Spanish elections and politics III / Pedro Sánchez faces a new term as PM

[MRCVzla]

To resume some things: PSOE' Castille and Leon censorship motion failed, PP+Cs regional goverment reconfirmed its majority with support of the sole Vox regional MP (Yes 37 -PSOE and UP-, No 41, abstained 3 from UPL, xAvila and a Cs defector). Meanwhile the Murcia city council censorship motion actually worked with a +1 majority of PSOE, Cs and UP (15-14 of PP+Vox), ending with 26 years of PP' administrations in the city.

In Catalan government update, today was the first confidence/investidure motion of current caretaker President Pere Aragonés, and was rejected only having the support of his party ERC and the CUP as Junts will abstain as search a more proper agreement. A second motion will held on Tuesday.

As for the Madrid election... the news of the week is actor Toni Cantó (former UPYD and Cs MP) moving to PP' list as independent more convinced to Ayuso project and dischanted with the Arrimadas one, will be #5 on the list with some controversial around his vote register in Madrid being just days ago the spokeperson of Cs in Valencian Corts. #2 on PP list will be Enrique Ruiz Escudero (Ayuso' Health regional minister).

On PSOE, Gabilondo sells as moderate rejecting any pact with Iglesias and says PSOE+Más Madrid+Cs as his prefered pact. State Secretaries Hana Janoull (as #2) and Irene Lozano (also former UPYD MP like Cantó) will be on the PSOE list as well Senate President Pilar Llop (as #3). Meanwhile in Cs primaries, Edmundo Bal wins without surprises.

Due to the Madrid' electoral law, Pablo Iglesias will left the cabinet next week (he originally planned to left on April 14), this week he resigned as MP and during his last session as 2nd Deputy PM announced a lawsuit against PP #2 García Egea for the "transfúgas" of Murcia. His ministerial post will be taken by Podemos MP and State Secretary Ione Belarra (and Yolanda Díaz will ascend as 3rd Deputy PM).

[MRCVzla]

An interesting Madrid election map exercise (?)
In the 2011-2015 regional legislature, the  PP majority proposed to reform the regional electoral law inspired by the German mixed system, proposing that 1/3 of the regional MP's would be elected through single-member constituencies (at that time, 43/129 seats) and the other 2/3 PR under the D'Hondt method (as they are), to required to be approved, it would be necessary also reform the autonomous statute with 2/3 of the regional Assembly, obviously it failed because the lack of support, specially from the left. Apart from the fact that the design of the proposed districts did not have an equitable population among the constituencies (they vary between 30k in the Sierra Norte district to almost 250k in Fuencarral-El Pardo). Here the map with the original proposal.

Using that same constituency apportionment, these were the results by party and by bloc (left-right) in the 2019 regional elections:

Spoiler alert! Click Show to show the content.

Show

As PSOE was the most voted list then, it dominated in most constituencies, the PP would only win on its own those in the north of the capital and its western upper-income strongholds. Más Madrid was the most voted list in the Madrid Centro district and Cs in the Hortaleza-Barajas district. In the blocks it is the center-right that draws the map in blue leaving the center-left with its southwestern working-class strongholds. Very similar to what tack50 portrayed in his project of FPTP districts for Congress, also with 43 constituencies but with a corrected population proportion (of course, in the May regional election, was a more favourable result to the centre-left, compared to the November general one).

Electoral reform in Madrid is currently not an necessary issue due to their kind of fairer PR with 5% threshold, but in every election the size of the Assembly is increasing due to their attachment of 50.000 inhabitants per seat (from 129 in 2011 to 136 in 2021). In the sole debate of the campaign, only Vox cared about a electoral reform reducing (without proposing a fixed number) the size of the Assembly and also less regional ministers in the cabinet.

Historia Electoral has an interesting page applying different electoral systems to historical results, including this hybrid proposal: http://www.historiaelectoral.com/sistmadrid.html (also they do the same with other Spanish elections)

[MRCVzla]

Interesting isidewith-like tests (a voting one and a Madrilenian political culture) about Madrid election for anyone curious, it's on Spanish but with a good translator may can do the test): https://elecciones.cope.es/test-afinidad

Today is not only the last day of campaign, but it's also the Day of the Community of Madrid. Iglesias was absent in the official act and some things happened, may the most regular posters can deep more in the info of the last hours prior to the Tuesday' polls.

[MRCVzla]

Average of the 5 polls released after 20:00 CET:
PP 42.4% (58-64)
PSOE 19.6% (26-30)
MM 16.9% (22-28)
VOX 9.1% (10-15)
UP 7.1% (7-11)
Cs 3-4% (0)

PP+VOX 73-76
PSOE+MM+UP 60-63

[MRCVzla]

Alberto Núñez Feijóo is officially the new leader of PP as being elected by 98% of the party members during the extraordinary party congress held this weekend in Sevilla, parliamentary spokeperson Cuca Gamarra will be the party new General Secretary, as for former leader Pablo Casado, he's leaving politics resigning of his seat on the Congress.

Feijóo prior of the party congress, resigned of the Galicia PP leadership, and is expected to do the same for the Xunta regional presidency and be designed Senator to confront PM Sánchez in Parliament.

[MRCVzla]

Apart of the Villacís/Cs stunt in the attempt to not get below 5% in Madrid city. The other publicity stunt in get attention it's the upcoming (2nd) Vox' censorship motion, to happen next week (Tuesday 14th in the morning to end on Wednesday 15th) with 89 years old-economist with communist background Ramón Tamames, of course will fail like last time as only have the core support of the 52 Vox MPs. Apart the independent candidate (who only agreement with the Abascal party is get Sánchez -and Podemos- out ASAP, despite Tamames actually sorta respect Sánchez, and remarks the leftist-federalist mantra of "Spain' Nation of Nations"), the other difference is PP going to vote Abstain, just also to not see this motion as a victory of Sánchez government.

The coalition goverment is not doing well and still has their constant public frictions, last week they approved PSOE' proposal to reform the "Only Yes is Yes" Law (with PP support) as UP voting against and going separate ways at the March 8 feminist march. This week in parliamentary commission, the proposal to reform the Citizen Security Law (the so-called "Ley Mordaza" approved by Rajoy government in 2015) was rejected, UP voted in favor but the "regular partners" ERC and EH Bildu voted against as the Since the proposal maintained the use of rubber bullets to repress protests (as occurred in several pro-independence protests in Catalonia) or the so-called "hot returns" of migrants (on the borders with Morocco, a considerable defeat as it is one of the main goals of the Sánchez administration.

Local and regional elections are in May 28th, probably a lot of focus will be in some Autonomous Communities currently hold by PSOE but likely to gain for PP with or without Vox support (Valencian Community, Balearic Islands, Extremadura, Castilla-La Mancha...), Navarre is also interesting with the UPN/PP split -and the latter capting MPs Sayas and Adanero to their lists, PP as sole in Navarre has a weak party structure-, Cantabria with their almost octogenarian regionalist president Revilla seeking reelection again (or be unseated by PP/right) or the battle for the Barcelona mayorship (Colau seeking 3rd term), in Madrid Ayuso (at regional level) and Almeida (at city level) have a likely guaranteed reelection (and better without needing Vox support as happened in the 2021 snap election) as well with a safe PP reelection López Miras in Murcia, in Aragón also to watch the perfomance of the "Empty Spain" platform Teruel Existe expanded now as Aragón Existe, and as well wait and see the whole Ciudadanos debacle adding more nails to their coffin (with the final one later this year)...

Meanwhile Canary Islands is other attention focus, but for a alleged corruption case by a former PSOE Canarian MP called "Mediator Case" or "Tito Berni" (nickname of the former MP involved in the arc), supposedly "Berni" with a mediator favored shady business and payed partys at night clubs with public funds (?) (as far i know and resume here, expect other poster to develop futher in this or other stories).

[MRCVzla]

Vox/Tamames' Censorship motion failed as expected after 2 days of debates at Parliament:
Yes: 53
No: 201
Abstentions: 91
Not present: 4
Vacant seat: 1

The "extra vote" apart of the 52 Vox MPs was from an ex Cs MP (Pablo Cambronero, from the right-wing of the party and very anti-Sánchez). PP and their electoral allies (the 2 MPs from Navarre and the Foro Asturias one) abstained to not give and "oxygen balloon" to Sánchez government.

In political news, Yolanda Díaz' Sumar election platform will be formally presented on April 2, and will now if Podemos finally joins the project (they want to be a main role in the coalition and an open primary to determinate the lists)

[MRCVzla]

And apart of the Podemos/Sumar internal war, many topics and public debates are happening in Spain, the ongoing "Yes is Yes" reform, the block at the Justice renovation, the Public Health crisis (mainly in Madrid) and now the debate at maternal surrogacy (forbidden) after a major celebrity admitted used this method to have... a niece of their dead son. And the Catalonia issue can be revived at any moment, one of the Junts rebel MEPs returned quickly to Barcelona, got arrested but went free, and Borras (speaker of the Parlament) got invicted in a corruption case.

Oh, and a minor government reschuffle happened after 2 of PSOE ministers will going to be candidates in the upcoming May 28 local elections.

And a general election is not happening until December. Sánchez is going to milk to the max their turn at the EU presidency and in dates would the election normally happen (October-November) the Cortes they have to still open due to Princess Leonor' turning 18 at swearing the Constitution before going to military school.

So there will be weeks and weeks of PSOE vs. PP, PSOE vs. Podemos and Podemos vs. Sumar infights.

[MRCVzla]

GAD3 polls for RTVE/Forta (regional broadcasters):
Comunitat Valenciana
PP 37-38
PSOE 31-33
Vox 13-14
Compromís 12-14
UP 3

Comunidad de Madrid
PP 70-72
PSOE 27-28
Más Madrid 20
Vox 9-10
UP 7

Aragón
PP 28-29
PSOE 22-23
Vox 7-9
Podemos 2-3
CHA 2-3
Aragón Existe (España Vaciada) 2
IU 1

Castilla-La Mancha
PSOE 16-18
PP 12-13
Vox 3-4

Illes Balears
PP 21-22
PSOE 17-18
Vox 7-8
Més per Mallorca 4-5
UP 4
Més per Menorca 2
El PI 0-2
Gent x Formentera 1

Navarra
UPN 12-13
PSN 10-11
EH Bildu 9
Geroa Bai 8-9
PP 5
Contigo/Zurekin (UP) 3-4
Vox 2
-----------------------------
Madrid city
PP 28-30
Más Madrid 12
PSOE 10-11
Vox 4
UP 0-3

Barcelona city
BComú 10
PSC 9-10
Trias per Barcelona (Junts) 8-9
ERC 6
PP 4
Vox 3

Valencia city
PP 13-14
Compromís 8
PSOE 7-8
Vox 4

Sevilla city
PP 13-14
PSOE 13
Vox 3
Con Andalucía (UP+MP) 1-2

Zaragoza city
PP 14
PSOE 10-11
Vox 4
Podemos 1-2
Zaragoza en Común 0-2

More details at RTVE site:
https://www.rtve.es/noticias/20230528/sondeo-elecciones-autonomicas-2023-28m/2447601.shtml
https://www.rtve.es/noticias/20230528/sondeo-elecciones-municipales-2023-28m/2447584.shtml

Official results site for Local elections: https://resultados.locales2023.es/
RTVE results site: https://resultados-elecciones.rtve.es/municipales/2023/
El País results site: https://elpais.com/espana/elecciones/municipales/
ABC results site: https://www.abc.es/elecciones/municipales/resultados/

[MRCVzla]

More GAD3/Gizaker (for Euskadi/Navarra) polls for local elections:
Vitoria-Gasteiz
EH Bildu 7
PNV 7
PSE-EE 6-7
PP 5-6
Elkarrekin (UP) 1-2

Bilbao
PNV 13-14
EH Bildu 5
PSE-EE 5
PP 3
Elkarrekin (UP) 2-3

Donostia/San Sebastián
PNV 9-10
EH Bildu 8-9
PSE-EE 5
PP 2
Elkarrekin (UP) 2-3

Pamplona
UPN 7-8
EH Bildu 7-8
PSN 4
PP 3
Geroa Bai 2-3
Contigo/Zurekin (UP) 1-2

Lleida
PSC 8
ERC 6
Junts 5
PP 4
Vox 2
CUP 1
En Comú 1

Girona
Junts 9
PSC 8
ERC 4
Guanyem (CUP) 4
PP 2

Tarragona
PSC 10
ERC 6
PP 5
Vox 3
Junts 2-3
En Comú Podem 0-1

Almería
PP 14
PSOE 7
Vox 4
UP 2

Cadíz (leftist incumbent not standing)
PP 11-12
PSOE 6-7
Adelante 6
Vox 2
Podemos 1

Córdoba
PP 14
PSOE 7
Vox 4
Hacemos Córdoba (UP) 4

Granada
PP 12-13
PSOE 9
Vox 4
Granada Unida (Adelante) 1
UP 0-1

Huelva
PP 12
PSOE 11-12
Vox 2-3
UP 1

Jaén
PP 12
PSOE 10-11
Jaén Merece Más (Adelante) 2-3
Vox 2

Jérez de la Frontera
PP 13-14
PSOE 8-9
Vox 2-3
IU-Ganar Jerez 2
Podemos 0-1

Málaga
PP 16
PSOE 10
UP 3
Vox 2

Alicante
PP 13-14
PSOE 8
Vox 4
Compromís 2-3
UP 1

Castellón
PP 10-11
PSOE 9-10
Vox 4
Compromís 3

Main 7 Galicia cities (GAD3 for Forta/Sondaxe for La Voz de Galicia)
A Coruña
PP 11 / 10
PSOE 10 / 10
BNG 4 / 4
Marea Atlántica 2 / 2
Por Coruña (UP) 0 / 1

Ferrol
PP 13 / 14
PSOE 7 / 7
BNG 3 / 2
Ferrol en Común 2 / 2

Lugo
PP 12-13 / 12
PSOE 7-8 / 7
BNG 5 / 6

Ourense
PP 9-10 / 9
PSOE 7-8 / 8
Democracia Ourensana 6 / 6
BNG 4 / 4

Pontevedra
PP 10-11 / 11
BNG 10-11 / 10
PSOE 4 / 4

Santiago de Compostela
PP 9-10 / 10
BNG 7 / 5
PSOE 6 / 7
Compostela Aberta / 3

Vigo (or better said, Abeland)
PSOE 19-20 / 19
PP 5 / 5
BNG 2-3 / 2
Marea de Vigo 0 / 1

[MRCVzla]

Canary Islands closed the polls just minutes ago, GAD3 poll released with a likely turn:
PSOE 23-25
CC 18-19
PP 15-16
NC 3-4
ASG (Curbelo, La Gomera localist) 3
VOX 2
UP 2
AHI (El Hierro localists) 1

Local elections actual count starts, currently at 13% reported, mostly in rural areas around Galicia, Asturias, Euskadi, Extremadura, Murcia or Andalucia, tiny counts in major cities:
29.3% PSOE
25.9% PP
5.9%   Vox
5.1%   EH Bildu
5.0%   PNV

[MRCVzla]

In Barcelona at 91%, the Trias/Junts list takes the lead (11 seats), PSC 10, Colau' Comuns at 9, ERC 5, PP 4, and Vox enters with 2.

Madrid at 59%: PP 27, Vox 5, MM 12, PSOE 10, UP 3 (5.06%)
Valencia at 82%: PP 13, Vox 4, Compromís 9, PSPV 7
Sevilla at 64%: PP 14, Vox 3, PSOE 12, Con Andalucía (UP) 2
Zaragoza at 95%: PP 15, Vox 4, PSOE 10, Zaragoza en Común 2

Pamplona at 91%: UPN 9, PP 2, EH Bildu 8, PSN 5, GBAI 2, Contigo (UP) 1
Vitoria-Gasteiz at 99.7%: EH Bildu 7, PSE-EE 6, PP 6, PNV 6, UP 2
Las Palmas at 46%: PSOE 12, NC 2, UP 1, PP 9, Vox 4, CC 1
Santa Cruz de Tenerife at 32%: PSOE 11, CC 10, PP 4, Vox 2

In mostly of the province capitals, Right wing bloc (PP+Vox) is leading, in other places:
PP majority: Córdoba, Granada, Melilla, Murcia, Málaga, Salamanca, Santander, Teruel
PSOE majority: Soria
Left wing bloc leading: A Coruña, Cádiz (PSOE over AA), Jaén, Lugo, Pontevedra (BNG), Tarragona (PSC+ERC+Comú), Zamora (IU)
Right wing bloc + localists leading: Ourense (DO), Ávila (XAV)
Catalan indys: Girona
Tossup at expense of a local party: Cuenca, Palencia
Very tossup: San Sebastián

[MRCVzla]

Meanwhile in the regional/autonomic races:
Asturias at 83.5%: PSOE 19, IU-MP 3, Podemos 1, PP 17, Vox 4, Foro 1
Navarra at 82.5%: UPN 15, PP 3, Vox 2, PSN 11, Geroa Bai 7, Contigo/UP 3, EH Bildu 9
Aragón at 81.9%: PP 27, Vox 7, PSOE 23, Aragón Existe 4, CHA 3, Podemos 1, IU 1, PAR 1
Balears at 73.8%: PP 25, Vox 8, PSOE 17, Més 4, UP 2, MxMenorca 2, GxF 1 (El PI out)
Murcia at 64.5% PP 21, Vox 9, PSOE 12, UP 2, MCR (Cartagena localists) 1
Cantabria at 63.1%: PP 14, Vox 4, PSOE 9, PRC 8 (Revilla is done, already conceded)
Comunitat Valenciana at 61.1%: PP 40, Vox  13, PSPV 32, Compromís 14
Extremadura at 55.2%: PP 28, Vox  5, PSOE 28, UP 4 (very tight race)
Castilla-La Mancha at 53.6%: PSOE 17 (currently with majority), PP 12, Vox 4
La Rioja at 52.2%: PP 17 (majority), Vox 2, PSOE 12, UP 2
Madrid at 34.2%: PP 67, Vox 10, PSOE 30, MM 28 (UP out)
Canarias at 21.8%: PSOE 18, CC 17, PP 13, Vox 3, NC 3, no results yet in La Gomera or El Hierro.

Ceuta at 98.8%: PP 9, Vox 5, PSOE 6, MDyC (Sumar ally) 3, Ceuta Ya! (localist) 2
Melilla at 60.1%: PP 15 (majority), Vox 3, CPM (the bribe party) 4, PSOE 3

EDIT: Now past 40% counted in Madrid community, Ayuso get her majority at 68 seats (PSOE at 29), in Aragón, PP is now at 28 (Existe -1 with 3), still early in Canarias but now with the 2 tiny islands with huge localist presence counted (ASG 3, AHI 1, other localist from El Hierro at 1, PSOE at 19, PP 15, NC loss 1 at 2, CC and Vox even with 17 and 3)

[MRCVzla]

General scenario at province capitals (plus cities over 100k inhabitants):
PP majority: Madrid, Almería, Badajoz, Cádiz, Córdoba, Granada, Logroño, Melilla, Murcia, Málaga, Oviedo, Salamanca, Santander, Teruel, Badalona, Jerez de la Frontera, Marbella, Torrejón de Ardoz, Algeciras, Roquetas de Mar
Right-wing lead but PP>combined left: Albacete, Alicante, Ciudad Real, Huelva, Huesca, Segovia, Zaragoza, Gijón (Foro), Alcobendas
Right-wing bloc lead: Valencia, Sevilla, Burgos, Castellón, Ceuta, Cáceres, Guadalajara, Ourense, Palma de Mallorca, Toledo, Valladolid, Elche, Cartagena, Móstoles, Alcalá de Henares
PSOE majority: Soria, Vigo, Sabadell, Fuenlabrada, Dos Hermanas, Santa Coloma de Gramenet
Left-wing bloc lead: A Coruña, Jaén, León, Lleida, Lugo, Las Palmas de Gran Canaria, Tarragona, Zamora (IU), L'Hospitalet de Llobregat, Getafe, Alcorcón, Parla, Mataró
Nationalist with left-wing support: Bilbao, San Sebastián, Barakaldo (PNV), Pontevedra, Santiago de Compostela (BNG)
Nationalist with center-right support: Santa Cruz de Tenerife (CC)
Nationalist/regionalist bloc lead: Girona (Guanyem)
Likely Localist: Ávila, Terrassa, Telde
Tossup with a Regionalist/localist as kingmaker: Cuenca, Palencia, Leganés
Tossup: Barcelona, Pamplona, Vitoria-Gasteiz, San Cristóbal de La Laguna, Reus

Also results from the Foral/Provincial elections in Basque Country:
Álava: PNV 15, EH Bildu 14, PSE-EE 9, PP 9, Elkarrekin 3, Vox 1
Bizkaia: PNV 23, EH Bildu 15, PSE-EE 8, PP 3, Elkarrekin 2
Gipuzkoa: EH Bildu 22, PNV 17, PSE-EE 7, PP 3, Elkarrekin 2

Canary Islands' Insular councils (Cabildos) so far:
Tenerife: PSOE 11, CC 11, PP 7, Vox 2
Lanzarote: PSOE 8, CC 7, PP 5, NC 2, Vox 1
Gran Canaria: NC 8, PSOE 8, PP 7, Vox 3, CC 3
Fuerteventura: CC 8, PP 5, PSOE 5, NC 3, AMF (localist) 2
La Palma: CC 11, PP 5, PSOE 5
La Gomera: ASG 12, PSOE 2, IxLG 2, CC 1
El Hierro: PSOE 4, AHI 3, AH (localist) 3, PP 2, IUC-Reunir 1

Conselh Generau d'Aran: CDA-PNA 5, UA-PSC-CP 3, AA-AM 1; no change respect to 2019

[MRCVzla]

For those who are curious (in the middle of the shock for the snap summer election call), several media outlets published the maps of the local elections "street by street" (by precincts/censal sections), I'm excluding El País link bc its behind a subscription paywall:
El Mundo: https://www.elmundo.es/elecciones/elecciones-municipales/2023/05/30/647512dd21efa028698b45aa.html
ABC: https://www.abc.es/espana/mapa-resultados-elecciones-municipios-espana-calle-calle-20230530164811-nt.html
El Diario: https://www.eldiario.es/politica/mapa-votaron-vecinos-elecciones-municipales-resultados-28m-calle-calle_1_10249030.html
Público: https://www.publico.es/politica/consulta-calle-calle-votado-vecindario-elecciones-municipales-28m.html
OK Diario: https://okdiario.com/espana/resultados-elecciones-municipales-2023-cada-municipio-11003507
El Confidencial: https://www.elconfidencial.com/espana/2023-05-29/resultados-calle-municipales-28m_3655122/
El Español: https://www.elespanol.com/actualidad/20230530/mapa-resultados-elecciones-municipales-calle/767673227_0.html

El País (Madrid regional election): https://elpais.com/espana/elecciones-autonomicas/2023-05-29/los-resultados-electorales-de-las-elecciones-autonomicas-del-28-m-en-madrid-calle-a-calle.html

Also with the snap election call, some newspapers also published a projected results of the regional/local elections to the GE ones, the extrapolations varies mostly on how the left-to-PSOE is divided or united (the main concern in the next 10 days).
El País: https://elpais.com/espana/elecciones-municipales/2023-05-29/extrapolacion-del-resultado-a-las-generales-feijoo-tendria-garantizada-la-victoria-pero-no-el-gobierno.html

Only local elections: PP 143, PSOE, 122, Vox 15, UP 8, ERC 12, Junts 12, PNV 7, EH Bildu 9, MP/IU 6, CUP 1, CC-NC 4, UPN 2, BNG 4, Compromís 4, PRC 1
With regional elections:  PP 139, PSOE 120, Vox 17, UP 8, ERC 12, Junts 12, PNV 7, EH Bildu 8, MP/IU 7, CUP 1, CC-NC 5, UPN 2, BNG 4, Compromís 5, PRC 1, Teruel Existe 1, Geroa Bai 1

El Mundo: https://www.elmundo.es/elecciones/elecciones-generales/2023/05/29/6474ebedfc6c830c6a8b45cf.html

PP 139, PSOE 120, Vox 17, Sumar 13, ERC 12, Junts 12, EH Bildu 8, Podemos 7, PNV 7, BNG 4, CC 4, UPN 2, Geroa Bai 1, CUP 1, Teruel Existe 1, PRC 1, NC 1

El Diario: https://www.eldiario.es/politica/resultados-municipales-28m-si-hubieran-sido-elecciones-generales-pp-gana-izquierda-gobernar_1_10250519.html

PP 138, PSOE 121, Left-wing confluence 24, Vox 14, ERC 12, Junts 12, EH Bildu 9, PNV 7, BNG 4, CC 4, UPN 2, CUP 1, NC 1, Foro 1

El Español/SocioMétrica: https://www.elespanol.com/espana/politica/20230529/pp-vox-upn-cc-sumarian-extrapolando-generales/767423539_0.html

Sumar 10, PSOE 125, PRC 1, ERC 12, EH Bildu 7, BNG 3, PNV 6, CC 3, UPN 2, Junts 12, PP 154, Vox 15

[MRCVzla]

I've read many times the expression sanchismo in the right-wing media, but what exactly does that mean? How is it different than -for example- zapaterismo?

The mainstream concept of "sanchismo" by the right-wing bloc (and the media outlets who supports or give plataform) i believe as the capacity of survive o pact at "any cost" with the "enemies of the country's unity" (the "bolivarian"/muh-communist/republican radical left and the peripherical separatists/terrorists) for just the sake of power, it's mostly spreading lies/fake news and fears with some doses of "ideological war", and seems it works for many parts of their target electorate. Hence the high hostility/crispation who the internal public opinion sees in the ongoing government, as this is unable to translate their socio-economic "successes" to a more moderate electorate (?).

[MRCVzla]

Under the radar aside from the Sumar/Podemos ongoing negotiation (MP/MM denies Iglesias' notice about personal vetoes to Podemos' "leaderesses" ministers from being part on the lists, as he assumes to be from MP/Comuns side; PSOE seems to asume a divided list scenario already calling Podemos "dead" like Cs), some updates from the Regional elections.

-During the weekend, the "CERA" abroad resident by-mail votes came and secured PSOE majority in Castilla-La Mancha (and García Page' reelection) as well the left-wing majority in Asturias. In Madrid, Vox gained a seat from PP, Vox now has 11 and PP 70, no changes to Díaz Ayuso' new majority.
-In Alcorcón (Madrid), in the recount of 42 disputed votes and more than a thousand null votes, the left-wing bloc led by PSOE retained the majority in the "ayuntamiento" who in election night was claimed by the right-wing bloc with PP being the overall winner.
-Yesterday (Tuesday), in Canary Islands, Coalición Canaria and PP reached a coalition agreement meaning the return of CC' Fernando Clavijo to the regional presidency, still to deal a support from the local parties of El Hierro and La Gomera (the socialist "cacique" Curbelo).
-Euskadi/Basque Country: PNV and PSE with the support of PP will private EH Bildu to govern in Vitoria-Gasteiz and the Gipuzkoa' provincial diputation.
-Aragón: incumbent PSOE' regional president Javier Lambán will not lead the opposition to the potential PP government, and will remain as regional party leader until a new party congress.

PP as recovered their old argument of "respect and let govern the most voted list" in attempt to avoid to deal with Vox in upcoming coalition agreements (local, regional or national) and left the job to their regional/local party directions, a little bit contradictory in the mentioned Canary case but in Comunitat Valenciana they will try this strategy meanwhile in Extremadura the regional PP will negotiate a coalition agreement with Vox, in Cantabria, Revilla' PRC will abstain to avoid Vox being an influence in the future PP goverment.

In the Barcelona situation seems more possible a "pro-indy" major rather than a "progressive" one. ERC is more inclined to support Trias instead of PSC or Colau, also PP rejects PSC/Colau.

Returning to the general election' news: Feijoo already says that will cut some Ministries like Equality or Consume and derogate some "ideological" laws like "Trans act" or reforms on the the law about Euthanasia as well a Judicial reform to recover the "Sedición" and the un-block of the CGPJ renovation. Also about the Sánchez proposal to do multiple "face-to-face" debates every Monday til' the election (six, without counting or including the potential debates with all main leaders from the 3 main broadcasters or the Prisa/El País/SER one), Feijoo says that will accept only one.

[MRCVzla]

Less than 24 hours to the deadline to register electoral coalitions...
Apart of the "shell party" bluff, Podemos are pushing to the limit the negotiations, with an "express" internal online voting to their party base about approve having "full powers" in the talks or better said, approve to join Sumar, the vote closes in just hours at 11:00 CET, the Valencian branch of Podemos tempts to ran alone whatever the national direction decides today, other regional branches seems more favorable to join Sumar.

In the Sumar area, more parties are confirming their membership in the alliance like Balearic nationalists MÉS (they would lead the list in Baleares), Aragonese' CHA, the canarian Drago Project as well the other Más País members, the valencian Compromís and the ecologists of Verdes Equo, Más Madrid approved massively their support and wants what the lists "reflect the 28-M' results", the other parts of "Unidas Podemos" as IU/PCE, Alianza Verde and the catalan Comuns seems to made official their joining in the next hours. But not all are going to Sumar, Adelante Andalucía wants to run apart but only in one constituency (likely Cádiz or Sevilla) meanwhile the Ceuta' local party MDyC who was one first parties to support Díaz' platform is not standing at all.

Apart of this left-wing drama in its decisive hours.
-UPN proposes to PP to ran together in similar pact like prior to the Navarra Suma alliance with Cs (UPN getting 1st and 2nd on Congress lists as PP-N gets 1st and 3rd in the Navarra Senate ballot), earlier in the week PP sayed it was UPN who initally rejected going in a coalition, that's other coalition "war" to watch, the UPN/PP space always get 2 seats in Navarra, if UPN runs alone could risk the 2nd one and PPN normally doesn't have enough voting muscle to get a seat of this own (could be the first time since er... "the transition" were UPN and PP ran separate)
-The canarian alliance between Coalición Canaria and Nueva Canarias seems to be done and like in April 2019, they run each one by their own (in that election, NC only ran in their stronghold constituency of Las Palmas).
-The PDeCAT (the remains of the old Convérgencia) will run with the name "Espai CiU" (CiU Space), in a new attempt to attract those moderate souveranist votes (and the myriad of former CDC/UDC splinters), PDeCAT had 4 seats within the 8 of the JxCat list in the last legislative term.
-ERC and EH Bildu are doing a "technical" coalition in the Senate (who they already have formed a joint group in the last term) with the name "Left-wing for the Independence".

The clock is ticking, if there is agreement, Sánchez/PSOE could have a little ray of faith to avoid a center-right majority, if Podemos beligerance wins, they seems to be look like IU reached prior to Podemos' own surge (2-3 seats on the Mixed group).

[MRCVzla]

Agreement done "in extremis". Sumar and Podemos are finally running together on the upcoming GE
https://twitter.com/eldiarioes/status/1667231488885006341

Election symbol will have Yolanda Díaz' face (ala Iglesias EU2014 or Errejón GE10-N2019)

Earlier in the morning, IU confirmed their agreement, would head the lists on Córdoba, Málaga, Tarragona, 2nd in Sevilla, 3rd in Valencia or the 9th in Madrid (likely to PCE' Enrique Santiago). Más Madrid pacted the slots 3rd (to saharaui activist Tesh Sidi), 4th (Errejón), 7th and 10th on Madrid list. Jaume Asens from the Comuns leads Barcelona, Compromís will lead the Valencia list as well MÉS in Baleares and CHA in Zaragoza while other Sumar-related independents could lead Sevilla, Asturias, Bizkaia, Alicante or Tenerife (the potential return of Alberto Rodriguez after being his seat suspended on the last legislative term)

Are Sumar-Podemos talks being blocked on policy platform differences or seat-sharing differences (I guess in terms of who gets what slot on the lists)?

The (still unresolved) problem it's on seat-sharing differences bc Podemos wants more listheaders ("puestos de salida") o elegible slots, also end the "vetoes" of some Sumar/Más País members about main Podemos politicians on the lists (mainly Irene Montero and Pablo Echenique). Extraofficial sources say what Sumar would reseve the 5th slot in Madrid for Ione Belarra, the 4th in Barcelona to Lilith Verstrynge and lead the lists in Murcia, Cádiz, Navarra, Gipuzkoa, Álava or Las Palmas (other potential elegible post could be Granada or both Extremadura consituencies). This drama will continue and resolved til' Sunday 18th (deadline to register candidate lists.

Other election news: Sumar and their regional allies are also running together... with PSOE on the Ibiza-Formentera Senate constituency. PP counters UPN offer and wanted the 2nd slot in Navarra (and UPN the 1st and 3rd Senate slots), UPN rejects it and its more inclined to run apart.

The Central Electoral Commission (JEC) also made mandatory the ID cards for whose are going to vote by-mail (expected high turnout due to the election' summer date) to avoid any case of vote-bribing (like happened on local elections in Melilla and other placed)

Other political news: Anna Erra (Junts) its the new speaker of the Catalan Parliament after the definitive impeachment of Laura Borrás' seat.

UPDATE: The electoral coalition has been just registered at the JEC.
https://twitter.com/Yolanda_Diaz_/status/1667250677133856788

[MRCVzla]

Is there a place where we can see the full lists in each circunscripcion when they are published?

In June 21 (two days after the deadline to register lists) the preliminary lists are published at the Official State Gazette or Boletín General del Estado (BOE), the definitive lists after being proclaimed by the Provincial Electoral Commissions are published on June 26 also at the BOE.

For now, will only now by the press some leaks of the lists (not only Sumar, but PP and Vox lists will be known within the next days...), in some cases the lists are already approved by the parties like PSOE today or PNV yesterday or who will be the lead candidate in some major regional/nationalist lists (Gabriel Rufían repeats in the ERC one, as well Aitor Esteban in the PNV, for example).

[MRCVzla]

SigmaDos (for El Mundo) also yesterday published their poll, kinda optimist for Sumar and less pro-bipartisan like GAD3.
https://twitter.com/electografica/status/1667656897464262659

The trend seems to be PP 140-150+, PSOE above 100 with a similar % respect to both 2019 elections, Vox and Sumar around low-high 30-ish seats, very key how Vox retains seats in provinces with more than 5-6 seats to avoid full bipartisan allocation, in the rest/nationalists the changes between them depends on how catalan separatists (mostly the left-wing ones), UPN in Navarra -GAD3 directly says they are DOA, unlike other pollsters- or the "España vaciada" movement (standing in 12 provinces including all Aragón or Soria, specially the later also related to break potential bipartisan landslide there) could mobilize during this pre-election days.

[MRCVzla]

Habemus the first PP+Vox coalition agreement, in Valencian Community, PP regional leader Carlos Mazón secures Vox support to his investiture and will form part of the upcoming regional govt., the Vox regional leader Carlos Flores (invicted in the past for domestic/gender violence) "sacrified" himself in order to be done, he will be anyway transfered to lead the Vox list in Valencia in the 23J GE. Vox will also have the Speaker role in the Valencian Courts (regional parliament), the agreement is concentrated in five strategic axes (some kind of redundant):

1.  Freedom, so that we can all choose.
2. Economic development to reduce unnecessary spending and boost the economy.
3. Health and social services, to reinforce public health and social services.
4. Hallmarks (identity signs) to defend and recover our hallmarks
5. Support for families, to promote the birth rate, security and promotion of families

Other Autonomous Communities were PP+Vox have high chances of coalition governments are Extremadura, Aragón or Balearic Islands, Vox threatens to force electoral repeats if agreements are not reached with them.

The latest news in the Barcelona battle for the mayorship is a proposal from incumbent mayor Ada Colau to turns the mayorship between Ernest Maragall (ERC), her and PSC' Jaume Collboni during the term to avoid Xavier Trias (the most voted candidate) and the right-wing take the Mayor' baton, PSC already rejects this option. The installation of the municipal consistory (as in the whole country) is this Saturday.

To refresh GE news, the drama of Podemos and Sumar continues despite their coalition pact, the "purples" seems to fight to the end to have Irene Montero on the Sumar lists, but Yolanda Díaz rest importance putting the focus on the country' "real problems" instead of some personalism. Sumar' number 2 on Madrid list will be Agustín Santos Maraver, diplomatic who worked for Gónzalez and Zapatero governments and current Ambassador of Spain to the UN, also has some NATO-critical views according some blogs under nickname revealed by some right-wing media. MEPs Ernest Urtasun (campaign) and Eugenia Rodriguez Palop (electoral program) are the coalition coordinators.

PSOE lists were approved in weekend as i said days ago, along with Sánchez other 4 ministers will follow him on the Madrid list: Teresa Ribera (Deputy PM, Ecological transition), Félix Bolaños (Secretary of the PM), Margarita Robles (Defense) and José Manuel Albares (Foreign Affairs). Miquel Iceta (Culture) and Raquel Sánchez (Transport) to follow Speaker Meritxell Batet on Barcelona, Treasury minister Maria Jesús Montero will lead again Sevilla list, Fernando Grande-Marlaska (Internal Affairs) leads Cádiz, Isabel Rodríguez (Territorial Policy and cabinet' spokeperson) in Ciudad Real, Luis Planas (Agriculture) in Córdoba, Héctor Gómez (Industry, Commerce and Tourism) in Tenerife, José Miñones (Health) in Coruña as well Pilar Alegria (Education) in Zaragoza. Sánchez also recovers former ministers Carmen Calvo in Granada and José Luis Ábalos as 2nd behind Diana Morant (Science minister) in Valencia, controversy was not abscent as the Alegría and Morant/Ábalos "dedazos" were questioned by the Aragón and Valencian regional directions, as well in other territories like Castilla y León or Asturias also expressed some disconfort on the list but they accepted anyway (the Castilla-La Mancha branch was also dissatisfied, but they were taken into account and there were no major movements in their provinces). Not being part of the lists as neither affiliated to PSOE is Economy minister and Deputy PM Nadia Calviño who will take on main role on the campaign.

On PP side, Feijoo presumes internal renovation as 3/4 of their list holders are changed respect to 2019 elections, Parliamentary spokewoman Cuca Gamarra will return to her home province La Rioja, Party General coordinator and ongoing Senator Elias Bendodo leads Málaga, MEP Esteban Gónzalez Pons to head Valencia also recovers Alberto Fabra in Castellón, other "strong persons" of Feijoo' direction leading are Juan Bravo (Economy deputy secretary) in Sevilla, Miguel Tellado (Organization deputy secretary) in Coruña, Carmen Fúnez (Social Policy) in Ciudad Real, the big changes comes in Barcelona with Nacho Martín Blanco, former Cs regional MP and spokeperson in the Parlament, and as expected, former UPN MP Miguel Sayas to lead the list in Navarra, to repeat as list holders MP like former Speaker and minister Ana Pastor (Pontevedra), Carlos Rojas (Granada), Antonio Bérmudez de Castro (Salamanca), Macarena Montesinos (Alicante), Ana Vásquez (Ourense) or Beatriz Fanjul (Bizkaia). Still unknown the rest of the Madrid list, sources appoint what the 2nd on the list behind Feijoo (a woman, due to "zipper lists") could be a "star signing", so far is known what party spokeperson Borja Sémper and Cayetana Álvarez de Toledo will be on the Madrid list.

[MRCVzla]

One more update about lists and some campaign buzz in the last days:
PSOE: Controversy after the Government Delegate in Madrid said in a business incounter what EH Bildu (and ERC) made more things for Spain and "saved more lives" in the last 5 years than the so-called "patriotic" right-wing (reference mostly to PP about boycotting the Judicial Power renovation) infuriated the right and terrorist victims bringing back Bildu to the campaign and their potential support if Sánchez get the numbers, ofc the government official made their apologizes to the press hours later the incident.

PP: Former Cs MP and then Ayuso' Culture regional minister Marta Rivera de la Cruz will be the 2nd on Madrid list after Feijoo, she also was on Almeida' list (3rd) for Madrid city in the May local elections, along Barcelona list holder Nacho Martín Blanco or also Tarragona list holder Lluís Huguet among others, they are banking well their liberal quota to atract Cs "vidows". In Madrid (37 seats), PP is expected to get more than 15 seats, with Feijoo and Rivera they follow Borja Sémper (3rd), former Madrid Assembly speaker Eugenia Carballedo (4th), Feijoo' cabinet chief Marta Varela (5th) as well Cayetana Álvarez de Toledo (6th), other known names within the party are former cabinet chief under Aznar Carlos Aragónes (9th), former RENFE president Pablo Vásquez (13th) who is also in charge of the party' Foundation and one of their economic references or crossbench MP from Navarra Carlos García Adanero who will try to get a seat from Madrid as 16th, mayor Martínez Almeida will close symbolically the list. Also returning to the Congress are former parliamentary spokeperson and Senator Rafael Hernando as 2nd in Almeria or former party deputy general secretary Carlos Floriano as 2nd in Badajoz.

Vox: Some changes in the green ultraconservative party lists, Javier Ortega-Smith is relegated from 2nd to 4th on the list, party organization secretary María de la Cabeza Ruíz Solas will be 2nd on the list after Abascal, the 3rd will be the parliamentary spokeperson Ivan Espinosa de los Monteros, in 5th Senator Pepa Millán, out of the lists outgoing MP from Badajoz Víctor Sánchez del Real.

Sumar/En Comú: More independents linked to Yolanda Díaz were announced, Carlos Martín Urriza with CCOO union background will be 6th on Madrid and the alliance' economic "guru", in the mian Galician constituencies will head for Coruña Marta Lois (named "president" of the instrumental Sumar Movement) and Véronica Mártinez is leading the Pontevedra list, the Zaragoza list holder assigned to the Chunta Aragonesista (CHA) will be regional TV presenter Jorge Pueyo, PCE secretary Enrique Santiago will be the list holder in Córdoba and probably the main reference of IU within the lists as neither Alberto Garzón or the party spokeperson MEP Sira Rego are running. In Catalonia, Jaume Asens has declined to head the Barcelona list and announced he's quiting politics, Aina Vidal who was 2nd in the 2019 lists (and the key vote to approve Sánchez' coalition investiture) is the new list holder, on the lists will repeat outgoing member of the Congress' bureau Gerardo Pisarello (2nd) along former Barcelona city councilor Gala Pin (3rd) and the previously announced Podemos' Lilith Verstrynge (4th). Alianza Verde leader Juancho López de Uralde will not be a candidate for Álava (Podemos' Roberto Uriarte will head the list, but has slim chances to be elected), as neither Vicky Rosell (who will be reemplaced in Las Palmas for Noemí Santana, in Podemos quota) and Antón Gómez-Reino of Galicia en Común (reemplaced by the already mentioned Marta Lois in Coruña).

Catalan indies: ERC list in Barcelona will be head again by Gabriel Rufían, following him are former regional councilor Teresa Jordà (2nd), journalist and author Francesc-Marc Álvaro (3rd) as their non-party signing as well incumbent MPs Pilar Valluguera (4th), Joan Capdevilla (5th) and María Dantas (6th), the potential 7th seat could be Héctor Sánchez representing EUiA (the former IU catalan ally), repeats as lists holder Montse Bassa from Girona and Jordi Salvador from Tarragona, Inés Granollers will be the new list holder in Lleida. At Junts side, they will run a heavy pro-indy campaign even discrediting ERC on the way and advocating a more "institutional" shock with the central government, with incumbent MP Miriam Nogueras leading Barcelona, another pro-indy journalist and outgoing MP Pilar Calvo will follow her as 2nd, former party group spokeperson in the Parlament Eduard Pujol (who got Me Too'd but the claims were archived and processed) is likely being 3rd and another MP, jurist Josep Pagès will be 4th, former Girona mayor Marta Madrenas will lead the list in that province.

Apart of the Valencian mess, PP+Vox also had their impasses this week as Vox as keep out of the Murcia Assembly' board and threatens to force an electoral repeat if no agreement is reached there, the Balearic PP who also needs Vox abstention to govern will likely follow the Murcia example in case the negotiations are still blocked, as they are in Extremadura. In Cantabria, PP already has signed their pact will PRC to govern alone without Vox influence, Navarra is still an undecided race as PSOE is trying to avoid as possible a support from Bildu.

Today is a key day as the municipal councils around all Spain are being formed and they will elect their mayors. Barcelona or Pamplona being the main unknowns but Trias seems to will impose in BCN thanks to the crossed vetoes between Comuns, PSC or PP, in many others PP+Vox reached agreements but in some others PP as avoided Vox and will try to govern as the "strongest party" or doing surprise allies on the way. Very interesting to watch.

[MRCVzla]

Constitution of the local councils are happening right now, to refresh this table i do on 28M election night:

General scenario at province capitals (plus cities over 100k inhabitants):
PP majority: Madrid, Almería, Badajoz, Cádiz, Córdoba, Granada, Logroño, Melilla, Murcia, Málaga, Oviedo, Salamanca, Santander, Teruel, Badalona, Jerez de la Frontera, Marbella, Torrejón de Ardoz, Algeciras, Roquetas de Mar
Right-wing lead but PP>combined left: Albacete, Alicante, Ciudad Real, Huelva, Huesca, Segovia, Zaragoza, Gijón (Foro), Alcobendas
Right-wing bloc lead: Valencia, Sevilla, Burgos, Castellón, Ceuta, Cáceres, Guadalajara, Ourense, Palma de Mallorca, Toledo, Valladolid, Elche, Cartagena, Móstoles, Alcalá de Henares
PSOE majority: Soria, Vigo, Sabadell, Fuenlabrada, Dos Hermanas, Santa Coloma de Gramenet
Left-wing bloc lead: A Coruña, Jaén, León, Lleida, Lugo, Las Palmas de Gran Canaria, Tarragona, Zamora (IU), L'Hospitalet de Llobregat, Getafe, Alcorcón, Parla, Mataró
Nationalist with left-wing support: Bilbao, San Sebastián, Barakaldo (PNV), Pontevedra, Santiago de Compostela (BNG)
Nationalist with center-right support: Santa Cruz de Tenerife (CC)
Nationalist/regionalist bloc lead: Girona (Guanyem)
Likely Localist: Ávila, Terrassa, Telde
Tossup with a Regionalist/localist as kingmaker: Cuenca, Palencia, Leganés
Tossup: Barcelona, Pamplona, Vitoria-Gasteiz, San Cristóbal de La Laguna, Reus

As expected, along the elected/reelected majors in the PP majority area are José Luis Martínez Almeida (Madrid), Francisco de la Torre (Málaga), the returns of Xavier García Albiol (Badalona), José Francisco Ballesta (Murcia) after both lost motions of no-confidence or the gains of Cádiz after 8 years of "Kichi" with Bruno García, as well Granada with Marifrán Carazo.

A note: Despite PP getting initially majority, the instalation of Melilla Autonomous City council was delayed due to a appeal of Coalición por Melilla who claims election repeat (mostly for the mail vote bribe scandal who implies them), the local Electoral Commission (Junta Electoral de Zona) denied their appeal but they introduced one under the JEC

Right-wing lead but PP>combined left: I highlight two who get an agreement with Vox and gains from PSOE, Huelva (Pilar Miranda) and Gijón (Carmen Moriyon from Foro, mayor between 2011-19), without need of Vox is Zaragoza where PP hold as Natalia Chueca will reemplace Jorge Azcón who is very likely the next Regional President.
PP minority: Albacete, Alicante, Huesca, Segovia, Zaragoza, Alcobendas
Coalition with Vox: Ciudad Real, Huelva, Gijón (Foro)

Right-wing bloc lead situation: PP+Vox did agreements in Castilla-La Mancha being the most notable the Toledo one with PP' Carlos Velásquez being elected the new mayor after 16 years of PSOE rulling (the first 8 with the incumbent Regional President Emiliano García Page), in Valladolid, former Regional minister Jesús Julio Carnero outs the controversial Oscar Puente, also agreements or some of the Madrilenian peripheries -the so-called red belt- as in Móstoles, Manuel Bautista reemplaces the corrupt PSOE mayor Noelia Posse. In places with PP minority, the notable gains are in Valencia with Maria José Catalá ousting Compromís' Joan Ribó or Sevilla with José Luis Sanz after 2 terms of PSOE mayors, Juan Jesús Vivas gets reelected for another term in the Autonomous City of Ceuta. And there is the Ourense case, as the controversial Gonzalo Pérez Jácome (DO) will repeat as mayor in exchange of PP leading once again the provincial diputation but not headed anymore by the arch-corrupt Manuel Baltar after 36 years!
PP minority: Valencia, Sevilla, Castellón, Ceuta, Cáceres, Palma de Mallorca, Cartagena
Coalition with Vox: Burgos, Guadalajara, Toledo, Valladolid, Elche, Móstoles, Alcalá de Henares
Localist minority: Ourense

PSOE majority: The sole highlight, another 4 years of Abel Caballero and their Christmas lights extravaganza in Vigo.

Left-wing bloc lead: A Coruña and Lugo are PSOE holds with support of BNG, keeps Getafe or Parla and gains Alcorcón with a left-wing coalition with MM/UP, former Health minister Carolina Darias to hold Las Palmas in coalition with NC and UP, PSC recovers in minority Lleida and Tarragona as holds L'Hospitalet de Llobregat and Mataró by the same way. Zamora will be installed later at the afternoon but IU mayor reelection is safe.
Just one failed prediction: Jaén is PP gain after an agreement with localist Jaén Merece Más (linked to the Empty Spain movement), for first time ever, PSOE doesn't govern in none of the 8 Andalusian province capitals.
A note: The installation of the municipal council of León has been postponed until July 7, after a Vox appeal regarding more than 400 invalid votes due to erroneous ballots (who contained 25 instead of 27 candidates) that could earn them one more seat, something similar had already happened in 2019 but with some ballots from the PSOE being awarded to Vox which was just above the 5% threshold (at the end, Vox failed to pass and PSOE holded the mayorship)

Nationalist with left-wing support: PNV mayors in Bilbao (Juan María Aburto) and San Sebastián (Eneko Goia) will continue in their posts with the support of PSOE (as well Barakaldo). As well with PSOE support, BNG holds Pontevedra and gains Santiago de Compostela (also with support from Compostela Aberta)

Nationalist with center-right support: José Manuel Bermúdez (CC) is reelected mayor of Santa Cruz de Tenerife in coalition with PP, PSOE was the most voted party there.

Nationalist/regionalist bloc lead: Pro-indy pact in Girona as Lluc Saellas from Guanyem/CUP is the new mayor after years of post-convergents mayorships (including Puigdemont itself)

Likely Localist: Por Ávila holds in minority their province capital, Jordi Ballart (a former PSC) remains as mayor of Terrassa with support of Junts and ERC, the localists of Telde (CIUCA) will govern in coalition with PP and CC.

Tossup with a Regionalist/localist as kingmaker:: Cuenca (PSOE holds, also with support from UP), Palencia (PSOE gain in minority after the localists and UP abstained, outgoing mayor was from Cs with PP support), Leganés (PP gain in minority)

Tossup: Oh boy...
-Pamplona: UPN holds, Cristina Ibarrola is the new mayor, PSOE voted for themselves leaving alone EH Bildu.
-Vitoria-Gasteiz: Cordon sanitaire against EH Bildu, PSOE gains with support of PNV and PP, Maider Etxebarria reemplaces PNV' Gorka Urtaran.
-San Cristóbal de La Laguna: No left-wing agreement but PSOE holds in minority, Luis Yeray Gutiérez remains as mayor.
-Reus: PSC gains, Sandra Guaita is the city' first female mayor in a coalition with ERC and Ara Reus (linked to PDeCAT)

As in Barcelona... well it's the only one who remains at the moment of this writing as tossup. Agreement between ERC and Junts to support Xavier Trias as Ernest Margall should be their deputy mayor, Comuns and PP councilors are key if PSC' Jaume Collboni (outgoing Colau' deputy mayor) gets a chance.

Not in the list, but very remarkable:
-Ripoll (Girona): A far-right pro-independence list "Aliança Catalana" with xenophobe background against inmigrants won the election to shock of anybody, and the rest of the parties in the local council (the three main pro-indy and PSC) tried to form a cordon sanitaire against them, they failed as Junts vetoed the CUP as the latter with PSC supported the ERC candidate, the candidate related to the far-right list, Silvia Orriols is the new mayor.
-Morella (Castellón) is Ximo Puig' hometown, was governed for PSOE without interruption over 32 years... until today, the localist party "Independents de Morella" who get 4 seats gained the mayorship with support of PP' 2 seats, PSOE was the most voted with 5 seats. The scandals around Puig' brother damaged local PSPV performance, a great moral loss for the outgoing Regional President in his last days of government.
-Don Benito (Badajoz) is the municipality who voted in referendum their merge with Villanueva de la Serena, converting them in the 3rd most inhabitated town in Extremadura. PSOE was the most voted list (9 seats), but a localist list against the merge ("Siempre Don Benito", 7 seats) reached a agreement with PP (5 seats) to get the mayorship shared 2 years each, a condition of the localist list is hold a new referendum about the merge in 2026.
-La Guardia (Toledo) is an interesting case, PSOE and PP got the same number of seats (4 each) and UP got 3, 2 of UP councilors jumped ship and supported PP instead of PSOE, they already expelled from Podemos and they remain in the local council as non inscrits.

[MRCVzla]

Pre-campaign update in headlines, Vox denying gender-based violence or the pacts or not with EH Bildu from PSOE are the focus of the last hours.
-Sánchez on a radio interview: "We have validated more decrees with the PP than with Bildu, and nobody says that I govern with the PP", about Catalonia: "The desire for revenge should not be given free rein"
-Abascal offers Feijóo a pact against "violence against women" but continues to deny sexist violence, says "Gender is an ideological concept that we do not share"
-Feijóo: "I will review one by one the laws in which Bildu vote was decisive", among the possible laws to repeal, the "Trans act" and the Democractic Memory law, promises recover sedition and increases penalties for corruption in his first 100 days. Also Feijóo on gender-based violence: "Macho violence is obvious and it should not attract attention that it is not in the texts"

Autonomic/Regional pacts: PP offered to Vox the Speaker post in Extremadura parliament in order to support her Regional president candidate without join the govt., Vox rejects, PP proposes the same deal in Balears as a preliminary agreement meanwhile the talks to form the Regional government continues.

Local governments formation "hangover": The recently elected EH Bildu mayor from Bermeo resigned hours later after taking office after tested positive in DUI. In a "bad loser" behavior after lose the Barcelona mayorship, Xavier Trias say is ready to retire but not inmediatly.

Deadline to register list for the GE has passed with no major incidents (preliminary list will be published at the BOE on Wednesday), Podemos accepted with resignation the Montero veto and for now has 8 safe seats within Sumar, Colau along University minister Subirats and Asens closes the Sumar/Comuns lists in Barcelona. Former Cs member Carina Mejías joins Vox as 2nd in Barcelona list and repeats the Valencian strategy in Balears puting his regional candidate (Jorge Campos) as list holder for Congress in that region (La Razon' poll garantees Vox and Més/Sumar seats, PSOE fights for a 3rd seat over a 4th for PP, Balears has 8 seats to the Congress). ERC' Ernest Maragall will be a candidate for the Senate.

Summary of the weekend' opinion polls by the Wiki page: