Counties in your state to swing from 2000 to 2004
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  Counties in your state to swing from 2000 to 2004
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Author Topic: Counties in your state to swing from 2000 to 2004  (Read 4583 times)
jimrtex
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« Reply #25 on: October 15, 2005, 06:11:29 PM »

Clifton Forge was dissolved as an independent city.
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Miamiu1027
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« Reply #26 on: October 15, 2005, 06:12:50 PM »

Didn't Richmond (Staten Island) switch too?

Yes, sorry, missed that
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Alcon
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« Reply #27 on: October 15, 2005, 06:14:03 PM »

Clifton Forge was dissolved as an independent city.

Ah, I was wondering why it flipped after being so Democratic...I just made a Democrat list for both years and compared.  Sorry about that.
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TeePee4Prez
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« Reply #28 on: October 15, 2005, 07:01:11 PM »

Simply put, Luzerne County's Democratic organization is pitiful. The GOP ground game just obliterated them here. Now, if they can't get their act together and deliver a big (57-43+) victory here for Casey, the race will tighten a great deal.

I'll admit I'm a bit worried about organizations outside of Montgomery County.  The ones out western PA and Luzerne are just awful.  Someone told me they think they can't lose, so they just sit and wait.  Montgomery started from nothing the the early 1990s to a virtual juggernaut overnight.  They can't carry PA and it's making me nervous.  Philadelphia also needs better leadership in the Democratic party besides half-literate union guys, tavern owners, and party bosses.  PA is a tricky animal. 
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Cubby
Pim Fortuyn
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« Reply #29 on: October 16, 2005, 08:56:00 PM »

Litchfield County (Due to Lieberman not being on the ticket)

One of the biggest disapointments of the 2004 election for me was Bush's stronger showing in Connecticut. For months before it I saw Kerry bumper stickers out number Bush ones by like 5-1. I thought that might be a good indicator. On my election prediction on this site I said I hoped that CT would give Kerry over 60%, but it was not to be.

Litchfield and Fairfield have always been the 2 most Republican counties in the state. Even in 2000, Gore barely carried Litchfield. I think 9/11-security concerns played a role in CT too, same as in NY (Staten Island/Rockland and New Jersey).

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minionofmidas
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« Reply #30 on: October 17, 2005, 03:46:30 AM »

GOP -> Dem : Alpine and Mono
Dem. -> GOP : none

Too bad not too many other historically very Republican rural Mormon counties decided to vote for Kerry.

I'v been weirded out about Alpine and Mono. Why on earth would these switch?

Alpine County had strange demographics - 20% Native American, 40% Mormon, 60% non-churchgoing.  It probably was a matter of who turned out.

Mono County has a healthy tourism industry, with several ski resorts.

But they haven't gone GOP since like 1936 or 1940. Why support Goldwater, Bush Sr, Dole.. and than suddenly support Kerry? It seems weird.
Apart from its beautiful demographics, Alpine County has a healthy tourism industry too.
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Joe Republic
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« Reply #31 on: October 17, 2005, 07:37:03 AM »

Clark county in the SW switched to GOP in 2004, and Stark county in the NE switched to the Dems.  Most of the other counties just significantly increased their vote margins for whichever party won it in 2000.
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WMS
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« Reply #32 on: October 25, 2005, 03:08:25 PM »

Dem -> Rep: Colfax County (rural, split evenly between Anglos and non-Anglos, it's always been very close...I would say Bush's improved margins among Hispanics tipped it to him).

Rep -> Dem: None

The big changes in NM between elections were in higher turnout rates on both sides. The Rep ground game beat the Dem one, especially in Little Texas, because the Dems, being Dems Roll Eyes ONLY focused on urban areas. They paid a price for that...
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WalterMitty
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« Reply #33 on: October 25, 2005, 03:34:19 PM »

List all counties in your state to vote Dem in 2000 and Rep in 2004 (or visa versa). If you know any information about said counties, please give a description.

North Carolina

Rep -> Dem

Guilford (Greensboro)
Mecklenburg (Charlotte)

Dem -> Rep

Bladen (rural SE)
Chowan (rural NE)
Columbus (rural SE)
Cumberland (Fayetteville)
Granville (rural NE)
Martin (rural NE)
Tyrrell (rural NE)

im quite surprised granville switched.  it has a rather substantial minority population.

didnt al sharpton carry granville in the 04 democrat caucus?
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Cubby
Pim Fortuyn
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« Reply #34 on: October 29, 2005, 01:57:38 AM »

Monmouth and Salem counties went from Democrat to Republican.

Do you know why they switched? I was surprised that Monmouth did, but I guess it has a lot in common with Staten Island and Rockland County.
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nclib
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« Reply #35 on: October 30, 2005, 05:44:09 PM »

List all counties in your state to vote Dem in 2000 and Rep in 2004 (or visa versa). If you know any information about said counties, please give a description.

North Carolina

Rep -> Dem

Guilford (Greensboro)
Mecklenburg (Charlotte)

Dem -> Rep

Bladen (rural SE)
Chowan (rural NE)
Columbus (rural SE)
Cumberland (Fayetteville)
Granville (rural NE)
Martin (rural NE)
Tyrrell (rural NE)

im quite surprised granville switched.  it has a rather substantial minority population.

Actually its minority population is similar to the other counties I listed.

didnt al sharpton carry granville in the 04 democrat caucus?

Yes.
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TeePee4Prez
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« Reply #36 on: October 31, 2005, 01:56:04 AM »

Monmouth and Salem counties went from Democrat to Republican.

Do you know why they switched? I was surprised that Monmouth did, but I guess it has a lot in common with Staten Island and Rockland County.


I really don't know.  I think it's just the 9/11 effect still in Monmouth.  As for Salem I have no idea.  Every county was a little more Republican than in 2000.

I also think there was McGreevey backlash.
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