Alabama Megathread 3: Results Thread (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
May 09, 2024, 01:30:03 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Congressional Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, GeorgiaModerate, Gass3268, Virginiá, Gracile)
  Alabama Megathread 3: Results Thread (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Poll
Question: Who will win?
#1
Roy Moore (R)
 
#2
Doug Jones (D)
 
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 189

Author Topic: Alabama Megathread 3: Results Thread  (Read 129019 times)
heatcharger
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,443
Sweden


Political Matrix
E: -1.04, S: -0.24

« on: December 08, 2017, 06:26:35 PM »
« edited: December 12, 2017, 07:49:48 PM by heatcharger »

Link to the second one.

How many points does Moore win by? Should Democrats call for the expulsion of Alabama from the union? Discuss.


-

Link to NYT results page: https://www.nytimes.com/elections/results/alabama-senate-special-election-roy-moore-doug-jones
Logged
heatcharger
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,443
Sweden


Political Matrix
E: -1.04, S: -0.24

« Reply #1 on: December 10, 2017, 05:02:39 PM »

Horrible that Grumps died and left us with Fuzzy Bear and Arkansas Confederate as our resident olds. We really do need to set age floors and ceilings.
Logged
heatcharger
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,443
Sweden


Political Matrix
E: -1.04, S: -0.24

« Reply #2 on: December 10, 2017, 05:05:45 PM »

Horrible that Grumps died and left us with Fuzzy Bear and Arkansas Confederate as our resident olds. We really do need to set age floors and ceilings.
Crap did he really die? I was wondering where he's been.

I meant metaphorically. He's taken long breaks in the past, so I assume he's probably spending time with family and such.
Logged
heatcharger
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,443
Sweden


Political Matrix
E: -1.04, S: -0.24

« Reply #3 on: December 12, 2017, 03:46:38 PM »

NYT Results + Model is out.

They've got one of those Estimated Votes Remaining thing, and I assume their estimates are based on a tied race. They think Jones needs 65% in Jefferson, 54% in Mobile, 54% in Madison, and 41% in Shelby (how?) to name a few.
Logged
heatcharger
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,443
Sweden


Political Matrix
E: -1.04, S: -0.24

« Reply #4 on: December 12, 2017, 03:50:24 PM »

So the Estimated Votes section of NYT is basically predicting a Jones victory.

So a tied race = Jones victory now? Great news!
Logged
heatcharger
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,443
Sweden


Political Matrix
E: -1.04, S: -0.24

« Reply #5 on: December 12, 2017, 04:18:04 PM »

Polls close at 8 ET. Follow results at: https://www.nytimes.com/elections/results/alabama-senate-special-election-roy-moore-doug-jones

Results coverage will be at the linked thread: https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=261809.new#new, however I do ask that the following stay on THIS thread: Paragraphs/Essay-Style #Analysis, Discussion of whether the Senate should expel Moore, Discussion of whether AL should secede from the union, and Discussion of whether IceSpear should leave the forum.

Not sure why Wulfric got to dictate these terms. I had no part in these negotiations, and are therefore invalidated.
Logged
heatcharger
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,443
Sweden


Political Matrix
E: -1.04, S: -0.24

« Reply #6 on: December 12, 2017, 05:10:46 PM »

If Trump were at 48/48 in Alabama, this would be game over for Moore. However exit polls have historically sucked in the South (see 1980), and these things always get unskewed after the fact to make them look realistic.
Logged
heatcharger
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,443
Sweden


Political Matrix
E: -1.04, S: -0.24

« Reply #7 on: December 12, 2017, 11:06:02 PM »

Can LimoLiberal just concern troll every election now?
Logged
heatcharger
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,443
Sweden


Political Matrix
E: -1.04, S: -0.24

« Reply #8 on: December 12, 2017, 11:16:08 PM »

Can LimoLiberal just concern troll every election now?
"I think the Gillibrand/Jones ticket is going to get less than 100 electoral votes tonight. Trump flips Virginia, Colorado, Minnesota, New Mexico, New Hampshire, Maine and Oregon."

Jones honestly needs to be at the top of most VP shortlists. Southern white guy with a stellar background, and oh yeah, he took out a pedophile.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.024 seconds with 13 queries.