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October 26, 2020, 07:31:43 PM
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  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Gubernatorial/State Elections
  2020 Gubernatorial Election Polls (Moderators: Brittain33, Gass3268, Virginiá)
  MO (Remington, Missouri Scout) - Parson +13
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Author Topic: MO (Remington, Missouri Scout) - Parson +13  (Read 1582 times)
Lisa's voting Biden
LCameronAL
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« on: March 14, 2020, 08:46:45 PM »

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MR. KAYNE WEST
olawakandi
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« Reply #1 on: March 14, 2020, 09:07:36 PM »

Likely R
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SnowLabrador
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« Reply #2 on: March 18, 2020, 02:30:39 PM »

The final result will probably be somewhere around this margin.
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President Johnson
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« Reply #3 on: March 18, 2020, 04:26:20 PM »

Safe Republican. Nothing to see here.
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EastOfEden
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« Reply #4 on: March 19, 2020, 02:54:09 PM »
« Edited: March 19, 2020, 02:59:09 PM by EastOfEden »

To be fair, there hasn't been a whole lot of campaigning by either of them. So this is probably just a reflection of the state's partisan split.

I'm not even sure what Parson would campaign on. He's done basically nothing. The one thing to his credit is that he is the calm after the storm that was Greitens.
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Hardcore Sen. Peters/Daines/Cornyn/Perdue supporter
IndyRep
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« Reply #5 on: March 19, 2020, 03:18:09 PM »

Likely R. Parson is favored but this is certainly more likely to flip than IN, especially in a Democratic wave.
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jimmie
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« Reply #6 on: March 22, 2020, 12:58:46 AM »

Likely R. Parson is favored but this is certainly more likely to flip than IN, especially in a Democratic wave.

I would agree with this. And thank you for calling him Parson instead of "Mark Parsons". haha

There are two conflicting trains of through going through my mind:

1) Galloway won against the most inept Republican who was the worst possible fit for state auditor by only 6 points.

but

2) She was an appointed incumbent and had virtually zero name ID until a few weeks before the election. The wave did not really reach Missouri and the Senate campaign very much overshadowed the auditor contest yet she still won by 6 points. Most people did not really know who her opponent was.

To be fair, there hasn't been a whole lot of campaigning by either of them. So this is probably just a reflection of the state's partisan split.

I'm not even sure what Parson would campaign on. He's done basically nothing. The one thing to his credit is that he is the calm after the storm that was Greitens.

This is a good point.

Likely Republican is the right call but could move to Safe or Lean R very quickly.
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MR. KAYNE WEST
olawakandi
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« Reply #7 on: March 22, 2020, 03:05:12 AM »

MO and IA and OH are trending 10 pts R
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Xing
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« Reply #8 on: April 05, 2020, 12:37:08 AM »

Yawn, Safe R.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #9 on: April 16, 2020, 07:50:58 AM »

I would not be surprised to see this race get closer now with Parson's horrific handling of the virus
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MR. KAYNE WEST
olawakandi
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« Reply #10 on: April 16, 2020, 08:03:27 AM »

This is probably the only good news Rs are gonna have on election night, all with Phil Scott winning
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #11 on: April 16, 2020, 08:28:04 AM »

Parsons is also raising basically nothing.

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Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #12 on: April 16, 2020, 09:13:16 AM »

Parsons is also raising basically nothing.



Not great for Parson, but I wouldn't read too much into that. Maybe not exactly comparable, but Amy Grath raising tons of money in KY doesn't mean this race is competitive. As Bloomberg and even Sanders proved, money can't win you an election. And little money still can, as Biden proved on ST. The increased partisan leaning and shift of MO is likely too much to overcome at this point for any challenger. Parson is pretty much safe and will win by 8 or 9 pts at least. 12 or 13 pts is even more realistic.
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Calthrina950
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« Reply #13 on: April 28, 2020, 08:32:28 PM »

Safe R. Galloway only won in 2018 because she was facing an utterly incompetent opponent. Parson, as has been pointed out on here, has "done nothing"-that is, he has remained noncontroversial. Given that, and given that this is Missouri, it is all he needs to win reelection. Galloway might be lucky enough to come as close as Claire McCaskill did in 2018, but I don't see her doing any better than that.
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MR. KAYNE WEST
olawakandi
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« Reply #14 on: April 29, 2020, 03:46:25 AM »

In an EC landslide,  Galloway will win, MO is the show me state, and is a Bellwether like OH and NM
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Harvey Lee Updyke III🌹
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« Reply #15 on: June 02, 2020, 01:39:35 AM »

New Poll: Missouri Governor by Remington Research Group on 2020-03-12

Summary: D: 39%, R: 52%, U: 7%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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