VA-GOV 2017: It's a Wave (GE: Nov 7th - Thread #2) (user search)
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  VA-GOV 2017: It's a Wave (GE: Nov 7th - Thread #2) (search mode)
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Author Topic: VA-GOV 2017: It's a Wave (GE: Nov 7th - Thread #2)  (Read 99253 times)
Matty
boshembechle
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,015
« on: November 05, 2017, 08:46:30 PM »
What do you think is the biggest reason Northam hasn't been able to use trump's dreadful VA approval ratings to grow a bigger lead?

Who are the gillespie/clinton voters?
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Matty
boshembechle
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,015
« Reply #1 on: November 07, 2017, 12:14:49 PM »
Can someone please explain to me why a state that voted for Hillary by 6 points has the magnifying class of America on it?

Aside from wanting to see your side win, this is (probably) not at all useful to extrapolate onto 2018 trends
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Matty
boshembechle
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,015
« Reply #2 on: November 07, 2017, 12:18:25 PM »
I think NJ is a bigger story than VA

It would be an actual flip of party control
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Matty
boshembechle
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,015
« Reply #3 on: November 07, 2017, 12:26:39 PM »
Can someone confirm to me: is dwarves dragon a troll or are his views all over the place?
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Matty
boshembechle
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,015
« Reply #4 on: November 07, 2017, 12:36:33 PM »
If Gillespie is doing worse than trump did in rural Virginia, but better than trump in nova, would that mean his lead will be less than trump's throughout the night but decline at a smaller rate?
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Matty
boshembechle
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,015
« Reply #5 on: November 07, 2017, 12:45:42 PM »
How much of that is due to simple population growth?
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Matty
boshembechle
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,015
« Reply #6 on: November 07, 2017, 01:17:42 PM »

Montogomery is a swing county that voted for mccaulife and clinton.
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Matty
boshembechle
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,015
« Reply #7 on: November 07, 2017, 01:37:22 PM »
I don't recall the media doing wall to wall coverage on off year elections during the Obama years.

Scott Brown's win was only mentioned on the scroller on most news sites.

These people are desperate to push a narrative that a dem win in VA tonight spells doom for trump.
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Matty
boshembechle
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,015
« Reply #8 on: November 07, 2017, 02:33:39 PM »
PittsburghSteel is a total democratic foot soldier who would love to see dead people if it meant dem victory
He was dancing in the streets when PR was hit by hurricane
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Matty
boshembechle
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,015
« Reply #9 on: November 07, 2017, 02:42:29 PM »
Lol
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Matty
boshembechle
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,015
« Reply #10 on: November 07, 2017, 03:25:03 PM »
Powhatan county at 48% turnout
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Matty
boshembechle
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,015
« Reply #11 on: November 07, 2017, 04:09:03 PM »
Typical Atlas
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Matty
boshembechle
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,015
« Reply #12 on: November 07, 2017, 04:12:35 PM »
I honestly think people bed wet either to troll other posters or to lower expectations
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Matty
boshembechle
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,015
« Reply #13 on: November 07, 2017, 04:23:27 PM »
I like this forum a lot. It is great for info and for interesting discussion about last and present political trends and events


But the Election Day threads are almost always complete cesspools of bellyaching, hair on fire paranoia, and unnecessary freak outs
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Matty
boshembechle
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,015
« Reply #14 on: November 07, 2017, 05:15:21 PM »
Trump's approvals seem higher than you'd expect

A lot of polls  had him in the 30s here
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Matty
boshembechle
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,015
« Reply #15 on: November 07, 2017, 05:23:03 PM »
Nate Cohn says the sienna poll which has N up 3 had trump at 43-55 as well

I as a republican would not be too upset with a Gillespie loss of 3
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Matty
boshembechle
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,015
« Reply #16 on: November 07, 2017, 05:25:53 PM »
Quote from: Kamala Claus on November 07, 2017, 05:24:53 PM
Quote from: Ebsy on November 07, 2017, 05:24:15 PM
Fairfax County turnout surging as the clouds lift.

Ralph Northam, endorsed by:

God (D-Heaven)

God (socialist-Heaven)
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Matty
boshembechle
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,015
« Reply #17 on: November 07, 2017, 05:30:00 PM »
Gillespie will not do as bad with upper income educated repubs as trump did
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Matty
boshembechle
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,015
« Reply #18 on: November 07, 2017, 05:46:51 PM »
How much of the increase is due to population increase?
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Matty
boshembechle
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,015
« Reply #19 on: November 07, 2017, 05:49:40 PM »
So this is indeed looking like 2013 redux?
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Matty
boshembechle
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,015
« Reply #20 on: November 07, 2017, 06:15:44 PM »
How should republicans react to this race if Gillespie loses?

Should they be scared it means a storm is brewing in a a year?

Or should they say it was expected?
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Matty
boshembechle
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,015
« Reply #21 on: November 07, 2017, 07:07:34 PM »
A Northam win by 5 points would be one of the least elucidating margins ever

Not large enough or small enough to make any statement

Other than it would be larger than 2013
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Matty
boshembechle
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,015
« Reply #22 on: November 07, 2017, 07:42:13 PM »
Is VA counting differently than it usually does?
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