NJ-FDU: Murphy +15

[MATTROSE94]

Probably more like D+10.

I am thinking Phil Murphy wins by a 55-43 or 56-42 margin. Jack Ciattarelli probably only wins Monmouth, Ocean, Somerset, Sussex, Cape May, Salem, Warren, and Hunderton Counties and loses Morris County when compared to Kim Guadagno in 2017. Really Jack Ciattarelli‘s best strategy would be to focus on property taxes and some of Phil Murphy’s more unpopular COVID mitigation, but that wouldn’t make a difference in the end.

[MATTROSE94]

Probably more like D+10.

I am thinking Phil Murphy wins by a 55-43 or 56-42 margin. Jack Ciattarelli probably only wins Monmouth, Ocean, Somerset, Sussex, Cape May, Salem, Warren, and Hunderton Counties and loses Morris County when compared to Kim Guadagno in 2017. Really Jack Ciattarelli‘s best strategy would be to focus on property taxes and some of Phil Murphy’s more unpopular COVID mitigation, but that wouldn’t make a difference in the end.

Ciatarelli is not winning Somerset, especially if he loses Morris. I actually think the reverse is more likely.

That could be possible as well. Both counties will probably be pretty close.