2013 Elections in Germany

[freek]

What is the seat allocation method among parties making the threshold?

Sainte-Laguë method

[freek]

DW now have CDU on 299; Grand Coalition only possible government.

CDU/CSU/Grüne ?

[freek]

That would be an amazing result of CDU/CSU getting an absolute majority with 42.5% of the vote due to the 5% threshold.  Reminds me of the Turkey election of 2002 where AKP won an absolute majority with 34% due to the 10% threshold.

Or the UK elections of 2005 where Labour won an absolute majority with 35%.

[freek]

According to Dutch television, CDU gains Anhalt from Die Linke.

It may seem a bit weird that they are interested in a random district in Sachsen-Anhalt, but the CDU candidate is a farmer, Kees de Vries, who emigrated from the Netherlands to Germany in 1992. It's difficult to find someone with a more stereotypical Dutch name.  He was already a candidate in 2009, but was 350 votes short that time.

[freek]

AfD PV, automatically generated from http://vis.uell.net/btw/13/atlas.html
Colouring in 1%-steps, from to >6.

Best results in Gorlitz (8.2), Sächs. Schweiz-Osterzgebirge (7.9) and Ergebirgskreis I (7.6). A look at the map suggests that it wasn't that much Greece's, but rather the Czech Republic's and Poland's EU membership that motivated a lot of Eastern AfD voters.

Their Bavarian counterparts are obviously having far less problems with the Czech Republic's  EU membership. AfD was weakest in the CDU stronghold of Cloppenburg-Vechta (2.3), followed by Mittelems (2.5), Borken II (2.7), and Osnabruck City (2.7). Apparently, Western Lower Saxony and NRW is quite happy about their EU neighbour (at least as long as it does not come to playing football against each other).

Is there a reason why AfD had results of 6% or higher in a string of districts in Baden-Württemberg? Disappointed former FDP voters?