Quinnipiac national poll: Clinton 45% Trump 41%

[Mr. Morden]

Quinnipiac national poll, conducted May 24-30:

http://www.qu.edu/news-and-events/quinnipiac-university-poll/national/release-detail?ReleaseID=2352

Clinton 45%
Trump 41%

Clinton 40%
Trump 38%
Johnson 5%
Stein 3%

Sanders 48%
Trump 39%

[Mr. Morden]

Obviously, these #s have Clinton losing a bit more support than Trump when going from a 2-way race to a 4-way race, but it’s more Independents than Democrats that Clinton loses to Johnson/Stein.

Indies in the 2-way race:
Trump 40%
Clinton 37%

Indies in the 4-way race:
Trump 36%
Clinton 29%
Johnson 10%
Stein 7%

Johnson and Stein also both do markedly better with youngs than olds.  They also both do well with Hispanics….

Hispanics in the 4-way race:
Clinton 57%
Trump 15%
Johnson 10%
Stein 5%

Johnson and Stein also have rock bottom name recognition:

fav/unfav %:
Sanders 44/38% for +6%
Johnson 8/8% for +/-0
Stein 5/6% for -1%
Clinton 37/57% for -20%
Trump 34/59% for -25%

[Mr. Morden]

In the 2-way race:

men:
Trump 51%
Clinton 35%

women:
Clinton 54%
Trump 30%

A 40 point gender gap?