Beefalow and the Consumer
Beef
Junior Chimp
Posts: 9,123
Political Matrix
E: -2.77, S: -8.78
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« on: July 10, 2020, 02:03:35 PM » |
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Presidential PVI of North Carolina:
2000: +13.35% R
2004: +9.98% R
2008: +6.94% R
2012: +5.9% R
2016: +5.75% R
Even if there was depressed turnout in heavily Democratic areas, the state still trended left. If your theory is correct, 2016 probably would have been about +4.5% R, and 2020 could be +3% R.
I think that if Biden wins by more than 5% nationally, he won't have much trouble flipping the Tar Heel State.
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