NH-SEN 2022 Megathread: General Dysfunction

[tosk]

https://twitter.com/rpyers/status/1325852725813276672

Big fan of the general, but Sununu would (probably) cruise to a win in the primary. Hassan is being underestimated, but as long as the governor sticks to doing his job well, and stays sharp we will likely flip the seat. Easily the last person democrats should want to run.

[tosk]

Sununu now has a republican trifecta, he isn't going to be able to maintain his popularity anymore because they are almost certainly going to push some hardline culture war bullsh**t like defunding planned parenthodo or something that will alienate the populace. Sununu will then have to choose between vetoing it and pissing of his base(loosing the primary) or not and having his popularity erode.

I don't think he's favoured.

The GOP doesn't have the margins in legislative to really push any culture war stuff.

I don't really expect them to push culture war issues. Morse/Sununu/Hinch probably want to focus more on economic/reformist stuff.

[tosk]

Take this with a grain of salt, but I dreamt that Ayotte will run for Senate.

she's running for something, and the local rumor mill is she's eyeing the corner office rather than her old senate seat. Of course, the intra-gop rumors just a few months ago were that Sununu wasn't going to run for anything in 2022.

[tosk]

This can still be a pickup opportunity. But it is harder now.

Who runs now? Ayotte?  Scott Brown?

Ayotte apparently not interested, Scott Brown has said no.

Edelblut? Morse? Maybe a state senator or rep? Gov said he talked to half a dozen people interested in running. He seems to think they're people who can win (otherwise he'd run?).

[tosk]

Why did he decide not to run . This decision makes no sense

when the NRSC chair says being governor is more fun than being a senator AND you've got a young family AND a much clearer path to winning re-eelction... makes sense to me.