MI GOV: EPIC MRA POLL Whitmer +16 (user search)
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  MI GOV: EPIC MRA POLL Whitmer +16 (search mode)
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Author Topic: MI GOV: EPIC MRA POLL Whitmer +16  (Read 1126 times)
politicallefty
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,257
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -3.87, S: -9.22

P P
« on: September 24, 2022, 03:09:06 AM »

I hope she can pull off a victory of this magnitude. She ranks very high on my list for 2028 (assuming Biden runs for reelection) and a landslide victory certainly wouldn't hurt her future prospects.

Whitmer is not going to win by this much, but I think a 6-10% margin of victory for her is plausible at this point.

Landslides in Michigan do happen from time to time.
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politicallefty
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,257
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -3.87, S: -9.22

P P
« Reply #1 on: September 24, 2022, 04:52:17 PM »

I hope she can pull off a victory of this magnitude. She ranks very high on my list for 2028 (assuming Biden runs for reelection) and a landslide victory certainly wouldn't hurt her future prospects.

Whitmer is not going to win by this much, but I think a 6-10% margin of victory for her is plausible at this point.

Landslides in Michigan do happen from time to time.

They do, but in this highly polarized era, I would expect for them to be less frequent.

Very true. I think the most notable examples are Gary Peters in 2014, Rick Snyder in 2010, and Barack Obama in 2008. The biggest questions right now in Michigan are probably the state legislature and MI-10. If Democrats could somehow win MI-10, Republican prospects for the House go way down.

The link is apparently paywalled now, but this poll also has the abortion amendment passing 64-27. That is down a bit from the 67-24 margin in their August poll.
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