Canada 2011 Official Thread (user search)
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Author Topic: Canada 2011 Official Thread  (Read 136202 times)
Meeker
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« on: April 12, 2011, 11:27:42 PM »
Does the Bloc actually win any votes from Anglophones?
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Meeker
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« Reply #1 on: April 13, 2011, 11:58:07 AM »
Quote from: bullmoose88 on April 13, 2011, 11:49:35 AM
I say this in response (that potentially could make me look very foolish) to looking at Vorlon's estimated seat totals a couple posts above showing the Grits and Dippers both with 52 seats.

Is it at all possible to see a situation where the NDP, akin to UK Labour, completely over takes the Liberals as the natural alternative to the Tories...rendering Libs sort of a rump in future parliaments?  Is that how people see this eventually playing out, or are things (as I'm guessing someone or some people will say) so fundamentally different that such a thing cannot, in all likelihood, happen.

Look again. It's the Grits and the Bloc both with 52 seats.

That's also an extremely poor outcome for the Liberals that isn't being reflected in any other poll.
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Meeker
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« Reply #2 on: April 15, 2011, 12:44:58 PM »
What's with the focus on human smuggling in the Conservative ads? Is that really an important issue in Canada?
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Meeker
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« Reply #3 on: April 15, 2011, 05:14:10 PM »
Layton is in PEI today for some reason.
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Meeker
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« Reply #4 on: April 15, 2011, 10:26:08 PM »
Where did EKOS have the NDP last time?
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Meeker
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« Reply #5 on: April 20, 2011, 09:51:42 PM »
There's also a Sherbrooke and a Newfoundland poll out there somewhere.
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Meeker
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« Reply #6 on: April 20, 2011, 11:13:23 PM »
CROP poll of Quebec

NDP: 36%
BQ: 31%
Cons: 17%
Libs: 13%

Ermm...
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Meeker
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« Reply #7 on: April 20, 2011, 11:21:37 PM »
EKOS agrees with CROP on the massive NDP gains:

NDP: 31%
BQ: 24%
Libs: 21%
Cons: 17%
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Meeker
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« Reply #8 on: April 20, 2011, 11:37:41 PM »
Yeah, I'd feel a lot better about these numbers if the election was this Monday instead of the next - still lots of time for things to shift around.

Pretty cool though.
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Meeker
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« Reply #9 on: April 21, 2011, 02:00:38 PM »
Riding polls. MoE on these is between 4-5% according to the local news sources that conducted them.

Sherbrooke
BQ: 59%
NDP: 15%
Cons: 9%
Libs: 9%
Greens: 7%

Gatineau
NDP: 33%
BQ: 29%
Libs: 24%
Cons: 11%
Greens: 3%

Avalon
Libs: 48%
Cons: 44%
NDP: 8%

St. John's East
NDP: 69%
Cons: 25%
Libs: 4%

St. John's South - Mount Pearl
Libs: 39%
NDP: 35%
Cons: 26%
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Meeker
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« Reply #10 on: April 22, 2011, 09:29:47 AM »
So if the Liberals end up losing seats, would Iggy be out as leader? And if so who would take his place?
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Meeker
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« Reply #11 on: April 24, 2011, 02:18:04 PM »
I also seem to recall Dave yelling at us in 2008 not to post results before Canadian law allowed, but I may be imagining that.
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Meeker
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« Reply #12 on: April 24, 2011, 09:07:04 PM »
I lol'd
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Meeker
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« Reply #13 on: April 24, 2011, 09:31:14 PM »
Layton has a big rally in Gatineau tomorrow.
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Meeker
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« Reply #14 on: April 24, 2011, 11:14:10 PM »
What is that numerically?
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Meeker
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« Reply #15 on: April 25, 2011, 02:26:53 PM »
So if this election results in another minority government, how long do you think it'd be until the next election? And at what point does the Conservative caucus start getting antsy and look for a new leader who can deliver a majority?
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Meeker
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« Reply #16 on: April 25, 2011, 03:34:59 PM »
Innovative Research sez: C36 L24 N23 nationally. QC: N36 B27 C18 L14. ON: C41 L36 N17. BC: C42 N29 L20. AT: C36 L34 N23.
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Meeker
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« Reply #17 on: April 25, 2011, 07:37:21 PM »
This is amusing: http://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/canadavotes2011/story/2011/04/25/cv-election-harper-dossier.html
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Meeker
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« Reply #18 on: April 26, 2011, 02:59:05 PM »
Wikipedia:

Quote
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#winning
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Meeker
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« Reply #19 on: April 26, 2011, 07:15:10 PM »
I'm all for believing that the NDP is doing very well, especially in Quebec, but some of these numbers are starting to look downright ridiculous.
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Meeker
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« Reply #20 on: April 27, 2011, 01:22:15 AM »
« Edited: April 27, 2011, 01:23:48 AM by Meeker »
Elections Canada is reporting a 35% increase in early voting from last year. A little more than 2 million votes have already been cast (around 12% of the total expected turnout).
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Meeker
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« Reply #21 on: April 27, 2011, 07:21:18 AM »
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hoHuxpa4h48
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Meeker
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« Reply #22 on: April 27, 2011, 07:31:13 AM »
It looks like the NDP has finally started making gains in Ontario too:

CON: 46.9% (-0.9)
LIB: 25.7% (-3.6)
NDP: 21.0% (+4.1)
GRN: 6.0% (+0.6)
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Meeker
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« Reply #23 on: April 27, 2011, 07:46:15 AM »
None of the seat calculators out there were designed to take into account the NDP gains in Quebec and no one really knows how those are going to manifest themselves, but it's difficult to imagine the NDP not becoming official opposition with numbers like these.
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Meeker
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« Reply #24 on: April 27, 2011, 04:42:52 PM »
How many days until we get a poll with the NDP leading?
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