Describe the demorgaphics of this hypothetical county by voting history (user search)
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  Describe the demorgaphics of this hypothetical county by voting history (search mode)
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Author Topic: Describe the demorgaphics of this hypothetical county by voting history  (Read 6537 times)
CookieDamage
cookiedamage
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« on: February 13, 2022, 08:26:18 PM »
« edited: February 13, 2022, 08:29:40 PM by CookieDamage »

White, conservative, rural

Mine:
D/R/I

1952: 58/40
1956: 54/45
1960: 64/31
1964: 52/46
1968: 47/41/11
1972: 38/57
1976: 64/32
1980: 55/44
1984: 43/56
1988: 53/45
1992: 49/35/15
1996: 45/42/8
2000: 45/50/2
2004: 43/53
2008: 48/49
2012: 49/47
2016: 46/49
2020: 48/50

Bonus: how will it vote in 2024 and 2028?

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CookieDamage
cookiedamage
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Posts: 4,099


« Reply #1 on: February 14, 2022, 11:32:38 AM »

Dem/Rep

1876: 44/56
1880: 42/58
1884: 45/50
1888: 43/53
1892: 44/47
1896: 45/54
1900: 43/56
1904: 39/61
1908: 42/58
1912: 29/20/40 (Progressive win)
1916: 46/54
1920: 35/65
1924: 23/53/24
1928: 44/56
1932: 59/41
1936: 68/32
1940: 60/40
1944: 58/42
1948: 60/36/4 (for Wallace)
1952: 52/48
1956: 48/52
1960: 57/43
1964: 73/27
1968: 56/38/6
1972: 47/53
1976: 61/39
1980: 52/41/7
1984: 54/46
1988: 59/39
1992: 50/29/21
1996: 56/38/6
2000: 55/40/5
2004: 59/41
2008: 65/35
2012: 63/37
2016: 52/43
2020: 57/41

A community anchored by a major city, maybe a big college in university, but with significant WWC areas that explains the R trend since 2012.

D/R/I
1924: 32/60
1928: 41/58
1932: 55/39
1936: 72/25
1940: 60/39
1944: 56/43
1948: 48/47/2
1952: 39/59
1956: 36/61
1960: 48/49
1964: 74/22
1968: 50/41/8
1972: 42/56
1976: 45/51
1980: 44/50/5
1984: 42/57
1988: 46/53
1992: 39/40/20
1996: 45/44/10
2000: 47/46/5
2004: 41/55
2008: 46/53
2012: 46/52
2016: 48/49/1
2020: 49/50

Bonus: guess how 2024/28/32 will go.
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CookieDamage
cookiedamage
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Posts: 4,099


« Reply #2 on: February 18, 2022, 04:26:34 PM »
« Edited: February 18, 2022, 04:30:55 PM by CookieDamage »

Definitely getting either something in the upper midwest to explain 1988's strong performance or maybe the upper/inland south to explain the strong 1990s performance and then hardcore shift to the right since. I'm guessing it's hyperwhite, rural or exurban, and working class with large agrarian segments.

Federalist/Democratic-Republican

1796: 40/58
1800: 39/60
1804: 33/65
1808: 35/63
1812: 45/54
1816: 34/63
1820: 4/95

Quincy Adams/Jackson/Crawford/Clay

1824: 44/39/2/15

Whig/Democratic

1828: 49/50
1832: 44/37/15 (Clay/Jackson/Wirt)
1836: 41/45/3 (Harrison/Van Buren/Webster)
1840: 56/43
1844: 52/48
1848: 44/34/20 (Taylor/Cass/Van Buren)
1852: 53/45

Republican/Democratic

1856: 44/40/14 (Fremont/Buchanan/Filmore)
1860: 39/34/12/9 (Lincoln/Douglas/Bell/Breckinridge)
1864: 52/45
1868: 56/40
1872: 60/39 (Grant/Greeley)
1876: 45/53
1880: 54/45
1884: 43/55
1888: 54/44
1892: 48/40/8 (Harrison/Cleveland/Weaver)
1896: 56/42
1900: 56/44
1904: 59/38
1908: 53/46

Progressive/Republican/Democratic/Socialist

1912: 41/25/32/2

Republican/Democratic

1916: 54/43
1920: 63/35
1924: 66/30
1928: 56/44
1932: 48/50
1936: 37/60
1940: 39/57
1944: 44/53
1948: 45/54/1 (Dewey/Truman/Thurmond)
1952: 46/52
1956: 55/44
1960: 45/54
1964: 27/72
1968: 39/49/9 (Nixon/Humphrey/Wallace)
1972: 52/48
1976: 31/66
1980: 42/56
1984: 57/42
1988: 50/48
1992: 40/49/10
1996: 39/50/6
2000: 43/57
2004: 45/54
2008: 41/59
2012: 40/59
2016: 39/55
2020: 34/65
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CookieDamage
cookiedamage
YaBB God
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Posts: 4,099


« Reply #3 on: June 22, 2022, 01:15:08 PM »

Definitely giving NE Ohio.

D-R-I

1960: 45-53
1964: 63-32
1968: 49-42-8
1972: 42-57
1976: 56-43
1980: 50-47-2
1984: 46-52
1988: 54-44
1992: 53-42-4
1996: 56-42
2000: 59-39
2004: 57-36
2008: 63-34
2012: 59-35
2016: 51-41-8
2020: 53-44
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