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  State Legislature Special Election Megathread v3 (search mode)
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Author Topic: State Legislature Special Election Megathread v3  (Read 136358 times)
Tekken_Guy
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« on: December 15, 2023, 04:03:35 PM »
Quote from: Free markets, peace, prosperity on December 15, 2023, 03:56:14 PM
Quote from: Roll Roons on December 15, 2023, 02:47:11 PM

This is a Biden +10 seat in Lower Bucks County, although the incumbent (who was a Dem) was unopposed last year.
Not impossible to see a flip, given what happened in Minnesota. It really seems like the special election environment has changed post November.

It isn’t going to flip. It’s a more WWC seat so special election overperformances are harder for Rs here.
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Tekken_Guy
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« Reply #1 on: January 03, 2024, 02:28:16 PM »
Quote from: CentristRepublican on January 03, 2024, 02:21:01 PM
Quote from: For We Are Not Yet, We Are Only Becoming on January 03, 2024, 02:03:31 PM
Quote from: GeorgiaModerate on January 03, 2024, 01:04:55 PM

Trump +25 district.

Atlanta suburbs or elsewhere?

Augusta suburbs.
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Tekken_Guy
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« Reply #2 on: April 16, 2024, 10:03:43 PM »
Quote from: Oryxslayer on April 16, 2024, 09:51:12 PM
Dem overperformed Biden by 2% or so in HD25. Still waiting on Macomb numbers in the other for a comparison, but Wayne is good for Dems which is why the seat is held.

Edit: NYT seemingly has Macomb but nobody else including the counties own site, Xiong outperformed Biden by about 3% in HD13.

Xiong’s performance was very impressive despite low Detroit turnout. She’d be a a top-tier recruit to take on John James one day.
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