Election 2018 Open Thread - Part 1

[96FJV]

Is it true Kyl is only serving till the end of this year? If so,  McSally could be in the senate after all.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Is it true Kyl is only serving till the end of this year? If so,  McSally could be in the senate after all.

I'd bet on it.

[2016]

Speaker Pelosi? Not so fast!

https://twitter.com/jennfranconews/status/1062090535559548929

I kinda knew this would happen.

[Ebsy]

I doubt the rule change goes through, does not have much support within the caucus.

[pppolitics]

Arizona pulled through in a way that Florida couldn't! Clearly one of these states with a high percentage of old, white retirees is better than the other. So thanks, Arizona, you decreased the Republican net gains in the Senate and helped take me out of my post-November 6 election malaise. It really is kind of remarkable to me that a bisexual, nonreligious Democrat managed to defeat a female Republican veteran. Sinema has clearly provided a road-map as to how a Democrat can win statewide in Arizona, and it needs to be considered for 2020.

The problem for McSally is that she ran as McTrump and Arizona hates Trump.

That's why she lost.

[Zaybay]

Speaker Pelosi? Not so fast!

https://twitter.com/jennfranconews/status/1062090535559548929

I kinda knew this would happen.

So its not going to pass, is what it says. Rule Change doesnt have the votes.

[Storr]

Speaker Pelosi? Not so fast!

https://twitter.com/jennfranconews/status/1062090535559548929

I kinda knew this would happen.

I don't doubt there's some people that want a newer face as Speaker. The problem is who? There doesn't seem to be an alternative being put forth.

[Crumpets]

Speaker Pelosi? Not so fast!

https://twitter.com/jennfranconews/status/1062090535559548929

I kinda knew this would happen.

I don't doubt there's some people that want a newer face as Speaker. The problem is who? There doesn't seem to be an alternative being put forth.

Personally I'm a big fan of the "Beto for Speaker" idea. And I usually abhor pie-in-the-sky Democratic fantasies.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Kyrsten of the House Sinema, the First of Her Name, The Unbeaten, Queen of the Mohave, the Arizonans and her citizens, Queen of Phoenix, Khaleesi of the Desert, Protector of the Realm, Lady Regnant of the Seven Kingdoms, Breaker of Chains and Mother of Senators

[Fubart Solman]

Kyrsten of the House Sinema, the First of Her Name, The Unbeaten, Queen of the Mohave, the Arizonans and her citizens, Queen of Phoenix, Khaleesi of the Desert, Protector of the Realm, Lady Regnant of the Seven Kingdoms, Breaker of Chains and Mother of Senators

Didn’t the Lemony Snicket books have a King of Arizona? I guess they have a queen now.

[pppolitics]

Kyrsten of the House Sinema, the First of Her Name, The Unbeaten, Queen of the Mohave, the Arizonans and her citizens, Queen of Phoenix, Khaleesi of the Desert, Protector of the Realm, Lady Regnant of the Seven Kingdoms, Breaker of Chains and Mother of Senators

So lost Mohave by a lot.

[Virginiá]

Personally I'm a big fan of the "Beto for Speaker" idea. And I usually abhor pie-in-the-sky Democratic fantasies.

It's an idea, but it would probably ruin his future political prospects, given the toxicity of the Speakership.

[Pericles]

Just let Pelosi have it. Speaker isn't the same as running for President, congressional leaders don't need to be popular(look at Mitch McConnell, everyone hates him but he's good at his job). She is the best by far, she has a proven record and you don't want to put up a lightweight against McConnell and Trump. I had somewhat bought into the Pelosi being a liability line, but the Democrats won the election anyway, and Pelosi will probably retire in 2021(certainly if Democrats win the House), so she is just needed to make sure this Democratic majority is put to good use. She earned it too. The Democrats shouldn't shoot themselves in the foot on Day One, Speaker Pelosi is the best outcome.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Kyrsten of the House Sinema, the First of Her Name, The Unbeaten, Queen of the Mohave, the Arizonans and her citizens, Queen of Phoenix, Khaleesi of the Desert, Protector of the Realm, Lady Regnant of the Seven Kingdoms, Breaker of Chains and Mother of Senators

So lost Mohave by a lot.

Shhhushh

[Interlocutor is just not there yet]

Kim's lead narrowed .4% in Orange County.

Walters is only up .4% now.

Where are people getting these numbers? NYT still has Walters up 1% and Kim up 1.4%.

From this Twitter page. The SOS page seems behind rn.
https://mobile.twitter.com/catargetbot/status/1062148406884294656

At least for my county (Riverside). They're behind by 3 vote dumps

More news from CA: Tony Thurmond is only behind Marshall Tuck by about 13,000 votes.

Have late ballots been breaking towards Thurmond?

Yep. CA Secretary of State now has him leading by 4,000 votes

[Antonio the Sixth]

Just let Pelosi have it. Speaker isn't the same as running for President, congressional leaders don't need to be popular(look at Mitch McConnell, everyone hates him but he's good at his job). She is the best by far, she has a proven record and you don't want to put up a lightweight against McConnell and Trump. I had somewhat bought into the Pelosi being a liability line, but the Democrats won the election anyway, and Pelosi will probably retire in 2021(certainly if Democrats win the House), so she is just needed to make sure this Democratic majority is put to good use. She earned it too. The Democrats shouldn't shoot themselves in the foot on Day One, Speaker Pelosi is the best outcome.

This 100%.

[MAINEiac4434]

Stephen King has called it for Golden.

https://twitter.com/StephenKing/status/1061945861985447936

[Starry Eyed Jagaloon]

More news from CA: Tony Thurmond is only behind Marshall Tuck by about 13,000 votes.

Have late ballots been breaking towards Thurmond?

I don’t have exact numbers, but it has been getting tighter. I’d lean yes to your question.

Unfortunately yes.

[Calthrina950]

I am glad that Arizona has broken its 30-year Republican Senatorial streak. Hopefully, Sinema reaches the 50% mark with the remaining votes, as that would leave Manchin as the only Democrat to win without an absolute majority.

[pppolitics]

I am glad that Arizona has broken its 30-year Republican Senatorial streak. Hopefully, Sinema reaches the 50% mark with the remaining votes, as that would leave Manchin as the only Democrat to win without an absolute majority.

You have to realize how impressive Sinema's win is with the Green candidate taking almost 2.5% of the votes

[Snipee356]

I am glad that Arizona has broken its 30-year Republican Senatorial streak. Hopefully, Sinema reaches the 50% mark with the remaining votes, as that would leave Manchin as the only Democrat to win without an absolute majority.

You have to realize how impressive Sinema's win is with the Green candidate taking almost 2.5% of the votes

Yes. The fact that Dems+Greens got 4.5 percentage points more than the Reps is good news in this state for 2020.

[Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️]

You have to realize how impressive Sinema's win is with the Green candidate taking almost 2.5% of the votes

I bet Arizona will be the tipping point state in the 2020 Presidential election, and there will be a Green candidate who gets just enough votes for Trump to be re-elected.

[Calthrina950]

I am glad that Arizona has broken its 30-year Republican Senatorial streak. Hopefully, Sinema reaches the 50% mark with the remaining votes, as that would leave Manchin as the only Democrat to win without an absolute majority.

You have to realize how impressive Sinema's win is with the Green candidate taking almost 2.5% of the votes

I do. Even though it was close, she did end a 30-year losing streak for Democrats here, in regards to the Senate.

[pppolitics]

I am glad that Arizona has broken its 30-year Republican Senatorial streak. Hopefully, Sinema reaches the 50% mark with the remaining votes, as that would leave Manchin as the only Democrat to win without an absolute majority.

You have to realize how impressive Sinema's win is with the Green candidate taking almost 2.5% of the votes

I do. Even though it was close, she did end a 30-year losing streak for Democrats here, in regards to the Senate.

I wouldn't consider that "close".

The race would have to be within 0.5%

[Pragmatic Conservative]

Arizona pulled through in a way that Florida couldn't! Clearly one of these states with a high percentage of old, white retirees is better than the other. So thanks, Arizona, you decreased the Republican net gains in the Senate and helped take me out of my post-November 6 election malaise. It really is kind of remarkable to me that a bisexual, nonreligious Democrat managed to defeat a female Republican veteran. Sinema has clearly provided a road-map as to how a Democrat can win statewide in Arizona, and it needs to be considered for 2020.

The problem for McSally is that she ran as McTrump and Arizona hates Trump.

That's why she lost.

According to the CNN exit poll his net approval rating in the state is +5.
https://www.cnn.com/election/2018/exit-polls/arizona/senate