A midwestern county that was at one point very rural (see populist vote) but has morphed into the suburbs of a major city and has therefore drifted D.
D/R/3rd Party
1880: 60/40
1884: 53/47
1888: 54/46
1892: 60/39
1896: 57/42
1900: 59/41
1904: 77/22
1908: 71/27
1912: 81/10/10 (adds up to 101 because of rounding)
1916: 86/14
1920: 75/25
1924: 77/20
1928: 65/35
1932: 78/20
1936: 74/26
1940: 67/33
1944: 64/36
1948: 48/40/12 (Dixiecrat)
1952: 39/60
1956: 32/57/11 (Dixiecrat)
1960: 40/59
1964: 48/51
1968: 27/53/20 (American Independent)
1972: 33/65
1976: 44/55
1980: 37/53/10 (Independent)
1984: 35/64
1988: 40/59
1992: 43.6/43.7/13 (Reform)
1996: 45/49
2000: 44/50
2004: 51/48
2008: 58/40
2012: 55/43
2016: 59/34
2020: 66/32
Dixiecratic county that increased in population over time. It seems like Mississippi would be the most likely place. More Christian than average and slightly wealthier.
D: R:
1880: 64 35
1884: 58 40
1888: 56 39
1892: 67 24 (Populist: 6)
1896: 58 39
1900: 65 31
1904: 70 24
1908: 71 27
1912: 67 26 (Progressive: 5)
1916: 73 26
1920: 61 38
1924: 74 14 (Progressive: 12)
1928: 65 34
1932: 85 13
1936: 84 14
1940: 76 22
1944: 72 27
1948: 58 27 (States' Rights: 14)
1952: 57 42
1956: 56 42
1960: 69 29
1964: 75 24
1968: 36 32 (American Independent: 31)
1972: 30 65
1976: 48 50
1980: 40 54 (Anderson: 7)
1984: 32 66
1988: 33 66
1992: 34 47 (Perot: 16)
1996: 39 55 (Perot: 6)
2000: 41 57
2004: 40 59
2008: 49.7 49.1
2012: 50 48
2016: 56 37
2020: 64 34
D/R/3rd Party
1880: 60/38
1884: 55/43
1888: 57/42
1892: 59/38
1896: 35/62
1900: 45/54
1904: 50/47
1908: 48/50
1912: 46/7/47 (largely Progressive, Dems won)
1916: 50/49
1920: 45/54
1924: 43/53
1928: 40/60
1932: 51/48
1936: 60/37
1940: 59/41
1944: 57/43
1948: 48/47
1952: 45/55
1956: 41/59
1960: 49/50
1964: 64/36
1968: 41/43/16 (mostly American Independent)
1972: 37/60
1976: 47/50
1980: 47/48
1984: 42/58
1988: 48/52
1992: 49/38/13 (Reform)
1996: 52/41/8 (Reform, adds up to 101 because of rounding)
2000: 50/48
2004: 50/49
2008: 55/43
2012: 55/44
2016: 54/41
2020: 59/39
Getting some Upper South vibes with this answer with Maryland being the most likely state. Average religiosity and above-average but not wealthy when it comes to the average GDP. This one's starting a few decades later.
D: R:
1912: 34 24 (Prog:31; Socialist: 9%)
1916: 34 63
1920: 31 56 (Nonpartisan League:7%)
1924: 4 46 (Progressive: 48%)
1928: 39 60
1932: 66 31
1936: 60 36
1940: 49.6 49.7
1944: 52 48
1948: 65 33
1952: 26 73
1956: 51 48
1960: 50 49
1964: 57 41
1968: 40 54
1972: 46 52
1976: 51 48
1980: 33 58 (Anderson: 6%)
1984: 39 60
1988: 52 46
1992: 41 37 (Perot: 20%)
1996: 47 38 (Perot: 13%)
2000: 40 56
2004: 34 63
2008: 48 49
2012: 41 54
2016: 25 66 (Libertarian: 6%)
2020: 20 76
R/D/3rd Party
1892: 53/38
1896: 65/33
1900: 71/26
1904: 82/15
1908: 69/27
1912: 27/28/45 (Progressive)
1916: 49/45
1920: 72/18
1924: 57/8/35 (Progressive)
1928: 59/40
1932: 38/59
1936: 33/57
1940: 44/56
1944: 42/57
1948: 32/65
1952: 44/55
1956: 44/55
1960: 41/59
1964: 29/70
1968: 33/61
1972: 50/47
1976: 36/62
1980: 38/52
1984: 48/52
1988: 44/55
1992: 30/42/28 (Reform)
1996: 34/51/15 (Reform)
2000: 48/47
2004: 53/46
2008: 50/48
2012: 50/48
2016: 50/41
2020: 50/48
Seems Midwestern, lower-middle class, average religiosity. Might go further back in time in another one, but for now I'll do another 1912-present.
D: R:
1912: 60/22/20 (Progressive)
1916: 60/38
1920: 57/39
1924: 67/30
1928:55/44
1932: 71/29
1936: 75/22
1940: 71/28
1944: 68/32
1948: 76/22
1952: 75/23
1956: 67/33
1960: 72/27
1964: 88/11
1968: 66/16/17 (American Independent)
1972: 54/45
1976: 74/25
1980: 72/28
1984: 57/42
1988: 58/41
1992: 47/34/16 (Perot)
1996: 50/39/9 (Perot)
2000: 44/53
2004: 32/66
2008: 36/62
2012: 36/60
2016: 21/71
2020: 19/78
R/D/3rd Party
1892: 54/44
1896: 60/39
1900: 62/37
1904: 58/41
1908: 57/41
1912: 60/35
1916: 48.1/47.7
1920: 61/39
1924: 57/38
1928: 57/42
1932: 42/57
1936: 50/49
1940: 50/49
1944: 60/41 (adds up to 101 because of rounding)
1948: 59/41
1952: 56/43
1956: 56/44
1960: 45/55
1964: 35/66 (adds up to 101 because of rounding)
1968: 38/35/26 (mostly American Independent)
1972: 67/31
1976: 45/55
1980: 54/40
1984: 61/39
1988: 64/36
1992: 45/38/17 (mostly Reform)
1996: 49/44
2000: 48.8/49.1
2004: 49/50
2008: 37/62
2012: 34/65
2016: 33/63
2020: 29/70
Former rural turned suburban county in the DC metro area. Above average religiosity and wealth.
D: R:
1888: 75% 25%
1892: 80% 20%
1896: 71% 27%
1900: 61% 39%
1904: 46% 49%
1908: 50% 46%
1912: 44% 27% 23% (Progressive)
1916: 54% 42%
1920: 41% 57%
1924: 33% 54% 11% (Progressive)
1928: 35% 63%
1932: 50% 47%
1936: 63% 32%
1940: 60% 38%
1944: 60% 38%
1948: 71% 26%
1952: 63% 37%
1956: 55% 45%
1960: 58% 41%
1964: 63% 36%
1968: 33% 29% 37% (American Independent)
1972: 31% 67%
1976: 61% 35%
1980: 49% 45% 7% (Anderson)
1984: 48% 52%
1988: 47% 51%
1992: 54% 36% 18% (Perot)
1996: 59% 32% 8% (Perot)
2000: 52% 44%
2004: 52% 46%
2008: 48% 50%
2012: 45% 53%
2016: 38% 60%
2020: 30% 68%
Historically mining county in Southern Missouri that was pro-confederate during the Civil War. FDR's narrow victory in 1932 is explained by a brief upsurge in Republican support following Hoover's victory in 28.
County founded in 1898
D R
1900: 46% 51%
1904: 37% 61%
1908: 42% 55%
1912: 44% 11% (Roosevelt) 36% (Debs) 7%
1916: 56% 42%
1920: 49% 47% (Debs) 2%
1924: 47% 33% (LaFollette) 18%
1928: 55% 44%
1932: 64% 34%
1936: 68% 29%
1940: 56% 43%
1944: 59% 40%
1948: 66% 31% (Wallace) 2%
1952: 63% 36%
1956: 55% 34%
1960: 57% 42%
1964: 73% 26%
1968: 56% 33% (Wallace) 9%
1972: 53% 45%
1976: 65% 33%
1980: 54% 41% (Anderson) 3%
1984: 52% 47%
1988: 60% 38%
1992: 57% 34% (Perot) 7%
1996: 67% 28% (Perot) 4%
2000: 55% 41% (Nader) 3%
2004: 56% 43%
2008: 48% 51%
2012: 45% 53%
2016: 35% 59% (Johnson) 3%
2020: 60% 38%
