2020 Poll Hype Thread (user search)
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  2020 Poll Hype Thread (search mode)
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Author Topic: 2020 Poll Hype Thread  (Read 191521 times)
WD
Western Democrat
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,581
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -0.35

« on: July 07, 2020, 05:33:35 PM »

Prediction

Trump+ 5
Gross+3
Logged
WD
Western Democrat
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,581
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -0.35

« Reply #1 on: September 11, 2020, 04:03:58 PM »


Hopefully Atlas will remain calm, reasonable, and will approach the polls objectively with out any overreaction. We’re all mature individuals here, aren’t we?


Oh who am I kidding, if the poll is Biden+3 or something, we’ll have 9 pages in less than 10 hours
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WD
Western Democrat
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,581
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -0.35

« Reply #2 on: September 14, 2020, 03:39:28 PM »



inb4 it’s Trump+1 and Atlas has a meltdown.
Logged
WD
Western Democrat
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,581
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -0.35

« Reply #3 on: September 19, 2020, 12:09:21 AM »

All these polls are basically void now because the SC Nomination is going to be a seismic shift in the race.

Is it really?

I dont see how it changes any of the fundamentals

Any incumbent Republican not named Martha McSally, Susan Collins, or Cory Gardener just saw their chances of re-election skyrocket.

Umm... no, not really.
Logged
WD
Western Democrat
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,581
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -0.35

« Reply #4 on: September 24, 2020, 12:17:30 AM »

New Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin polls coming tomorrow from UW-Madison's Election Research Center.


 

Is anyone else frankly getting a little bored of the constant WI, MI, PA, AZ, and NC polls? Obviously they are the core states, but it would be nice to see more high quality polling on some of the outer battleground states like GA, TX, IA, ME, NH, and NV

Yeah, I’d like to see more polling of NE-02.
Logged
WD
Western Democrat
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,581
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -0.35

« Reply #5 on: September 26, 2020, 10:58:26 PM »

What time is the poll coming out?
Logged
WD
Western Democrat
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,581
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -0.35

« Reply #6 on: October 08, 2020, 03:27:14 PM »

VOTE KANSAS



¿Porque no los dos?
Logged
WD
Western Democrat
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,581
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -0.35

« Reply #7 on: October 11, 2020, 12:11:14 AM »

Things I could see qualifying as "meltdown"

Biden +17 or higher nationally
Biden +15 in Pennsylvania or Wisconsin
Biden +10 in Florida
Biden +6 in Texas or Ohio
Biden tied or leading in South Carolina

Biden crossing 60?

Biden up in Missouri?

Horrific senate polls in SC, MT, GA, AK, KS, IA, even AL???

Let’s not limit our imaginations!
Espy up in Mississippi?
Biden and Ahlers up in South Dakota?
Tennessee within single digits?

Jones within 5?
Logged
WD
Western Democrat
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,581
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -0.35

« Reply #8 on: October 12, 2020, 02:54:48 PM »

Biden+4
Cunningham+5
Logged
WD
Western Democrat
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,581
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -0.35

« Reply #9 on: October 12, 2020, 11:25:47 PM »

Tomorrow:
NC - (Monmouth, SurveyUSA?)

Anything else confirmed?

I think NYT/Siena might be releasing their NC poll tomorrow, but I could be wrong.
Logged
WD
Western Democrat
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,581
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -0.35

« Reply #10 on: October 19, 2020, 08:54:32 PM »

NYT national poll prediction:

41 Biden
30 Trump
Logged
WD
Western Democrat
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,581
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -0.35

« Reply #11 on: October 23, 2020, 11:23:56 PM »

I want to believe...
Logged
WD
Western Democrat
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,581
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -0.35

« Reply #12 on: October 24, 2020, 10:13:49 AM »

Hmmm....



This did a pretty good job predicting things in 2016.

Really? How accurate were R district internals in 2016?
Logged
WD
Western Democrat
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,581
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -0.35

« Reply #13 on: November 02, 2020, 04:48:11 PM »

Trump is now in command IMO. I told you that as Election Day approaches, the polls would shift towards Trump. I’d be very concerned if I were a Biden supporter.


luv 2 be down 8-9 points on the eve of an election. Such command.
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