FL-SurveyUSA: Rick Perry leads Joe Biden (user search)
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  FL-SurveyUSA: Rick Perry leads Joe Biden (search mode)
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Author Topic: FL-SurveyUSA: Rick Perry leads Joe Biden  (Read 1248 times)
Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
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Posts: 31,727
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E: -1.42, S: -0.52

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« on: August 06, 2014, 12:16:37 PM »

Do you guys think they'll wait to call Florida for Clinton or will they call it as soon as polls in the panhandle have closed?

3% Clinton lead at that time -- too close to call
6% or more at that time -- Florida called, and everyone will know.

If Hillary is up more than 6% in Florida, then she is winning Ohio, Virginia, and perhaps Georgia and North Carolina.   
It not only depends on the size of the lead, but how much of the vote is counted during the 7:00 hour. If it ends up being like '08 where only 15% of the statewide FL vote was in at 8 EST, then it won't be called unless exit polls indicate a double digit Hillary margin. However, if it is like '10 when 35% of the vote was in 8 EST, or '12 when 42% of the vote was in at 8 EST, then a 6-7 point Hillary lead at that point would be the approximate threshold for calling it, but some of the more cautious networks (i.e. CNN, ABC) could wait another half hour or so to get some more of the I-4 corridor election day vote.
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Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,727
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P

« Reply #1 on: August 06, 2014, 08:25:28 PM »

I love Biden and think he'd make a phenomenal President...but I really really really really hope he doesn't run.
If Clinton refuses to run, then would you want him to run? Or do you not want him to run for another reason?
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