Biden approval ratings thread, 1.0

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Quinnipiac is horrific for biden today

The have long been on the junk poll train. While they had a Democratic bias until around 2020, it's now one of Biden's worst pollsters. I never forget their Biden 33% approval rating from a few months back while Republicans were just ahead in the generic congressional ballot by a single point.

After yesterday's polling errors I don't trust these Approvals anymore

[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

WOW!  Just when you think it can't get any worse for Status Quo Joe.  Although, it's great to see young folks wise up to the frauds who have held them politically hostage for decades. 

https://twitter.com/CortesSteve/status/1527012559102136321?s=20&t=PE7yJ-ywEq...

[Bootes Void]

Probably doesn’t help that inflation, cost of living and overall sense of malaise is destroying Biden’s support among youth who want to have a hopeful future.

He also does seem to be slow and incompetent when it comes to dealing with any sort of issues and tries to do something about it when it blows up in his face

[Buffalo Mayor Young Kim]

Marist poll for PBS

https://maristpoll.marist.edu/wp-content/uploads/2022/05/NPR_PBS-NewsHour_Marist-Poll_USA-NOS-and-Tables_202205161257.pdf

Approve/Disapprove
39/56

But also
GCB
47 Dem/ 41 GOP

5/9 to 5/13

[Buffalo Mayor Young Kim]

Quinnipiac is horrific for biden today

The have long been on the junk poll train. While they had a Democratic bias until around 2020, it's now one of Biden's worst pollsters. I never forget their Biden 33% approval rating from a few months back while Republicans were just ahead in the generic congressional ballot by a single point.

I wonder if they over sample under-30 and Hispanics
It would explain both

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

The issue is that Voters don't remember what it's like under R control without stimulus checks, they gave out stimulus checks last time due to 9/7 percent unemployment, D's always do better when Rs get in control look what Happened 1996/2012/2018 after he Republican Revolution the D's took over

It's gonna be nothing but cuts when Rs get control of the  H, Biden already isn't issuing anymore Pauses in Student Loans Discharge and he said the other day again for the Final time no 50 K but 10K in student loans

That's because Grad school is optional and College isn't and 10 K is half the amount of 20 K most College Grate take out mainly for room and board Pell Grants pays for tuition in most cases


What did Bush W do after Clinton he was supposed to get a 401 K on top of SSA and Stock Market he spent all the surplus on War on Terror and left Bin Laden in Pakistan to assassinate Bhutto while going after Saddam but Saddam did have WMDs we were never gonna find them they moved in under tunnel in Syria .

But, why under R leadership couldn't he find Bin Laden Obama did

Speaker McCarthy is gonna spend the budget on Ukranian not BBB

[Matty]

A lot of reliable commentators on Twitter are casting doubt on the Marist dem +5 GCB

[It’s so Joever]

A lot of reliable commentators on Twitter are casting doubt on the Marist dem +5 GCB

Okay.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

The reason why Approvals and the GCB aren't matching up Is because as I have longer said D's have a residual 65/60 M Electorate and 303 map it's been this way except for 2010/14 since 2012 when Obama was at 303 and Romney at 207 the difference between 2012 and now is obviously OH and IA 24 EC votes now its AZ and GA 26 EC votes, AZ takes OH place as a bellwether and NM correctly predicted the PVI winner that's why Hillary came so close to winning in 2016


In 2010/14 Rs won 60 and 13 H seats respectively Eric Canter, Boehner and Ryan we're not insurrection Boehner certified Obama and Biden in 2o12 and it was on 92 M votes we went from 33 PERCENT midterm mode to 50 percent in 2018 that's why Rs are favored only to hold a narrow Majority in H and not like 2010

Users keep coming back to this thread over and over and repeats and say why are Approvals not matching up with GCB

As you recall Quinn was endangered in 2010/14 IL isn't contested but it's gonna be a narrow Pritzker win over Irvin by 5 pts not 20

[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

A lot of reliable commentators on Twitter are casting doubt on the Marist dem +5 GCB

Why?  Ya gotta smarten up here, Sonny Jim.  No, Biden isn't popular.  No, the Democrats aren't popular.  But you guys (well, your leadership and other assorted public figures who you might want to put a muzzle on) are out here screaming and yelling about how if a 13 year old is raped and impregnated by her uncle that she should make the best of it or whatever and accept God's wonderful gift.  This is revolting and frightening stuff to 80% of people who would vote in a midterm, and the conservative court just let an opinion leak that might make it a reality in god-forsaken places like South Dakota.  Most people rightly assume that the Washington bickering and BS has little to do with them, but when you allow this "close to home" stuff define what putting a party in power is going to be about... well, there ya go. 

And how many times have they seen this Republican or that Republican take power over the course of the 45 year middle class decline?  Sure, the GOP says they'll "fix it" and "Bidenflation" or whatever, but when has switching parties in power actually resulted in a drastic improvement for workers recently?  Sure, partisan Republicans act like "The Trump Economy" was some kind of golden age, but we know that's not really true.  (of course, the flipside is just as true, with the Democrats being the ones to glob onto an incredibly unpopular political hot potato as the GOP is now with draconian anti-abortion measures)   

[riceowl]

That tweet is over a year old.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

That was when we had 1400 stimulus checks right after we got 600 and then enhanced child tax credits were produced but then states started giving stimulus checks thru working if you didn't work or received SSA you didn't get a stimulus check

Then, we have this war in Ukraine which inflated gas prices and Rs successful blocked BBB with climate change and Voting Rights but SCOUS sided with Cruz on the 2002 campaign finance reform and anyone thinks the Rs won't sue on Voting Rights which bans gerrymandering Districts have blinders on

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/2010_generic_congressional_vote-2171.html#polls


Rs wantta compare 2010/2022 well as I said Rs lead on GCB in 2010 consistently and D's lead on GCB now

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

WOW!  Just when you think it can't get any worse for Status Quo Joe.  Although, it's great to see young folks wise up to the frauds who have held them politically hostage for decades.  

https://twitter.com/CortesSteve/status/1527012559102136321?s=20&t=PE7yJ-ywEq...

IF BIDEN APPROVALS ARE SO LOW WITH LATINS WHY DID NEWSOM WIN THE 2021 RECALL

You know why because in alot of blue states like IL, CI and CA they compare with the Arab vote but in FL or TX alot of them are Cuban or Central Americans whereas in SA it's mostly Mexicans

You know why Mexican Latinos are liberal because they combined with the Native American population like in SF and NM and get Per Capital, NM and SF and NV have the highest interracial marriage among Apache or Navajo Native American with Latinx

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

https://twitter.com/CBSNewsPoll?t=BrhNxkkrUaeoR7oNac6y3g&s=09

You GOV/CBS POLL

BIDEN 44/56, FAVS

THE 39% NUMBERS ARE OVERRATED

[President Johnson]

Marist poll for PBS

https://maristpoll.marist.edu/wp-content/uploads/2022/05/NPR_PBS-NewsHour_Marist-Poll_USA-NOS-and-Tables_202205161257.pdf

Approve/Disapprove
39/56

But also
GCB
47 Dem/ 41 GOP

5/9 to 5/13

How makes this sense? Just seems like polling in the US completely sucks.

[Horus]

Anecdotal but 90% of the political Georgians I interact with on the day to day approve of Warnock and disapprove of Biden. A big gap between the president's approval and the GCB is perfectly likely as such a large number of Zoomers and millennials are anti establishment Berniecrats.

D+5 seems too high though.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

As I said it's a 303 it map and a 65(/60M it's been like that since 2008 2008 69/59M/2012 65/60M/2016 65/62M and 2020 80/75M and in 2012 Obama made 303t o 207 at 65/60M except OH and IA 24 EC votes has been replaced by AZ and GA for 26 EC votes it's the same exact map

Polls Underestimated minority support we won NV, AZ, GA, MI, WI and PA on PROVISIONAL BALLOTS AND MILITARY, FEMALES AND GAYS ARE IN THE MILITARY ITS NOT 80/20 ITS 60/40 R on MILITARY PLUS PROVISIONS Give DS THE 303 MAPS

McCarthy 0/8 seats in the H and D's net 2/3 S seats WI, PA, and maybe LA

[Buffalo Mayor Young Kim]

Marist poll for PBS

https://maristpoll.marist.edu/wp-content/uploads/2022/05/NPR_PBS-NewsHour_Marist-Poll_USA-NOS-and-Tables_202205161257.pdf

Approve/Disapprove
39/56

But also
GCB
47 Dem/ 41 GOP

5/9 to 5/13

How makes this sense? Just seems like polling in the US completely sucks.

Biden has bad approval numbers with some generally D voting groups (under 30, Hispanics, etc.)

But yeah I mostly posted it because that’s a weird disconnect

[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

As I said it's a 303 it map and a 65(/60M it's been like that since 2008 2008 69/59M/2012 65/60M/2016 65/62M and 2020 80/75M

[philly09]

YouGov
May 18-20 2,041 A

44% Approve (+3)

56% Disapprove (+6)

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Gas prices are going down anyways but the only hang up is the war there are still hundreds of Ukrainian getting killed that people don't like on news

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

With today's polls in AZ, MO and NC without the rust belt polls it's a 303 map Rs fav in H due to TX/FL and D's fav in S in WI/PA as it was meant to be after 2020

The Nordstrom 2 Pipeline will be back online sooner or later, to make gas at 4.00 again. It's temp blocked not banned, what is Russia goal in the war they don't have Kiev, they're just gonna keep the territory they have

[MR DARK BRANDON]

https://docs.cdn.yougov.com/d4z846zymi/econTabReport.pdf

Yougov (RV)

44% approve (+1)
51% disapprove (-)

[GeorgiaModerate]

The Economist/YouGov weekly tracker, May 21-24, 1500 adults including 1332 RV

Adults:

Approve 41 (nc)
Disapprove 49 (-1)

Strongly approve 15 (-1)
Strongly disapprove 37 (+1)

RV:

Approve 44 (+1)
Disapprove 51 (nc)

Strongly approve 17 (-1)
Strongly disapprove 40 (+2)

GCB (RV only): R 44 (+4), D 40 (-2)