Ohio redistricting thread (user search)
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  Ohio redistricting thread (search mode)
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Author Topic: Ohio redistricting thread  (Read 91867 times)
Gass3268
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« on: July 13, 2020, 08:48:02 PM »
If Biden can keep the margin in Ohio close, even in a loss Democrats could pick up the State Supreme Court. Would be huge for redistricting.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #1 on: June 01, 2021, 09:19:22 PM »
No way the Ohio Supreme Court would allow only 2 seats for Democrats.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #2 on: September 09, 2021, 09:08:51 AM »
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Gass3268
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« Reply #3 on: September 09, 2021, 09:53:32 AM »
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Gass3268
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« Reply #4 on: September 09, 2021, 02:40:45 PM »
Quote from: Nyvin on September 09, 2021, 02:32:06 PM
Quote from: BoiseBoy on September 09, 2021, 02:09:42 PM
Commission has voted 5-2 (along partisan lines) to advance the Republican-proposed maps.

Surprise surprise, the Ohio Reform is powerless and useless.

4 year map here we come.

Probably will go to the Ohio Supreme Court first. Who knows what they'll think. There is an anti-gerrymandering majority there.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #5 on: September 10, 2021, 09:15:03 AM »
Unfortunately I can't find the tweet, but the Cleveland area districts are going to have to get cleaned up before the final map. The current maps crack the black community hard.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #6 on: September 14, 2021, 09:00:19 AM »
My guess is these maps get struck down by the state Supreme Court. Chief Justice Maureen O’Connor (R) really hates gerrymandering and has no problem bucking the Ohio Republican Party. The only question would be the timing it gets to the Ohio Supreme Court.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #7 on: September 15, 2021, 11:04:59 PM »
The commission missed the deadline.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #8 on: September 15, 2021, 11:07:53 PM »
Also Dewine suggests the maps are unconstitutional.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #9 on: September 29, 2021, 05:42:47 PM »
Tomorrow is the deadline for the Congressional map, right?
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Gass3268
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« Reply #10 on: October 26, 2021, 01:08:46 PM »
Quote from: Southern Delegate Punxsutawney Phil on October 26, 2021, 12:59:22 PM
Quote from: Devils30 on October 26, 2021, 12:33:44 PM
Who becomes vulnerable in the GOP if the OH Supreme Court rejects the GOP congressional maps and orders a fair redraw. I would guess we have something like 10-5 R with OH-1 as a Cincy D vote sink while OH-12 goes from red to leaning D along with OH-13 or 14 becoming a D leaning Cleveland suburbs seat.
Steve Chabot is most at risk, as always.
After that it's hard to tell. Balderson might be at risk if he ends up with a district with a big slice of Franklin. He won by 14% in 2020, and Delaware County continues to trend Democratic.

Balderson lives in Zanesville, so we could a different district that works for him.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #11 on: November 03, 2021, 10:33:18 AM »
Yeah, no way the Ohio State Supreme Court would approve this map.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #12 on: November 03, 2021, 12:39:47 PM »
Quote from: BoiseBoy on November 03, 2021, 12:33:21 PM


This looks even more illegal.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #13 on: November 03, 2021, 01:42:19 PM »
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Gass3268
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« Reply #14 on: November 15, 2021, 05:55:11 PM »
The quicker this thing passes the quicker the OHSC can kill it.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #15 on: November 15, 2021, 08:38:54 PM »
Kaptur would have a shot in this 9th as Biden only lost by around 3-4 points. Biden won OH-13 by about 1-2 points.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #16 on: November 15, 2021, 08:50:12 PM »
These are still gerrymandered, but less so. I wonder what spooked them. I'd be interested to know what the #'s are in OH-15.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #17 on: November 15, 2021, 09:04:45 PM »
Quote from: Gass3268 on November 15, 2021, 08:50:12 PM
These are still gerrymandered, but less so. I wonder what spooked them. I'd be interested to know what the #'s are in OH-15.

Saw on Twitter that OH-15 is Trump +5.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #18 on: December 08, 2021, 12:53:55 PM »
Not looking great for the maps
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Gass3268
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« Reply #19 on: December 28, 2021, 12:57:25 AM »
Quote from: Brittain33 on December 27, 2021, 09:33:14 PM
What was the last court appearance for, then, if not arguments?

If I remember correctly, that was for the legislative maps.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #20 on: December 28, 2021, 10:08:34 AM »
Chief Justice O’Connor not happy they used the 2011 as the starting point.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #21 on: January 12, 2022, 05:13:26 PM »
Chief Justice Maureen O'Connor basically writes a campaign add for amending the structure of the commission.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #22 on: January 14, 2022, 12:03:37 PM »
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Gass3268
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« Reply #23 on: January 14, 2022, 12:21:15 PM »
Quote from: Oryxslayer on January 14, 2022, 12:11:06 PM
As expected, they cited proportionality in outcomes as part of the justification for ordering the redraw. Also stated it unduly splits Hamilton (Cincinatti Dem seat), Summit (akron Dem seat), and Cuyahoga (probably west county+Lorain Dem seat).

Franklin County is mentioned as well.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #24 on: January 18, 2022, 04:42:35 PM »


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