WI - Marquette University: Sanders up 4, Cruz up 10 (user search)

Matty
boshembechle
Junior Chimp

Posts: 5,981

« on: March 30, 2016, 04:19:04 PM »

Look, I could see a Trump victory if it were only, say, Cruz +2 with 15% undecideds. But it's Cruz+10 with 9% undecided.

trump won undecideds in michigan and illinois, so I don't see the 9% being too significant.

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Matty
boshembechle
Junior Chimp

Posts: 5,981

« Reply #1 on: March 30, 2016, 04:30:01 PM »

Look, I could see a Trump victory if it were only, say, Cruz +2 with 15% undecideds. But it's Cruz+10 with 9% undecided.

trump won undecideds in michigan and illinois, so I don't see the 9% being too significant.

It absolutely is too much - Trump only won a very thin plurality of undecideds in Illinois and didn't win undecideds in Michigan.

9% isn't that much. cruz winning 60% of them would affect the race by maybe 1-2%.

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Matty
boshembechle
Junior Chimp

Posts: 5,981

« Reply #2 on: March 30, 2016, 10:39:12 PM »

if trump ends up winning this WI race, would it be the biggest miss in MU's history of polling?

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Matty
boshembechle
Junior Chimp

Posts: 5,981

« Reply #3 on: April 05, 2016, 11:33:45 PM »

pretty good on r side.

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