NJ-Senate 2008: Christie will Not Run

[Conan]

Well by the time the seat opens up it's pretty much 50-50 (In 2008 or 2010) and Dems have greater representation in that area a long with more candidates.

No, that's not necessarily true. You can't say that it will turn out that way with each passing year just because of the Presidential candidates. In a McCain vs. Hillary race, would you say that it would end up 50-50? I doubt it.

I wouldn't say that the Dems have more representation there. You have some notable Assemblymen and possibly a State Senator soon but I am pretty sure that the GOP still dominates on the local level.

 

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The growing influence from outside areas like Camden definetley works in your favor in regards to man power, money, etc. I will also concede that the NJ GOP is a mess. However, if the local groups band together under the leadership of the widely influential LoBiondo, the GOP is still favored. The local parties will do everything they can to keep that seat.

As for Whelan, I was informed that he has been mentioned for the seat for awhile but has not announced anything. I thought you were claiming that he was definetley in. A race with Whelan in it will be interesting.

Edit: Corzine did carry the district
Corzine 92564  -   54%
Forrester 80569 -  46%
Municipal numbers arent out for 2006 yet so I can't confirm Menendez
Al had a substantial lead in the counties where they are fully included in the district so it's safe to assume he won it.

[/quote]
I am not saying the republican candidate can't win but I extremely doubt it and just think we will pick it up. It's becoming increasingly democratic though. I'll go into county gov later on.

[Conan]

I am not saying the republican candidate can't win but I extremely doubt it and just think we will pick it up. It's becoming increasingly democratic though. I'll go into county gov later on.

I would be interested to hear your take on Atlantic County's government, please do tell.

Atlantic County Gov:

2006:

Senate:
Menendez  34251
Kean  31784

Clerk:
Dem - 33294
Rep - 31461

Freeholder at large:
Dem - 31184
Rep - 30852

Freeholder (not at large):
Dem - 5553
Rep - 5850

Freeholder (not at large):
Dem - 7345
Rep- 7700

2005:

Gov:
Corzine - 34539
Forrester - 28004

2004:

Pres:
Kerry - 55746
Bush - 49487

Freeholder (at large):
Dem - 49848
Rep - 48149

Freeholder (not at large):
Dem - 11017
Rep - No nomination made

Freeholder (not at large):
Dem - 10599
Rep - 11702


On county level it seems like they are about even though dems may hold more offices countywide. Federal level they are going dem but it's nearly half and half. Same thing with governor.

[DownWithTheLeft]

Let's just run Lonegan for the hell of it, were going to lose anyway mine as well run a fun candidate