Likely R. Parson is favored but this is certainly more likely to flip than IN, especially in a Democratic wave.
I would agree with this. And thank you for calling him Parson instead of "Mark Parsons". haha
There are two conflicting trains of through going through my mind:
1) Galloway won against the most inept Republican who was the worst possible fit for state auditor by only 6 points.
but
2) She was an appointed incumbent and had virtually zero name ID until a few weeks before the election. The wave did not really reach Missouri and the Senate campaign very much overshadowed the auditor contest yet she still won by 6 points. Most people did not really know who her opponent was.
To be fair, there hasn't been a whole lot of campaigning by either of them. So this is probably just a reflection of the state's partisan split.
I'm not even sure what Parson would campaign on. He's done basically nothing. The one thing to his credit is that he is the calm after the storm that was Greitens.
This is a good point.
Likely Republican is the right call but could move to Safe or Lean R very quickly.