This might be a hot-take but I think Brazos county Swings left compared to 2020. A&M is having ridiculous population growth and the student vote is no longer reduce by covid like it was in 2020.
. High Hispanic immigration rates from conservative backgrounds could cancel this out. Brazos ain't just College Station.
Would that actually swing the county right ? i'm pretty sure Hispanics in texas still vote democrat even if it's less than they do nationwide.
And, furthermore, I could easily imagine some Biden-Abbott students at A&M (yes, I know that undergrads are actually a small portion of college town votes).
I don't know, those people are more likely to be faculty and Beto has run a decently strong campaign. I think he'll be getting pretty much anyone who voted for Biden voting him, don't think there will be much downballot lag.