2014 Gubernatorial Races by CD

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California primary:

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Colorado and New Mexico:

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Michigan:



For Michigan I had to take a few shortcuts because of some the challenges Wayne County presented.

I'm only accounting for the two-party vote with these results. The 30+ page report of detailed results for Wayne County was unworkable in Excel, and every other program that I know. I had to go in by hand and copy data from the county's precincts into my spreadsheet. I didn't copy data for third parties; that would have taken me hours to copy thousands of more cells, and it was such a small amount of votes.

I didn't copy the precincts for Detroit itself (though I did for every other municipality in Wayne County). After redistricting, 55% of the city's population was in CD13, with the other 45% in CD14. I just assumed that ratio held in the amount of votes cast. The city votes pretty unanimously and consistently Democratic, so I don't think my estimates would be that far off anyway.  

Just to be consistent, I did the two-party results for the rest of the state.

Anyway, the most surprising thing was Schauer losing MI-09. Comparatively, its worse than Burke losing WI-03.

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AR:



Aside from CD3, the other districts were almost exactly the same.

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^ Yeah. It was dumb for Democrats to keep CD2 in its current form. It has Little Rock, but its paired with several 65%+ Romney counties.

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^ The hard R Little Rock suburbs are also bleeding into CD1, compounded with a D crash in the rural white vote.

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SC:

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^ Obama is the opposite the good ol' boy types of Democrats the south was used to. That pretty much sums it up. Combine that with what shua said, and your 6th year midterm, and that explains a lot of it.

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Ouch, Michaud lost his own district by 13 points:



There were about 850 ballots that the state didn't allocate to counties/districts, which I didn't count here. They skewed pretty widely to Michaud, but obviously not enough to change anything.

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My AOS diary on the northeastern states.

The map on the OP should be fully updated now.

Other than TN (which should be pretty easy to do once I get to it), the only holdouts will be:

- PA: I'm getting there...slowly. I'm having to go to the individual counties, most have the data I need, its just not in a friendly format.

- AL: DKE told me the state was supposed to send them a file with results...and we've been waiting for months. I haven't heard anything about it. 'Looks like we're just at the mercy of the state here. 'Kinda frustrating, because before 2012, AL had a pretty decent system.

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I've got half the PA districts, mostly the western ones:

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There was a trio of relatively small counties which I had to estimate for, and hopefully can get detailed results for (Lebanon, Northumberland, Perry). But other than that, this should be pretty good:

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^ What surprised me the most was PA-11. Romney won the 2-party vote there 55/45, but Wolf only lost it by 5.

Meh, those suburban PA seats are more R downballot. Wolf's performance in them was pretty much the average of Obama in '08 and '12.

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Here are some comparisons for PA. Wolf is blue, Obama is red.



Wolf vs Obama '08:



Wolf vs Obama '12:



Wolf vs average of Obama'08 and '12:

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I'm assuming we're not gonna get data for AL, so TN is the last state I'm doing. There were a few split precincts between TN-08 and TN-09 that I kinda randomly assigned - its pretty clear anyway that the Democrat carried TN-09 with a few points to spare.



And this is the final map (the AL shadings are my guess):



There were 346 districts total that voted on Governors this year. He'res the breakdown:

Republicans - (58.7%)
Democrats - 142 (41.0%)
Other - 1 (.3%)