Predict white women
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Poll
Question: Predict them
#1
Trump wins by 10%+		  
#2
Trump wins by 6-10%		  
#3
Trump wins by 1-5%		  
#4
Tie		  
#5
Clinton wins by 1-5%		  
#6
Clinton wins by 6-10%		  
#7
Clinton wins by 10%+		  
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Partisan results
Total Voters: 72

Author Topic: Predict white women  (Read 947 times)
Old Man Willow
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« on: July 07, 2016, 05:31:04 PM »
White women seem to be the only undecided demographic in the country. They lean towards Hillary, though by usually quite a bit lower than a majority. How will they vote?
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Human
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« Reply #1 on: July 07, 2016, 05:34:00 PM »
Donald Trump will narrowly win white women me thinks.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #2 on: July 07, 2016, 06:17:10 PM »
Close win for Trump in the end, way closer than it should be.
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Senator Spark
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« Reply #3 on: July 07, 2016, 06:23:00 PM »
Trump win barely by at least 2%.
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Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist
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« Reply #4 on: July 07, 2016, 06:23:59 PM »
Ask Paul LePage, he knows all about the white women.
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HAnnA MArin County
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« Reply #5 on: July 07, 2016, 06:26:34 PM »
I'm gonna make a bold prediction that the angry misandrist white women of New Hampshire will be enough for the corrupt neoliberal warmongering corporatist harpy hawk to win her fellow white female voters by 1-5 percent.
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Sorenroy
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« Reply #6 on: July 07, 2016, 06:36:14 PM »
For reference, according to the 2012 exits, Romney won white women in 2012 by 14% and lost the total results by 4% (51-47 Obama for General, 56-42 Romney for White Women). Assuming a universal swing, the only way Clinton could win white women would be for a 58-40 General result. Of course, depending on gender polarization, that could end up very differently.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #7 on: July 07, 2016, 06:39:09 PM »
Quote from: Sorenroy on July 07, 2016, 06:36:14 PM
For reference, according to the 2012 exits, Romney won white women in 2012 by 14% and lost the total results by 4% (51-47 Obama for General, 56-42 Romney for White Women). Assuming a universal swing, the only way Clinton could win white women would be for a 58-40 General result. Of course, depending on gender polarization, that could end up very differently.

White men will definitely swing R and white women will definitely swing D. The question is how much for both.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #8 on: July 07, 2016, 07:15:15 PM »
Clinton will win by 1-5 points.
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Xing
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« Reply #9 on: July 07, 2016, 07:24:21 PM »
I'm guessing Trump wins by about 1%, though he'll certainly lose them in many states.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #10 on: July 07, 2016, 07:43:39 PM »
White women are impossible to predict.  Maybe try women of other races?
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Pragmatic Conservative
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« Reply #11 on: July 07, 2016, 08:06:39 PM »
Probably Clinton 52-44-4
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
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« Reply #12 on: July 07, 2016, 08:19:40 PM »

This is about where I am right now.
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Southern Delegate matthew27
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« Reply #13 on: July 07, 2016, 08:24:22 PM »
« Edited: July 07, 2016, 09:13:53 PM by matthew27 »
White women by 6 for Hillary. Alot of them are going to vote for hillary and that includes republican women.
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Old Man Willow
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« Reply #14 on: July 07, 2016, 08:34:44 PM »
By how much would Trump have to win white men by to win the election if they were the only demographic to vote for him? 70-30? 75-25?
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Crumpets
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« Reply #15 on: July 07, 2016, 08:44:44 PM »
If I could do that, I probably wouldn't be single.
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Pouring Rain and Blairing Music
Fubart Solman
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« Reply #16 on: July 08, 2016, 09:36:59 AM »
Quote from: Thinking Crumpets Crumpet on July 07, 2016, 08:44:44 PM
If I could do that, I probably wouldn't be single.
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pho
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« Reply #17 on: July 08, 2016, 01:25:53 PM »
Hillary by 5.
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hopper
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« Reply #18 on: July 08, 2016, 02:14:13 PM »
Hillary 50-48 or 52-46%
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Hermit For Peace
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« Reply #19 on: July 08, 2016, 02:29:35 PM »

As a white woman, I predict that most sane rational females will shun Trump without a second thought. (At least they should, IMO.)
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HisGrace
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« Reply #20 on: July 08, 2016, 02:42:02 PM »
Clinton won white women both times and Bush only won them by 1 point vs Gore. Trump has done a lot more to alienate women than Dole or either of the Bushes, and being a woman H. Clinton probably has more appeal to them than either B. Clinton or Gore. She should win comfortably. Voted that Clinton wins by 6-10%
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Ljube
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« Reply #21 on: July 08, 2016, 04:01:32 PM »
Definitely Trump win.
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cxs018
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« Reply #22 on: July 08, 2016, 04:42:03 PM »
Narrow Clinton win, mainly thanks to the residents of a certain accursed New England state flooding the polls.
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