Biden approval ratings thread, 1.0

[Farmlands]

The decline is nearly all concentrated on the Democratic side. Gallup's conclusion, pretty reasonable, is that with the party approving more of Palestine than Israel for the first time this year, Biden's strong support for Israel has created a rift with the new young, pro-Palestine voting group.

[Frodo]

The decline is nearly all concentrated on the Democratic side. Gallup's conclusion, pretty reasonable, is that with the party approving more of Palestine than Israel for the first time this year, Biden's strong support for Israel has created a rift with the new young, pro-Palestine voting group.

Even if he does ultimately win re-election next year over Trump, Joe Biden could well be the last openly pro-Israel President the Democratic Party will ever have.  I am not sure how to feel about that prospect.     

[Progressive Pessimist]

The decline is nearly all concentrated on the Democratic side. Gallup's conclusion, pretty reasonable, is that with the party approving more of Palestine than Israel for the first time this year, Biden's strong support for Israel has created a rift with the new young, pro-Palestine voting group.

Even if he does ultimately win re-election next year over Trump, Joe Biden could well be the last openly pro-Israel President the Democratic Party will ever have.  I am not sure how to feel about that prospect.     

Well, maybe when Israel finally ditches Netanyahu and Likud-led coalition governments (which now looks increasingly likely) they can try and salvage what they can of a two-state solution and make it easier for a Democrat to support Israel. Maybe.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

https://twitter.com/IAPolls2022/status/1717572964378362272

Yea you post Gallup they had Biden low in 22 too and it was a 303 map you are so wrong all the time

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Biden hasn't been this low in Rassy 39 since 2021 when we lost VA due to Omnicron Varient 😀😀😀, when Rs won VA 

News flash we are gonna win VA state Legislature and YOUNGKIN is frightened to run for Prez against Trump or Buden

[Redban]

https://twitter.com/IAPolls2022/status/1719376353399570545

[Comrade Funk]

Things aren't improving. And it's a uniquely Biden problem, going by Tester/Beshear approvals. For the sake of his party, he needs to drop out and end this charade.

[GAinDC]

Things aren't improving. And it's a uniquely Biden problem, going by Tester/Beshear approvals. For the sake of his party, he needs to drop out and end this charade.

Obama, Reagan, and Clinton had approvals like this a year before they won reelection. Chill out.

[Comrade Funk]

Things aren't improving. And it's a uniquely Biden problem, going by Tester/Beshear approvals. For the sake of his party, he needs to drop out and end this charade.

Obama, Reagan, and Clinton had approvals like this a year before they won reelection. Chill out.

Gallup October before the election

Biden 37/59
Obama 43/49
Clinton 49/40
Reagan 49/41

Got another excuse?

[MR DARK BRANDON]

Things aren't improving. And it's a uniquely Biden problem, going by Tester/Beshear approvals. For the sake of his party, he needs to drop out and end this charade.

Obama, Reagan, and Clinton had approvals like this a year before they won reelection. Chill out.

Gallup October before the election

Biden 37/59
Obama 43/49
Clinton 49/40
Reagan 49/41

Got another excuse?

Trump Biden and Obama are all within like 3 on the RCP average

[Redban]

Unlike his predecessors, Biden's low approvals have been stable for over 2 years (since August 2021). But you go ahead and keep waiting for that big turnaround that will never come

[Redban]

https://d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net/documents/econTabReport_bpzPgoE.pdf

Yougov / Economist

40% approve
57% disapprove

[Birdish]

Unlike his predecessors, Biden's low approvals have been stable for over 2 years (since August 2021). But you go ahead and keep waiting for that big turnaround that will never come

No one is expecting a big turnaround, but it's not unreasonable to think Biden might improve enough as the election season heats up where the aggregate looks more like NPR/Marist and less like Gallup. One only has to look at 2020 where Trump's approval ratings continued to improve as the election grew closer.

[Birdish]

Things aren't improving. And it's a uniquely Biden problem, going by Tester/Beshear approvals. For the sake of his party, he needs to drop out and end this charade.

Obama, Reagan, and Clinton had approvals like this a year before they won reelection. Chill out.

Gallup October before the election

Biden 37/59
Obama 43/49
Clinton 49/40
Reagan 49/41

Got another excuse?

Gallup now isn't the same Gallup from 10 years ago. The high quality landline polling they perfected started dying during the Obama years and was completely dead when they attempted to do a daily tracker during the Trump years.

I'm not saying Gallup isn't a decent pollster, but it's not the gold standard it once was when normal people still picked up their landlines.

[Redban]

Unlike his predecessors, Biden's low approvals have been stable for over 2 years (since August 2021). But you go ahead and keep waiting for that big turnaround that will never come

No one is expecting a big turnaround, but it's not unreasonable to think Biden might improve enough as the election season heats up where the aggregate looks more like NPR/Marist and less like Gallup. One only has to look at 2020 where Trump's approval ratings continued to improve as the election grew closer.

The same point that I made in my prior post stands -- the difference is that Biden's low approvals have been stable in a way his predecessor's approvals haven't. He has rarely been below -10% net approvals for more than 2 years now. His low approvals are hardened and crystallized

Trump went from -15% in the summer of 2020 (when BLM + Covid were raging) to about -7-10% right before Election Day 2020. But his approvals before the summer of 2020 lines up with what his approvals were right before the election. His approvals rose as the election got closer simply because the low approvals in the summer 2020 were just a temporary reaction to Floyd and race-riots, which subsided by November

[Redban]

Quinnipiac

39% approve
58% disapprove

https://poll.qu.edu/images/polling/us/us11012023_uomg47.pdf

Rasmussen

40% approval
58% disapproval.

[Red Velvet]

https://twitter.com/IAPolls2022/status/1717572964378362272

All polls have shown the same consistent lowering approvals, but this is the first one that shows and proves that the main group where this happened was between Democratic voters, more than Independents.

Republicans already have a consensus where they practically all disapprove Biden. But losing more approval with Democrats than Independents shows that it’s the American Left that got more dissatisfied with Biden in the past month. If it were the Center, you would see larger fall with Independents.

Would be interesting the same comparison by age to really confirm that Biden lost more approval with younger voters, in order to prove that this shift happened because of the government position on Israel/Palestine.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Quinnipiac

39% approve
58% disapprove

https://poll.qu.edu/images/polling/us/us11012023_uomg47.pdf

Rasmussen

40% approval
58% disapproval.

You will see Tues when Rs lose VA and KY that Biden is not at 39 you post the same thing all the time and Biden and Trump are h2h 46 that is not 39 Approvals

[GM Team Member and Deputy PPT WB]

I'm still interested in how much of Biden's disapproval is among people who think he doesn't go far enough. I know quite a few who would not say they approve of him, because they want someone more progressive. I mean, I'm one of them, though I don't *disapprove*, I just don't approve.

The approvals for other Ds and the 2022 results seem to point to it being a sizable portion of the population, at least.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Trump Approval is far worse 29/60

https://twitter.com/Politics_Polls/status/1721351489489191085

[Redban]

https://www.scribd.com/document/681402179/Slingshot-Israel-Poll-10-31-23

Slingshot

40% approve / 50% disapprove

https://leger360.com/surveys/canadian-federal-politics-and-the-economy/

Leger

37% approve / 51% disapprove

[Progressive Pessimist]

I'm still interested in how much of Biden's disapproval is among people who think he doesn't go far enough. I know quite a few who would not say they approve of him, because they want someone more progressive. I mean, I'm one of them, though I don't *disapprove*, I just don't approve.

The approvals for other Ds and the 2022 results seem to point to it being a sizable portion of the population, at least.

If tomorrow's elections reflect 2022 in not being particularly nationalized, I think there will be even more credence to this notion.

I've been thinking the same thing that Biden just isn't on people's minds as often as Trump was and that causes his disapproval to be based more out if indifference and ambivalence than seething hatred (though obviously Republicans have that for him).

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

https://www.scribd.com/document/681402179/Slingshot-Israel-Poll-10-31-23

Slingshot

40% approve / 50% disapprove

https://leger360.com/surveys/canadian-federal-politics-and-the-economy/

Leger

37% approve / 51% disapprove

Trump has a 29/60 Fav

https://twitter.com/Politics_Polls/status/1721351489489191085

[Redban]

https://s3.amazonaws.com/cdn.big-village.com/big-village/2023/11/Big-Village-Political-Poll-11.05.23.pdf

Big Village

40% approve / 56% disapprove

[GP270watch]

https://twitter.com/JoeBiden/status/1722083054938652901